消除增长上限制约的管理对策生成法——-以银河杜仲区域规模养种生态能源系统发展为例

社会经济复杂系统中存在大量增长上限问题,刻画此问题的增长上限基模是由正反馈环、 负反馈环和延迟构成,其中负反馈环存在抑制系统不断发展的制约作用. 针对负反馈环产生制约作用的根本原因是存在起制约作用的负因果链, 首先基于对负因果链所属负反馈环中极大开环的结构特征分析, 遵循极大开环中输入变量改变量小于零的原则生成初始对策集, 接着根据复杂系统发展的多目标筛选得到目标筛选初始对策集, 再根据对策的实际实施条件筛选获得可操作的管理对策集, 然后仿真验证双筛选得到的管理对策的有效性.以银河杜仲区域规模养种生态能源系统发展为例, 基于2008-2010年的历史数据和其他实际信息,建立含七个核心变量的增长上限基模,利用此方法生成三条可操作性的管理对策. 以核心变量为基础,建立六棵流率基本入树,建立仿真模型.然后,定量仿真分析了消除增长上限制约的管理对策生成法的实施效应, 实现了从定性至定量综合有效分析,为实际系统发展提供决策依据,验证了此消除增长上限制约管理对策生成法的有效性.     

阴/阳离子表面活性剂混合体系性能研究

考察阴离子表面活性剂十二烷基硫酸钠（SDS）和阳离子表面活性剂十六烷基三甲基溴化铵（CTAB）混合体系的表面张力和乳化能力,并研究无机盐对混合体系性能的影响。实验结果显示,当m（SDS）：m（CTAB）为8：2时,表面张力低至29.25mN·m^-1,表现出较强的表面活性,且无机盐有降低表面张力的作用。表面活性剂混合体系对煤油具有较好的乳化能力。     

Strategic Robust Mixed Model Assembly Line Balancing Based on Scenario Planning

Assembly line balancing involves assigning a series of task elements to uniform sequential stations with certain restrictions. Decision makers often discover that a task assignment which is optimal with respect to a deterministic or stochastic/fuzzy model yields quite poor performance in reality. In real environments, assembly line balancing robustness is a more appropriate decision selection guide. A robust model based on the α worst case scenario is developed to compensate for the drawbacks of traditional robust criteria. A robust genetic algorithm is used to solve the problem. Comprehensive computational experiments to study the effect of the solution procedure show that the model generates more flexible robust solutions. Careful tuning the value of α allows the decision maker to balance robustness and conservativeness of as- sembly line task element assignments.     

双抛物面均匀反射聚焦式光伏发电供热装置

为进一步提高光伏发电系统的整机效率,研制了一套基于双抛物面均匀反射聚焦方式的新型光伏发电供热装置.分析了装置的整体构件组成、双抛物面聚光原理及其结构参数关系,并给出两轴伺服跟踪实现原理框图.基于滤红外线和水冷法相结合的光伏电板冷却技术,及两轴伺服结构和混合追日跟踪策略等技术原理进行设计.通过对原理实物样机的现场实测,验证了装置设计的正确有效性.     

新一代交通仿真技术综述

简要回顾了国内外交通仿真技术的发展历程,总结了新世纪以来新一代交通仿真技术的主要特点。然后,比较分析了当前主流交通仿真模型的特性,并对交通仿真应用程序接口、硬件在环和软件在环交通仿真、在线交通仿真等面向智能交通系统应用的高级仿真技术进行了深入解析。最后,根据我国交通仿真研究和应用的现状,在符合我国交通特性的基础仿真模型研究、交通仿真系统的开发模式、在线仿真技术的开发方法等方面提出了改进建议。

Abstract：

The historical course of traffic simulation in China and abroad was briefly reviewed firstly,and some major features of the new generation traffic simulation technology since 21st century were summarized then. Afterwards,the simulation model characteristics of some prevailing traffic simulation models were comparably analyzed,and several advanced traffic simulation techniques for ITS applications were expatiated,including traffic simulation API,hardware-in-the-loop traffic simulation,software-in-the-loop traffic simulation,online traffic simulation. Finally,based on the state-of-the-practice of traffic simulation in China,some suggestions were given on fundamental simulation modeling fitting for Chinese traffic characteristics,development modes of traffic simulation system,development methodologies of online traffic simulation,etc.     

风力发电节能技术的状况分析

本文介绍了国内外风力发电产业发展概况,从风力资源、电网情况、制造能力、公众环保意识等方面指出了影响我国风电产业的主要因素,并提出了相关的解决办法。     

A relay selection scheme based on geometric optimum in cooperative cognitive systems over mixed channels

This paper proposes a relay selection scheme based on geometric optimum principle to maximize the cognitive link＇ s connectivity with limited interference to primary user in cooperative cognitive systems. A dual-hop cognitive relay system is considered, in which the channel impulse response follows independent non-identical distribution （i. n. d. ） each hop, such as Rician, Rayleigh and Nakagami-m distribution. Then, closed-form expressions in terms of outage probability and average bit error rate （ABER） are obtained using amplify-and-forward （AF） relaying protocol over such mixed fading channels. Furthermore, the best range of the relay is derived. Extensive simulation re- suits are conducted to verify the theoretical analysis, which is useful to the network optimal design.     

预退火工艺对Bi3.15Nd0.85Ti3O12铁电薄膜性质的影响

采用溶胶一凝胶法在Pt／Ti／SiO2/Si基片上制备了Bi3.15Nd0.85Ti3O12铁电薄膜。将薄膜分别进行每一层预退火、每二层预退火、每三层空气中500℃预退火10min，分别称为a．b、c组薄膜，最后都于氮气氛中680℃总退火0．5h。结果表明，预退火工艺对薄膜的铁电性能影响较大，而对取向基本没有影响。同时，a,b两组薄膜的铁电性能（2Pr分别为47．8μC／cm2。和51．9μC／cm2）远远优于c组薄膜的铁电性（2Pr=28．7 μC／cm2）。所有Bi3.15Nd0.85Ti3O12薄膜都呈现良好的抗疲劳特性。     

逐步回归方法在虫情测报中的应用

应用逐步回归等数理统计方法,采用电子计算机作计算工具,在众多的气象因子中筛选出一、二个因子作为预报的依据.所得结果对我们所收集数据地区的虫情测报有实际意义.     

燃煤磁流体发电研究的现状与前景

扼要介绍了开展燃煤磁流体发电研究的各主要国家的研究现状,和燃煤磁流体发电装置的各主要部件研究的进展。根据已经取得的研究结果,对这项技术的实用化进程,提出了展望。