盐膏层油水井套管损坏机理研究

中原油田大部分油水井套管的损坏发生在盐膏层段,造成套管损坏的根本原因是盐膏层的蠕变.通过盐岩的三轴蠕变实验,建立盐岩变形的本构关系;通过数值模拟计算岩盐蠕变的速度、位移及作用在套管上的非均匀外挤力.     

基于围岩破坏区和承载力的锚杆支护设计

从岩石力学最大周向拉应力破坏准则理论出发,结合隧道工程实例,运用理论分析和现场试验数据统计分析的方法,研究了隧道开挖过程中破坏区域的范围和破坏规律,并对破坏区域的承载能力进行了分析。结果表明:隧道开挖过程中围岩破坏区域承载了很大的荷载,而支护体系承受的荷载只是很小一部分;围岩破坏范围和破坏区域的承载能力可以通过岩体的力学参数进行计算得出。工程应用表明,锚杆支护设计参数可以通过计算围岩的破坏区域和承载能力获得。     

凹球面冷成形模断裂失效分析与研究

通过对试验中W6Mo5Cr4V2冷作模具钢模芯的断裂失效进行断口分析、强度（拉应力、弯曲应力、应力集中）计算,认为在三种可能造成模芯断裂的情况中,结构性应力集中是造成断裂主要原因,即是模芯台阶圆角过渡处存在应力集中,导致模芯受较大弯矩作用,产生截面拉伸应力过载后断裂。提出改台阶为锥面结构,为今后模具改进设计提供可靠依据。     

Man Is Unable to Change the Miserable Life——Analysis of the Arrangement of Four Characters in The Glass Menagerie

Tennessee Williams is considered as one of the most important American playwrights since World War II.The Glass Menagerie is his first successful drama,which describes a tragic situation of family and means to say that Man is unable to change the miserable life,no matter whatever means he try,This essay focuses on the analysis of the arrangement of the four main characters:Laura.Amanda,Jim and Tom to reveal the theme.Laura is fragile.Amanda is brave.Jim is vital.Tom is sensible.And all of them develop and try the different means to struggle against life,but fail tragically.With the evidence,the paper comes to conclusion naturally that Man is unable to change the miserable life,and he dooms to fail.     

钢管混凝土柱破坏过程的三维数值模拟

用材料破坏过程分析系统RFPA3D(realistic failure process analysis)对矩形钢管混凝土短柱在轴心受压条件下的受力、变形与内部裂缝萌生、扩展及最终破坏的全过程进行了数值模拟分析.数值模型中引入了统计分布函数,反映了混凝土的非均匀性影响,采用细观单元材料性质退化的方法,利用位移加载来实现钢管混凝土的逐渐破坏过程.讨论了极限承载力与钢管混凝土柱长度的关系及钢管混凝土截面面积对极限承载力的影响等问题.数值试验再现了试件的整个破坏过程.分析结果表明RFPA3D数值实验方法为钢管混凝土结构的研究提供了新的方法和途径.     

现代机械产品智能优化设计方法及其应用

在总结前人研究成果的基础上,提出了面向现代机械产品的智能优化设计法.该方法以智能机器为研究对象,以智能控制理论和方法为理论基础,可在设计过程中实现对现代机械产品的工作参数、工作过程、工作状态以及故障诊断等方面进行智能优化.通过对现代机械产品设计特点的具体分析,建立了智能优化设计法的理论结构体系,包括智能优化设计法的含义、研究目标、研究内容、理论基础和特点等内容.以工作在非结构环境下的打磨机器人为例进行了智能优化设计研究,实验结果表明该方法可全面提高产品的智能化程度和设计质量.     

管道类连续系统可靠性建模方法

以管道这种典型的连续系统可靠性建模为背景,论述了国内外研究现状,通过将连续系统离散成单元(作为一个"串联系统"对待),应用最小次序统计量推导出系统强度的概率密度函数;分析了基于最小次序统计量思想的串联系统相关失效可靠性建模;同时讨论了连续系统材料强度的两种影响因素:材料自身的不均匀性和材料质量的不稳定性.最后建立了管道类连续系统可靠性模型,能够反映单元间的失效相关性,为管道、钢缆等连续系统的可靠性设计与可靠性计算提供依据.     

Predicting heartbeat arrival time for failure detection over internet using auto-regressive exogenous model

Predicting heartbeat message arrival time is crucial for the quality of failure detection service over internet. However, internet dynamic characteristics make it very difficult to understand message behavior and accurately predict heartbeat arrival time. To solve this problem, a novel black-box model is proposed to predict the next heartbeat arrival time. Heartbeat arrival time is modeled as auto-regressive process, heartbeat sending time is modeled as exogenous variable, the model's coefficients are estimated based on the sliding window of observations and this result is used to predict the next heartbeat arrival time. Simulation shows that this adaptive auto-regressive exogenous (ARX) model can accurately capture heartbeat arrival dynamics and minimize prediction error in different network environments.     

安全阀升力系数试验研究和数值模拟

通过建立安全阀升力系数的测量装置,研究了安全阀开启高度对升力系数的影响。基于安全阀压力释放原理,构建安全阀数值模拟的三维CFD模型,计算了安全阀内部的压力场和速度场分布。计算与实验结果相比较表明,所建立的CFD模型可对安全阀排放过程进行定量分析,并可系统研究安全阀主要结构参数对安全阀升力系数的影响,优化安全阀的设计。     

New Approach to Calculate the Unavailability of Identical Spares in Cold Spare Configuration

Cold spare is the most common configuration amongst the three types of configuration for systems used on board and for power generation systems. A new approach to calculate the unavailability of systems composed of identical spares in cold spare configuration was proposed in this study. Instead of using the spare gate of dynamic fault tree( DFT) and the Markov analysis,AND gate of static fault tree used for calculating the unavailability of cold spare systems was proposed in this paper. By using this approach,unavailability of identical cold spare systems composed of nonrepairable spare components can be calculated exactly and systems composed of both repairable and nonreparable identical spare components can be estimated without building large Markov state diagram.