企业价值评估中自由现金流量分析

自由现金流量是企业价值的基本决定因素，而其定义却可能会随着使用对现金流量分析目的不同而有所不同。从企业价值评估的角度对自由现金流量进行分析与定义，可以给出自由现金流量的两种计算方法。     

P/E changes: some new results

The P/E ratio is often used as a metric to compare individual stocks and the market as a whole relative to historical valuations. We examine the factors that affect changes in the inverse of the P/E ratio (E/P) over time in the broad market (S&P 500 Index). Our model includes variables that measure investor beliefs and changes in tax rates and shows that these variables are important factors affecting the P/E ratio. We extend prior work by correcting for the presence of a long‐run relation between variables included in the model. As frequently conjectured, changes in the P/E ratio have predictive power. Our model explains a large portion of the variation in E/P and accurately predicts the future direction of E/P, particularly when predicted changes in E/P are large or provide a consistent signal over more than one quarter. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

关于工程量清单计价探讨

工程量清单计价模式实现了统一工程量计算规则,人工、材料、机械消耗量由投标人根据企业定额,管理人员水平,现有的技术装备来编制投标价。通过公平竞争,底标价中标,充分调动了企业的积极性,提高了企业管理水平,改变了过去定额的指令性和统一性报价模式,适应当前建筑业市场发展。     

模糊数的排序方法

针对不确定型的多属性决策问题，提出了关于区间数和模糊数序关系的赋值概念，给出了一种关于区间数和模糊数的赋值序关系方法，它具有良好的传递性和良好的直观性、实用性，并具有广泛的应用前景。     

建设工程计价原理与两种计价方法

介绍了建设工程的计价原理,分析了定额计价和清单计价的特点与区别。     

房地产抵押贷款证券化的法律风险分析

房地产抵押贷款证券化是国外一种比较成熟的资产证券化的融资手段,近年来,随着我国居民个人贷款购房的迅速增加,银行住房贷款业务迅猛发展,在我国开展房地产抵押贷款证券化的呼声也日益高涨。针对我国证券化方面的法律非常不健全的状况,探讨了房地产抵押贷款存在的法律风险。     

Residual income,non‐earnings information,and information content

We extend Ohlson's (1995) model and examine the relationship between returns and residual income that incorporate analysts' earnings forecasts and other non‐earnings information variables in the balance sheet, namely default probability and agency cost of a debt covenant contract. We further divide the sample based on bankruptcy (agency) costs, earnings components and growth opportunities of a firm to explore how these factors affect the returns–residual income link. We find that the relative predictive ability for contemporaneous stock price by considering other earnings and non‐earnings information is better than that of models without non‐earnings information. If the bankruptcy (agency) cost of a firm is higher, its information role in the firm's equity valuation becomes more important and the accuracy of price prediction is therefore higher. As for non‐earnings information, if bankruptcy (agency) cost is lower, the information role becomes more relevant, and the earnings response coefficient is hence higher. Moreover, the decomposition of unexpected residual income into permanent and transitory components induces more information than that of the unexpected residual income alone. The permanent component has a larger impact than the transitory component in explaining abnormal returns. The market and industry properties and growth opportunity also have incremental explanatory power in valuation. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于EVA指标的价值评估模型探析

基于EVA指标的企业价值评估模型是EVA指标在企业价值评估领域的具体应用.首先对企业价值评估的涵义进行了界定,然后利用EVA指标构建了基于该指标的价值评估模型,并在此基础上对其适用形式做了尝试性的研究,旨在为广大投资者及管理者评估企业价值提供新的思路.     

基于价格随机波动率的衍生产品期权定价

为了研究随机波动率对期权定价的影响，应用解偏微分方程与特征函数方法，建立了基于价格随机波动率的欧式买权定价模型．该模型允许基础资产价格的波动率与其收益率相关，并证得欧式买权的价格与基础资产价格过程的漂移项无关．在允许随机利率情况下，应用该模型进一步给出了债券期权和外汇期权的定价公式，结果表明它对期权定价有重要作用。     

房地产贷款项目可行性评估初探

房地产业的高利润与高风险共存，房地产开发项目也离不开金融机构的贷款支持，房地产贷款项目评估是金融机构为规避风险而采取的一种防范措施，一般要对承贷企业和承贷项目进行评估。对承贷企业的评估重点在企业财务评价上，主要分析企业是否能持续经营和持续经营情况下的财务状况；对承贷项目的评估主要从项目的市场分析、项目投资成本收益分析、项目的风险和项目投资效益等方面进行测算；最终存出项目是否可行的评估结论。