TKSS—C型信号与系统实验箱的低通滤波器分析

对TKSS-C型信号与系统实验箱的低通滤波器实验模块进行了s平面几何分析，并利用MATLAB7．01中的Power Systems Blockset对其进行了仿真．     

论东北民间文学在东北旅游文化中的教益作用

由于民间文学的社会功能是多方面的,东北地区的民间文学在东北旅游文化中能起到传播知识、净化灵魂、陶冶情操、娱乐休闲等教益作用。     

以科学发展观指导齐齐哈尔市旅游业发展

旅游业的可持续发展需要科学发展观的指导.辨证地分析了齐齐哈尔市旅游业发展的优势和存在的问题,提出了齐齐哈尔市旅游业的发展方向.     

临近空间单粒子效应的数值模型和电路模拟

针对临近空间单粒子效应进行了数值模型仿真和特征尺寸为0.1 μm的反相器电路的脉冲注入模拟研究。数值仿真结果表明器件临界电荷随着工作电压的降低而减小,敏感横截面随着临界电荷的降低而逐渐增大。临近空间微电子器件的单粒子翻转概率随敏感横截面增大而上升,但其又随临近空间高度的增加而下降。此外,利用SPICE软件脉冲注入模拟观察到了反相器电路的单粒子翻转现象。所得结论有助于深入研究临近空间的单粒子效应并为器件抗辐射加固提供了理论依据。     

改进地区生产总值核算的对策

以晋城市的GDP核算工作为例,分析了地区性生产总值核算中存在的问题,并提出了改进地区生产总值核算的对策。     

汉人王弥与匈奴汉国的地方统治

公元307年,王弥反晋起义失败后,决心依附匈奴汉国。他和刘渊“深有分契”,尽量利用汉国的名义,其势力逐渐达到“东王青州”的程度。他成为匈奴汉国地方武装势力后,始终以半独立的状态存在。将以王弥为例,寻找汉国地方武装势力的生存过程,并分析其地方统治模式是一件颇为有意义的工作。     

综合孔径微波辐射探测系统仿真平台设计

由于综合孔径微波辐射探测系统在理论分析和大型阵列物理系统构建方面都十分复杂,因而仿真成为十分重要的研究手段。从系统建模、“搭积木”设计、模型/算法库设计、多级仿真设计以及体系架构等方面论述了综合孔径微波辐射探测系统仿真平台的设计,仿真内容涵盖被探测目标、环境、天线阵列、接收机通道和信号处理等。实验结果表明,该平台能正确模拟对远距空中目标的微波辐射探测,可用于综合孔径微波辐射探测理论及系统设计的研究。     

我国国内旅游需求影响因素分析及规模预测

近20年来我国国内旅游业发展之所以形成高潮,一方面由于我国实行改革开放的结果,而另一方面更在于近年我国居民可支配收入和闲暇时间的增多.2003年上半年,中国旅游业遭受SARS的沉重打击,2003年下半年国内旅游业经历了迅速恢复期,2004年已经表现出很强的增长势头.就影响我国国内旅游业发展的主要因素进行分析,并对未来五年我国国内旅游发展规模进行预测.     

The Design of Behavior Management Institution Based on Special Symbols and Measure Optimizing-Taking the Design of the Institution of Controlling the Pollution Behavior of Enterprises as an Example

Taking the institution design of controlling the pollution behavior of enterprises as an example, the symbol system specialized for the design and analysis of behavior management institution is put forward, which predigests the institution design greatly and make the process of institution design much like the engineering design. The measure combination method for improving the parameters of the institution, the arithmetic for calculating the validity of the institution and the arithmetic for calculating the behavior probability of the irrational managed are also put forward, which make the design and analysis technology of behavior management institution more practical.     

Forecasting volatility by means of threshold models

The aim of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of competing threshold models, in order to capture the asymmetric effect in the volatility. We focus on examining the relative out‐of‐sample forecasting ability of the SETAR‐Threshold GARCH (SETAR‐TGARCH) and the SETAR‐Threshold Stochastic Volatility (SETAR‐THSV) models compared to the GARCH model and Stochastic Volatility (SV) model. However, the main problem in evaluating the predictive ability of volatility models is that the ‘true’ underlying volatility process is not observable and thus a proxy must be defined for the unobservable volatility. For the class of nonlinear state space models (SETAR‐THSV and SV), a modified version of the SIR algorithm has been used to estimate the unknown parameters. The forecasting performance of competing models has been compared for two return time series: IBEX 35 and S&P 500. We explore whether the increase in the complexity of the model implies that its forecasting ability improves. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.