Participatory Sustainability Impact Assessment: Scientific Policy Advice as a Social Learning Process

This paper deals with the development of scientific policy advice by providing a methodology to foster a social learning process. The methodology, called participatory Sustainability Impact Assessment (pSIA), aims to structure complex problem situations, to clarify interests and basic assumptions, to interpret scientific studies, to develop impact assessment, and to explore sensitivity of uncertainty and lack of information. In pSIA workshops the participants are supposed to build conceptual models with different modelling methods, like System Dynamics, Value Chain Analysis, and Morphological Analysis. A case study is presented that describes a workshop series with political as well as academic actors, applying the pSIA approach to an impact assessment of Economic Partnership Agreements between the European Union and the Eastern and Southern Africa Region.

一种基于混合系统滤波器的NCS系统故障诊断方法

针对一类具有随机传输时滞的网络化控制系统,在考虑时滞无界的情况下(最坏网络传输),提出了一种基于故障检测滤波器的故障诊断方法。首先,为了处理系统的内采样特性,根据混合系统理论设计了一种基于观测器的混合系统故障检测滤波器(FDF);利用多目标优化技术,将故障检测滤波器的设计问题转化为一类优化问题,并借助线性矩阵不等式方法给出了该优化问题的时滞独立解。最后通过仿真验证了该方法的有效性。     

基于路集的多阶段任务系统可靠性分析模型

提出了一种基于路集的多阶段任务系统可靠性分析模型,将模型推广到更为一般的任意结构系统。该模型考虑了部件的工作配置关系,把多阶段任务系统的可靠性分析转化为系统的状态转移概率。同时给出了系统状态转移概率求解算法,最后给出了一个应用实例。     

COMPARISON OF TWO METHODS OF OPERATING THEATRE PLANNING： APPLICATION IN BELGIAN HOSPITAL

Operating Theatre is the centre of the hospital management＇s efforts. It constitutes the most expensive sector with more than 10% of the intended operating budget of the hospital. To reduce the costs while maintaining a good quality of care, one of the solutions is to improve the existent planning and scheduling methods by improving the services and surgical specialty coordination or finding the best estimation of surgical case durations. The other solution is to construct an effective surgical case plan and schedule. The operating theatre planning and scheduling is the two important steps, which aim to make a surgical case programming with an objective of obtaining a realizable and efficient surgical case schedule. This paper focuses on the first step, the operating theatre planning problem. Two planning methods are introduced and compared. Real data of a Belgian university hospital ＂Tivoli＂ are used for the experiments.     

信息物理融合系统中恶意软件传播与分岔控制策略

针对恶意软件在信息物理融合系统中传播机理难以描述的问题,利用非线性动力学理论构建其传播动力学模型,并基于稳定性理论和Hopf分岔定理对该模型的复杂动力学行为进行分析.为了控制恶意软件传播所引发的Hopf分岔,根据分岔控制理论设计了一类结合参数调节法与状态反馈法的混合分岔控制策略,并深入研究控制参数对Hopf分岔点位置及极限环幅值的影响.数值仿真结果表明所设计的混合分岔控制策略不仅能够提前或推迟Hopf分岔点,而且可以改变极限环幅值大小,使信息物理融合系统产生预期的动力学行为,实现控制目的,从而有效降低恶意软件的危害.     

INTELLIGENT SECURITY SYSTEMS ENGINEERING FOR MODELING FIRE CRITICAL INCIDENTS： TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE SECURITY

An intelligent security systems engineering approach is used to analyze fire and explosive critical incidents, a growing concern in urban communities. A feed-forward back-propagation neural network models the damages arising from these critical incidents. The overall goal is to promote fire safety and sustainable security. The intelligent security systems engineering prediction model uses a fully connected multilayer neural network and considers a number of factors related to the fire or explosive incident including the type of property affected, the time of day, and the ignition source. The network was trained on a large number of critical incident records reported in Toronto, Canada between 2000 and 2006. Our intelligent security systems engineering approach can help emergency responders by improving critical incident analysis, sustainable security, and fire risk management.     

基于核岭回归的非线性系统辨识及其应用

利用满足Mercer条件的核函数改进线性岭回归算法,提出一种新的直接优化的非线性核岭回归算法.与SVM算法相比,该方法的特点是通过对二次损失函数的优化计算,简化了不确定参数的数量,而且由于采用直接优化计算,能有效减少建模的时间,提高计算效率.仿真实验结果和对航煤干点的软测量应用结果都验证了该算法的有效性.     

复杂系统多主体仿真方法论

多主体仿真是研究复杂系统的重要方法,但缺乏规范的方法论.总结了多主体仿真的基本假设和技术特点,指出其本质特征是采用多主体视角建立系统的概念模型.根据多主体仿真的目的和特点提出了一种多主体仿真方法论,讨论了在概念模型建立、仿真模型建立、模型校核与验证等环节的特点.最后指出多主体仿真在适用性判据、建立微观-宏观联系、模型有效性验证方面尚存在的问题.     

Analysis of finite-time practical stability for time-varying polytopic systems

The problem of finite-time practical stability (FTPS) for time-varying polytopic systems is discussed. Three equivalent conditions for FTPS are first proposed. To facilitate the system analysis, a sufficient linear matrix inequality (LMI) criterion on the FTPS is further provided. The definition of finite-time practical boundedness and a sufficient LMI criterion are also provided to overcome the exogenous disturbance. A numerical example is used to illustrate the effect of the proposed approach.     

Robust H2 control for uncertain sampled-data systems

A new approach is proposed for robust H2 problem of uncertain sampled-data systems. Through introducing a free variable, a new Lyapunov asymptotical stability criterion with less conservativeness is established. Based on this criterion, some sufficient conditions on two classes of robust H2 problems for uncertain sampled-data control systems are presented through a set of coupled linear matrix inequalities, Finally, the less conservatism and potential of the developed results are illustrated via a numerical example.