Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

预估极值调节系统最优动态工作点仿真研究

在改进以前研究方法的基础上,提出了一种具有强抗干扰能力的预估极值调节系统最优动态工作点的方法.仿真研究结果表明,以前的方法在理想情况下预估的最优工作点是准确的,但抗干扰能力差.改进后的方法,在强干扰情况下,仍能准确地预估出最优动态工作点,从而表明这种新方法准确、高效、实用且抗干扰能力强.     

研究性学习的人文价值探析

在我国刚刚起步的研究性学习除具有一定的科学价值之外,还具有丰富的人文价值,它可培养学生的主体意识,培养学生健全的人格,促进学生的全面发展,促进每一位学生的发展;其人文价值具有伴随性、生成性、内隐性的特点.     

多系统安装问题的研究

针对当前多系统安装引导工具在实际使用中存在的不同操作系统间的互扰问题，提出了多系统安装的新思路，通过不同操作系统拥有各自独立的C盘，解决了多系统安装中的互扰问题，真正实现了单机多系统的相互独立，对微机多系统安装研究具有一定的参考价值。     

长春市民办高校与公立高校体育科研现状对比研究

采用文献资料法、数理统计法、比较法对吉林省民办高校和公立高校体育教师的科研现状进行比较分析,比较二者不同年龄、学历、职称的教师发表论文状况,分析二者的科研学术氛围及科研条件,旨在了解长春市两类高校的体育科研的现状,为长春市高校体育科研水平的提高提供参考。     

联机联合编目与资源共享的现状及其对策

论述了图书馆联机联合编目的现状,探讨了联机联合编目与资源共享的意义,提出了新形势下实现联机联合编目与资源共享的若干对策。     

Total systems intervention and human inquiry: The search for a common ground

Total Systems Intervention (TSI) is an approach to intervening in problem situations which has much to offer where complex interacting issues need to be addressed by the complementary use of intervention methodologies. That such an approach has much in common with Action Research (AR) has been recognized, with much recent effort being devoted to the relationship between AR and Critical Systems Thinking (CST), the theoretical endeavor underpinning TSI. This paper further develops this line of debate and relates AR or Human Inquiry (HI) more directly to TSI, using an information systems intervention to enhance the study. The outcome is a demonstration of how TSI implicitly uses techniques informed from the field of Action Research, and how a more thorough synthesis of HI with TSI might serve to improve the overall intervention process.     

C~3I系统理论评述

本文综述了C~3I系统研究中的主要问题与现状,讨论了该系统的建模、效能分析以及影响理论研究的几个因素,并对未来C~3I系统理论的主要问题、难点以及解决手段等进行了探讨。     

农民责任观现状的实证研究——以湖南省衡南县花桥镇为例

以湖南省衡南县花桥镇为研究样本区域,从三方面对农民责任观现状展开了社会调查和实证分析,并对如何进一步增强农民责任观提出了建议。     

运动生化实验室建设和改革的实践与思考

本文浅谈了我院运动生化实验室建设和改革的一些实践经验,并提出了今后的发展设想。