On the single server retrial queue with priority subscribers and server breakdowns

The author concerned the reliability evaluation as well as queueing analysis of M1, M2/G1, G2/1 retrial queues with two different types of primary customers arriving according to independent Poisson flows. In the case of blocking, the first type of customers can be queued whereas the second type of customers must leave the service area but return after some random period of time to try their luck again. The author assumes that the server is unreliable and it has a service-type dependent, exponentially distributed life time as well as a service-type dependent, generally distributed repair time. The necessary and sufficient condition for the system to be stable is investigated. Using a supplementary variable method, the author obtains a steady-state solution for queueing measures, and the transient as well as the steady-state solutions for reliability measures of interest.     

基于LHS-CPSE的非侵入式边坡可靠性分析方法及其应用

边坡可靠性分析大多以侵入式随机有限元法为主,具有抽样次数多、耗时长、通用性差等缺点,而非侵入式可靠度分析方法能够很好的解决上述问题。本文提出一种基于LHS~CPSE的非侵入式边坡可靠性分析方法（简称LHS~ CPSE法）,并以西北地区某公路边坡为案例验证LHS~CPSE法的可靠性,同时将其应用在坡体开挖方案决策中。研究结果表明：LHS~ CPSE法与直接蒙特卡洛法结果非常接近,验证了该方法准确性和可靠性;3阶CPSE随机展开模型较2阶CPSE随机展开模型计算精度略高0.23%,但前者的计算效率是后者的1/3,兼顾精度和效率推荐采用2阶CPSE随机展开模型;随着Ⅰ级边坡平台宽度的增加,开挖量与边坡平均安全系数呈递增趋势,但可靠度呈“先急剧增大,再趋于稳定”的态势,兼顾工程造价与安全考虑,其边坡平台按照4.5 m设计较为合理;LHS~CPSE法能够快速准确的计算边坡的可靠度,可以为边坡设计和决策提供技术支撑。     

基坑抗隆起稳定性研究新进展

坑底隆起易造成基坑坍塌及邻近建(构)筑物不均匀沉降,是影响基坑安全的关键因素之一。针对近10年国内外基坑抗隆起稳定性研究进展,阐释了基坑宽度、土体各向异性及支挡结构嵌固深度等因素对坑底抗隆起稳定性影响规律,列举了近年来基于地基承载力模式及圆弧滑动模式的基坑抗隆起安全系数改进公式,对比了不同改进公式对应的破坏机制及适用范围。进一步介绍了可靠度分析方法在坑底隆起失效概率计算中的运用及失效概率影响因素。最后总结了圆形基坑及坑中坑式基坑坑底隆起破坏机制及抗隆起安全系数计算方法。得到以下结论:(1)基坑越窄、土体各向异性比越低及支挡结构嵌固段越深对基坑坑底抗隆起稳定性越有利,但当支挡结构位于均质土层且端部未嵌入较硬土层时无法体现此规律;(2)基坑坑底隆起的失效概率与岩土体材料及土体参数的空间变异性有关,与安全系数无直接联系;(3)由于尚未建立统一的计算模型,且如何考虑三维效应及拱效应也未明确,圆形基坑抗隆起稳定性分析至今未有统一定论;坑中坑式基坑内外坑间距决定抗隆起破坏机制,抗隆起安全系数应根据内部型及外部型两种不同破坏机制分别计算。     

基于椭球凸模型的结构模糊可靠性分析

结构工程中不仅存在随机不确定性,还存在模糊不确定性.针对结构模糊可靠性问题,提出了一种基于模糊分解定理的超椭球凸模型响应面法,适用于隐式结构功能函数的模糊可靠性求解问题.首先,通过在置信水平[0,1]内遍历隶属度值确定结构可靠度的可能性分布函数,将模糊变量转化成在置信水平[0,1]下的区间变量;其次,建立超椭球凸集模型...     

ST5100TCZ型道路除障车的可靠性评价

在对曾开发过的高速公路除障车进行结构分析的基础上,利用三辆除障车使用情况的有关记录,采用平均故障间隔里程、平均首次故障里程、当量故障率、可靠性综合评价四种不同的方法对整车的可靠性进行了全面的分析与评估, 并由此得出结论： 该车具有较高的可靠性.     

压气机盘疲劳可靠性数字仿真分析

以多轴疲劳的临界平面法为基础,应用随机有限元法确定了压气机盘榫槽部位应力的分布参数,通过标准试样的应变控制低循环疲劳试验确定了材料参数的分布,采用数字仿真分析技术,得到了压气机盘寿命的分布形式和分布参数,建立了压气机盘疲劳可靠性模型.由仿真分析结果可知此方法是可行的,它可以有效降低压气机盘的试验费用,缩短试验周期,具有较高的精度.     

System of developing scale modeling and simulation for URAV

The unmanned reconnaissance aerial vehicle （URAV） plays an important role in battlefield monitoring and information acquiring because of its advantage of zero casualties, and has thus attracted considerable attention of the world. The URAV was developed rapidly in our country, however, no scientific assessment methods have yet been provided owing to different fight requirements of armed forces. Considering the demand of the missile artillery on the martial information, the model of information requirement of combat force, the reconnaissance ability of URAV, the survivability of URAV, and the task reliability of URAV were constructed, respectively. By synthesizing the mathematic models above, the model of developing demand was constructed on the URAV equipment. It simulated and calculated some URAV equipment developing scales, and explored a way of settling the problem of URAV equipment developing demand.     

Link reliability based hybrid routing for tactical mobile ad hoc network

Tactical mobile ad hoc network （MANET） is a collection of mobile nodes forming a temporary network, without the aid of pre-established network infrastructure. The routing protocol has a crucial impact on the network performance in battlefields. Link reliability based hybrid routing （LRHR） is proposed, which is a novel hybrid routing protocol, for tactical MANET. Contrary to the traditional single path routing strategy, multiple paths are established between a pair of source-destination nodes. In the hybrid routing strategy, the rate of topological change provides a natural mechanism for switching dynamically between table-driven and on-demand routing. The simulation results indicate that the performances of the protocol in packet delivery ratio, routing overhead, and average end-to-end delay are better than the conventional routing protocol.     

V型带传动的可靠性设计

根据可靠性设计理论，结合带传动承载能力的传统设计理论，介绍了Ｖ型带传动的可靠性设计。     

基于风险的船体结构腐蚀检测规划

提出了基于风险的船体结构腐蚀检测的基本理论框架以及构件修复度的概念．采用贝叶斯方法分析了船体结构在检测及维修后的可靠性更新．建立了构件检测及维修策略的决策树．通过比较不同检测及维修策略的期望费用确定出了最优的检测及维修策略．在此基础上，对检测及维修策略的决策结果进行了敏感性分析，推导了有关的计算公式．计算结果表明，所提出的方法在选择检测及维修策略时是有效的，而且不同的费用取值对决策结果的可靠性和稳定性有明显的影响．