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Manabu Asai 《Journal of forecasting》2013,32(5):469-480
The paper considers the return and range model with dynamic conditional correlations (DCC). The paper suggests the new specifications for the asymmetric effects on log‐volatilities and dynamic correlations, combined with long‐run dependences. The new DCC model can be estimated by the quasi‐maximum likelihood method. Empirical analysis on Nikkei 225, Hang Seng and Straits Times indices shows the daily, weekly and monthly pattern of asymmetric effects. For the period including the global financial crisis, the new DCC model provides plausible one‐step‐ahead forecasts of the VaR thresholds, and yields positive economic values of switching from other DCC models. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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L.A. Gil‐Alana 《Journal of forecasting》2001,20(5):329-340
Fractionally integrated models with the disturbances following a Bloomfield ( 1973 ) exponential spectral model are proposed in this article for modelling UK unemployment. This gives us a better understanding of the low‐frequency dynamics affecting the series without relying on any particular ARMA specification for its short‐run components which, in general, require many more parameters to estimate. The results indicate that this exponential model, confounded with fractional integration, may be a feasible way of modelling unemployment. It also shows that its order of integration is much higher than one and thus leads to the conclusion that the standard practice of taking first differences may lead to erroneous results. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Financial data series are often described as exhibiting two non‐standard time series features. First, variance often changes over time, with alternating phases of high and low volatility. Such behaviour is well captured by ARCH models. Second, long memory may cause a slower decay of the autocorrelation function than would be implied by ARMA models. Fractionally integrated models have been offered as explanations. Recently, the ARFIMA–ARCH model class has been suggested as a way of coping with both phenomena simultaneously. For estimation we implement the bias correction of Cox and Reid ( 1987 ). For daily data on the Swiss 1‐month Euromarket interest rate during the period 1986–1989, the ARFIMA–ARCH (5,d,2/4) model with non‐integer d is selected by AIC. Model‐based out‐of‐sample forecasts for the mean are better than predictions based on conditionally homoscedastic white noise only for longer horizons (τ > 40). Regarding volatility forecasts, however, the selected ARFIMA–ARCH models dominate. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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针对相变存储器皮秒测试系统由于矩阵开关电路分布参数以及信号通道中阻抗突变所引起的反射,严重影响了皮秒脉冲信号的完整性,使施加在相变单元上的皮秒脉冲信号严重失真,为了消除失真,改善信号完整性,从2个方面提出了解决方案:一是采用性能优良的高频继电器构成矩阵开关;二是减小反射,采取了源端阻抗匹配、负载分支端阻抗补偿、菊花链双线拓扑结构等措施,使得反射的影响减小到最小.理论分析与仿真结果表明:皮秒脉冲信号波形质量良好,满足测试要求.本测试系统为研究皮秒编程脉冲作用下相变存储器的存储机理、速度、可靠性等提供了良好的平台,也可作为电阻式随机擦写存储器单元测试系统. 相似文献
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LI YingTao LONG ShiBing LIU Qi Lü HangBing LIU Su & LIU Ming * School of Physical Science Technology Lanzhou University Lanzhou China Laboratory of Nano-Fabrication Novel Device Integration Institute of Microelectronics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 《科学通报(英文版)》2011,(Z2):3072-3078
With recent progress in material science, resistive random access memory (RRAM) devices have attracted interest for nonvolatile, low-power, nondestructive readout, and high-density memories. Relevant performance parameters of RRAM devices include operating voltage, operation speed, resistance ratio, endurance, retention time, device yield, and multilevel storage. Numerous resistive-switching mechanisms, such as conductive filament, space-charge-limited conduction, trap charging and discharging, Schottky Emission, and Pool-Frenkel emission, have been proposed to explain the resistive switching of RRAM devices. In addition to a discussion of these mechanisms, the effects of electrode materials, doped oxide materials, and different configuration devices on the resistive-switching characteristics in nonvolatile memory applications, are reviewed. Finally, suggestions for future research, as well as the challenges awaiting RRAM devices, are given. 相似文献
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为了保证矿山电机车的安全行驶,设计了用于监测扣显示矿山架线电机车的智能超速报警记录仪,该报警记录仪由89C2051单片机控制,外接适当的接口电路,可显示行车瞬时速度,累计单班里程和总里程,具有超速声光报警,速度记忆等功能,主要论述了系统的硬件电路设计原理扣软件设计思路。 相似文献
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Windows多任务系统应用程序设计中,内存管理是一项关键技术.论述了为降低应用程序占用内存量和占有时间及应注意应用程序设计中内存组织形式的选择,以减少或限制不必要的内存对象.并使用可移动对象,合理管理内存以防止GP故障的产生. 相似文献