大众健美操的"应赛"训练

本文试就大众健美操短期集训这种常见的“应赛”现象，探讨教练员在训练前应把握要素和训练中应遵循的原则。     

Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Dynamic Forecasting System with Applications in Production Logistics

Production logistics involve the co-ordination of ac tivities such as production and materials control (PMC), inventory management, p roduct life cycle management, etc. Those activities demand for an accurate forec asting model. However, the conventional methods of making sell and buy decision based on human forecast or conventional moving average and exponential smoothing methods is no longer be sufficient to meet the future need. Furthermore, the un derlying statistics of the market information change ...     

对现行工程招标投标制度的思考

从经济学角度分析了现行招标投标制度,对我国工程招标投标制度中的一些问题进行了反思,并提出了相关的建议和措施。     

一个算术函数的误差项估计

设ψ(n)是Dedekind函数,∑n≤x=nψ(n)=αx E(x),其中α是常数,E(x)是误差项.主要目的是利用经典的复积分理论及解析方法研究了E(x)的平方积分均值,得到了一个较为精确的估计式.     

L函数的一类二次均值公式

设整数ｎ≥３，定义二次均值 其中表示对模ｎ的所有偶特征求和．证明了下列公式： 其中 φ（ｎ）为Ｅｕｌｅｒ函数。     

重视师生沟通优化班级管理

进行师生沟通，优化班级管理有四个要点，一是接近学生，熟悉学生；二是捕捉学生的闪光点，赞扬学生；三是形成健康的集体舆论；四是关心学生生活，参与学生的课外活动。     

近10年来深圳市宝安区基层图书馆建设综述

综述了近10年来深圳市宝安区街道和社区图书馆的建设情况,阐明了经济基础和政策支持在基层图书馆建设中的重要作用。     

事业单位人事制度改革探讨

介绍了变身份管理为岗位管理的内涵,论述了规范性岗位管理的主要内容,探讨了岗位说明书和岗位描述的作用及其构成要点。     

浅析地方公共图书馆存在的问题及对策

目前,一些地方公共图书馆落后的组织结构、管理方式以及淡薄的服务意识,已远远不能适应当前社会的需要。针对地方公共图书馆存在的问题,提出一系列改进措施,旨在使地方图书馆更好地为社会公众服务。