PTIO的合成及对NO的氧化特性

从 2 -硝基丙烷出发 ,经过 4步反应合成 PTIO ( 2 - phenyl- 4,4,5,5- tetramethyl-imidazoline- 3- oxide- 1 - oxyl)蓝色晶体 .该合成物的熔点、元素分析结果以及顺磁共振波谱经与国外产品进行对照实验 ,结果吻合 .并就 PTIO对 NO氧化特性进行研究     

海底液动冲击取样器的研究

介绍了集抽吸泵抽吸作用形成局部负压和三重管结构设计等特性于一体的新型海底液动冲击取样器的工作原理,并建立起液动冲击取样器抽吸泵的数学模型,对抽吸泵进行了理论分析和数值计算.     

基于潜在变量二元回归模型的多传感器数据融合

针对目前数据融合算法存在的置信度无法获取的问题,提出了一种基于潜在变量二元回归模型(LatentVariable Binary Regression Model)的多传感器数据融合算法。将每个传感器获取的特征值作为多变量回归模型中的相关变量,通过Gibbs抽样得到潜在变量的分布概率,确定多变量回归模型中的表征量作为融合结果,并以潜在变量的分布概率作为融合结果的置信度。基于实地采集的运动目标震动信号进行仿真实验,结果表明该融合方法拥有较好的识别效果,同时能够给出识别结果的置信度。其中错分类的结果具有较低的置信度,可以提醒观测者做进一步的观察。     

Bayesian forecasts for cointegrated models

This paper investigates Bayesian forecasts for some cointegrated time series data. Suppose data are derived from some cointegrated model, but, an unrestricted vector autoregressive model, without including cointegrated conditions, is fitted; the implication of using an incorrect model will be investigated from the Bayesian forecasting viewpoint. For some special cointegrated data and under the diffuse prior assumption, it can be analytically proven that the posterior predictive distributions for both the true model and the fitted model are asymptotically the same for any future step. For a more general cointegrated model, examinations are performed via simulations. Some simulated results reveal that a reasonably unrestricted model will still provide a rather accurate forecast as long as the sample size is large enough or the forecasting period is not too far in the future. For a small sample size or for long‐term forecasting, more accurate forecasts are expected if the correct cointegrated model is actually applied. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

扩散式CO采样器的研制

本文是我们研制的扩散式CO采样器的简要报道。 1 扩散式CO采样器的原理和结构 与扩散式NO_2(或SO_2)检测器基本相同。不同之处是利用CO与亚硫酸钯钾反应降低后者的吸光度,这是一种显色衰减过程而不是显色增强过程:     

基于Griddy-Gibbs抽样的混合高斯AR-GJR-GARCH模型的贝叶斯估计

综合考虑波动率的尖峰厚尾性、杠杆效应等特点,作者提出了混合高斯AR-GJRGARCH模型,并用基于Griddy-Gibbs抽样的MCMC方法对模型的参数进行了贝叶斯估计,然后以新东方的股票数据为例用Matlab和R软件对模型进行了实现与检验.结果表明:模型对波动率的各种特性都有一定的体现,并且估计方法的收敛速度较快、自相关性弱、算法复杂度低、稳定性良好.     

便携软层取样器设计

便携软层取样器用于土层勘察取样，主要由铝合金机架、螺旋式地锚、链传动加压及伞齿轮回转等部件组成。取样筒上设计有全封闭式开合机构，当其贯入到取样位置时，顺转筒体，刮刀刮削孔壁同时使活门打开，样品进入筒内；取样后反转，活门关闭，保证样品在提出地表过程中无污染和脱落。该取样器重量轻，操作简便，仅需一人即可完成取样作业。     

On Selecting a Power Transformation in Time-Series Analysis

The primary aim of this paper is to select an appropriate power transformation when we use ARMA models for a given time series. We propose a Bayesian procedure for estimating the power transformation as well as other parameters in time series models. The posterior distributions of interest are obtained utilizing the Gibbs sampler, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The proposed methodology is illustrated with two real data sets. The performance of the proposed procedure is compared with other competing procedures. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

应用Gibbs Sampler的GARCH模型选择

为了解决候选模型较多,无法一一比较其准则值的问题,提出基于Gibbs样本生成器(Gibbs sampler)的广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型的选择方法.模拟实验结果表明:该模型选择方法可以高效、准确地从大量的候选模型中选择出准则值最小的模型.     

取土器贯入土体引起土体扰动的理论分析

为了研究取土器贯入对土体产生的扰动影响,基于贯入问题的半无限空间特性,根据半无限空间内球孔扩张产生的变形和应变解,推导出取土器贯入土体过程中产生的应变公式.分析了取土管中心线上土体单元应变变化和其影响因素,并与Balign的结果进行了比较.结果表明,取土器贯入土体对其内部土体产生了扰动影响,其中对两端土体扰动相对较大,中间土体相对较小.取土器径厚比、长径比均对贯入过程中土体单元的应变产生影响.