水平定向钻进管棚施工技术

结合70m长大管棚工程的施工实例,介绍了“一次性导向跟管钻进法”施工工艺和关键技术。     

太原市城西路网更新调整研究

结合太原市城西路网调整规划,在对城市道路进行分析、调查的基础上,借鉴国内外先进理念,对片区道路网络如何融入主城、区域内部路网的布局调整、优化以及旧城区的改造等进行研究,力图实现旧城区城市道路的调整与更新。     

旅游高峰期的预测

利用延迟更新过程理论可讨论旅游高峰期的平均到达时间和两高峰期的平均间隔时间 ,从而可得到旅游高峰期预测的计算公式     

不确定SMDP基于全局优化的鲁棒决策问题

考虑半马尔可夫决策过程（SMDP）在一些系统参数不确定，且性能函数依赖于这些参数时的鲁棒决策问题。这些参数的不确定性不仅导致等价无穷小生成子的不确定性，也导致性能函数的不确定性。论文针对相关参数的情况，分别采用不同的全局优化算法，即填充函数法和模拟退火算法，进行鲁棒控制策略求解。仿真实例说明，全局优化方法的使用保证了平均准则和折扣准则下的计算结果之间当折扣因子趋近于零时的极限关系成立。     

基于比较利益下农业生产模式的模型研究

在连续时间的假设下,研究了农业产出量服从几何布朗运动的最优控制问题。首先借助于马尔可夫过程理论确定出转移概率密度,再利用分布参数系统模型来描述某个地域的粮食和经济作物的产出量在随机变化的情况下,农业生产的分布模型。最后探讨了在均衡条件下农业生产者以寻求利益最大化为目的的最优控制方程。同时给出了某地域粮食及经济作物的产量预测分析模型。参9。     

Optimal Component Types for the Design of Construction Processes

Within the project preparation phase, experienced professionals manually map design information onto process information with the aim to develop realistic and practical schedules. Unfortunately, the mapping itself is neither part of any underlying data model nor is it supported by current scheduling tools. As a consequence the process of setting up the data model for a schedule is still not supported formally. Huhnt and Enge described a modelling technique that addresses the missing linkage between design and process information[1]. The approach makes use of so called component types. These are template sub-processes that describe the fabrication procedure of typical building components. Decomposing the building into com-ponents and assigning a component type to each component allows for formal support while scheduling. Depending on the decomposition of the building into components and the complexity of the involved component types the specification effort differs. The question about optimal component types arises: Which layout of building components and component types results in minimal specification effort? This paper presents a branch and bound algorithm to determine optimal component types. For a given schedule, which has been modelled based on component types, all possible decompositions into sub-processes are determined. During the decomposition process the encountered configurations are compared. Those with minimal specifica-tion effort are registered. Theoretical and practical examples are examined and discussed.     

技术经济学中几个问题的思考

辩证地分析了技术经济学的中国特色问题，提出近年来技术经济研究中重项目轻产品，重方法轻理论，重微观轻宏观，重经济分析轻技术分析，重确定性分析轻风险性分析等五个方面的失衡问题，对设备合理更新时机选择和更新改造项目经济效益计算口径等问题进行了探讨。     

Reliability Analysis of Some Typical Repairable Systems with Arbitrary Repair-Time Distribution

In this paper, reliability of some typical non-Markov repairable systems, including series systems, m-out-of- n or majority vote systems, and n : m cross-strapping standby redundant systems with general repair-time distribution, are studied by applying the generalized Markov renewal process (GMRP). The stochastic behavior of the typical systems is analyzed here. Formulas for mean time to first system failure, MTBF, MTTR, and availability are then developed.     

一种产品销售策略的随机分析

公司出售商品常采用一定策略。利用更新过程理论对一种产品销售策略进行定量分析,得出公司的期望平均利润,为其决策提供依据。