考虑等待时间的网约车与出租车均衡定价研究

针对网约车和出租车的出行服务竞争,用等待时间刻画影响需求的服务质量,考虑网约车服务质量高于/低于出租车服务质量两种情景,探讨两种服务共存的条件及均衡定价策略.研究结果表明:当总网络外部性为正时,两种服务需较高差异化才能实现共存;而当总网络外部性为负时,无需其他条件约束,两种服务皆可共存.通过算例分析,分析了网约车服务等待时间对消费者剩余的影响以及参数对两种服务共存条件的影响.此外,借鉴参照依赖理论描述出租车司机在竞争市场中的获利感知,提出基于服务质量差异的网约车管制措施.研究结论为网约车服务定价和监管策略提供了一定的管理启示.     

Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?

Online search data provide us with a new perspective for quantifying public concern about animal diseases, which can be regarded as a major external shock to price fluctuations. We propose a modeling framework for pork price forecasting that incorporates online search data with support vector regression model. This novel framework involves three main steps: that is, formulation of the animal diseases composite indexes (ADCIs) based on online search data; forecast with the original ADCIs; and forecast improvement with the decomposed ADCIs. Considering that there are some noises within the online search data, four decomposition techniques are introduced: that is, wavelet decomposition, empirical mode decomposition, ensemble empirical mode decomposition, and singular spectrum analysis. The experimental study confirms the superiority of the proposed framework, which improves both the level and directional prediction accuracy. With the SSA method, the noise within the online search data can be removed and the performance of the optimal model is further enhanced. Owing to the long-term effect of diseases outbreak on price volatility, these improvements are more prominent in the mid- and long-term forecast horizons.     

基于背景重建的高光谱图像异常检测

针对高光谱图像异常检测中背景信息与异常目标信息难以有效区分,背景预测精度不佳的问题,提出一种新的基于背景重建的高光谱图像异常检测算法。通过字典学习方法获取高光谱图像背景光谱字典,并利用该字典对待检测图像进行稀疏重建,得到预测背景图像。将预测背景图像与原始图像做差后得到残差图像,进而利用局部RX检测算法对残差图像进行遍历,实现异常目标检测。通过对真实高光谱图像场景进行实验,证明了算法的有效性。     

科技智库研究方法:进展与趋势

 对全球科技智库的学科领域、理论体系、具体方法以及实践成果进行了调研与分析。调研结果显示，经济管理、政治法律、安全社会、能源环境等学科领域是科技智库研究方法关系网的核心，交通建筑、天文地学、生物医药、材料化学、数学物理、信息通信等学科领域处于辅助地位。科技智库的研究理论经由科技规划、科技评估、科技路线图的实践，逐渐向DⅡS研究体系发展。科技智库研究的具体方法可分为数据收集方法、信息整合方法、综合研判方法、方案构建方法4类，具有多主体、多对象、多介质、多因子、多组合、多渠道、多层次、多维度、多阶段、多角色等特征。随着科学技术在公共服务和决策咨询中的应用，科技智库的研究方法以可视化平台、跟踪调查平台、综合检索平台为依托，将进一步深化、拓展、完善。     

Rhetorics and Realities in Public Service Organizations: Systemic Practice and Organizational Learning as Critically Reflexive Action Research (CRAR)

This article sets out to develop an argument and theory-in-practice related to organizational learning and systemic practice as critically reflexive action research (CRAR). It explores principles and concepts associated with CRAR, in the context of different emphases in understandings of and approaches to managing or working with change. The notion of epistemologies of practice is developed, as the basis for introducing on-site and off-site CRAR as interweaving cycles of managerial and organizational learning. A multilayered illustration of an improvisational CRAR environment, using principles of dialectical enquiry and critical learning theater, is offered. A diagrammatic analysis provides the framework for describing and reflecting critically on key CRAR processes. This is expanded with a consideration of possibilities for documentation that can assist with the validation of quality in CRAR processes and outcomes. This has relevance in the context of postpositivist action research at postgraduate levels or within project-based CRAR partnerships. This leads to a further discussion of principles and concepts, in the context of other literature and pressures on public services.     

In Search of Resonance

In this paper I explore the possibility of a complementary relationship between action research and the management and systems sciences. A range of purposes that action researchers and management and systems scientists pursue is initially set out. The paper then explores whether this diversity of purposes and the ways they recommend people to proceed may come together in a new whole that is greater than the sum of its parts. A potentially useful realization of this for practice is a reflexive process of critique, choice, and action, which is elaborated on. The paper then investigates what view of holism arises from the preceeding discussions.     

微生物几丁质酶的研究概况

微生物几丁质酶在自然界中广泛存在,并在物质循环中起重要作用．本文就产生几丁质酶的微生物种类、微生物几丁质酶的特点、酶学性质、产生条件、作用机理及应用等方面的研究状况进行了综述．认为微生物几丁质酶在植物病害的防治中有着广阔的应用前景     

聚类加权PSO-LSSVR的模拟电路性能在线评价策略

针对模拟电路性能在线评价中现场数据采集不可避免产生错值和干扰的问题,运用模糊C-均值聚类（FCM）方法,根据数据特征将电路模型分为多个子模型,同时对子模型样本进行加权;利用标准支持向量机（LSSVR）,结合粒子群算法（PSO）对于参数优化的优越性,实现对于错值、干扰参数的有效抑制.考虑到传统的离线评价策略在训练样本组发生变化时,存在模型不能适时调整等问题,引入增减交互更新设计,实现模型的快速在线更新.实验以高效模拟电路实验为依托,采用近两年内由精密仪器设备测评所得的传统的OTL放大电路的八项技术指标构建训练集,建立PSO-LSS-VR的组合模型进行在线评价.结果表明：该方法能有效处理错值和干扰所带来的回归偏差,性能优于传统LSSVR法、ε-SVR法,评价精度与精密仪器性能评价精度近乎相同,同时具有运算速度优的优势.仿真实验进一步验证了模拟电路性能评价方法PSO-LSSVR的有效性.     

一种新型阳离子沥青乳化剂的合成及在线红外光谱的研究

以十八烷基二甲基叔胺、环氧氯丙烷经一步反应合成出一种新型阳离子沥青乳化剂N,N-二甲基-N-(环氧乙烷-2-亚甲基)十八烷基-1-氯化铵.确定了该反应的最佳反应条件,在最佳反应条件下反应的产率和环氧值分别为98.0%和41.8%.利用红外光谱、1H NMR和元素分析对产物结构进行了表征,利用在线红外光谱技术对该反应进行了追踪分析,检测到副产物.基于以上实验数据,提出了合理的反应机理.该乳化剂对沥青具有很好的乳化能力,制备的乳化沥青储存稳定性良好,属于中裂型沥青乳化剂.     

淮南师范学院大学生体质健康现状调查与对策研究——以2010级非体育专业学生为例

通过分析淮南师范学院2010级非体育专业在校大学生,一、二和三年级三年期间参加的体质健康测试数据和成绩,发现大学生体质健康水平较差。对此分析原因,并且有针对性的提出进一步提高大学生身体素质的对策及科学的锻炼方法,以求对学生健康发展有所裨益,为改善淮南师院大学生身体健康状况提供科学依据。