长跑运动员过度训练问题分析及其对策

旨在为过度训练提供训练量制定和训练效果评价的理论依据 .通过中外中长跑运动员经常出现的过度训练表象及生理机能变化的分析 ,提出了防止过度训练的原则与措施     

长距离跑径赛项目2组弧形起跑线画法例析

根据田径规则对有些长距离跑径赛项目起跑的有关规定，讨论了这些径赛项目分2组同时起跑时，其2组弧形起跑线的渐开线画法和放射点连线画法．     

关于维纳过程增量的讨论

关于Winener过程增量有多大的研究前人已经得出了一些重要的结论,本文利用正态分布尾概率不等式和Borel-Cantelli引理等工具,对Wiener过程在区间[0,T]以及长度为aT的子区间上的一个线性组合的增量问题进行了探讨,得出了关于线性组合在区间[0,T]以及长度为aT的子区间上的增量有多大的一些重要结论,本结论是对Csórgó.M和Révész.P两人关于Winener过程增量有多大重要结果的推广。     

Tourism in the Canary Islands: forecasting using several seasonal time series models

This paper deals with the analysis of the number of tourists travelling to the Canary Islands by means of using different seasonal statistical models. Deterministic and stochastic seasonality is considered. For the latter case, we employ seasonal unit roots and seasonally fractionally integrated models. As a final approach, we also employ a model with possibly different orders of integration at zero and the seasonal frequencies. All these models are compared in terms of their forecasting ability in an out‐of‐sample experiment. The results in the paper show that a simple deterministic model with seasonal dummy variables and AR(1) disturbances produce better results than other approaches based on seasonal fractional and integer differentiation over short horizons. However, increasing the time horizon, the results cannot distinguish between the model based on seasonal dummies and another using fractional integration at zero and the seasonal frequencies. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

深井长距离大断面回采巷道支护方案优化

为解决文家坡煤矿4101首采工作面长距离大断面回采巷道顶板下沉量大、钢带变形严重以及帮部破碎扩容显著等围岩失稳带来的支护质量差甚至支护失效现象,采用钻孔窥视仪对巷道进行布孔观测和工程类比法对原支护方案进行优化。结果表明:采用优化方案后,顶板下沉量从600 mm降低到100 mm,并且钢带受剪切变形显著减少;巷道尺寸收敛现象为50~100 mm,低于优化前的300 mm.为避免巷道变形严重,在监测监控基础上增加支护强度是合理可行的。     

超短期风电功率预测的混合深度学习模型

针对风电功率预测(WPF)问题,提出一种基于离散小波变换(DWT)、时间卷积网络(TCN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络的混合深度学习模型(DWT-TCN-LSTM),对超短期风电功率进行预测.将DWT-TCN-LSTM模型分别与差分整合移动平均自回归(ARIMA)模型,支持向量回归(SVR)模型,长短期记忆神经网络模型和卷积长短期记忆(TCN-LSTM)混合模型进行对比实验,通过对称平均绝对百分比误差(SMAPE),均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)3种评价指标值对各个模型进行评价.实验结果表明:DWT-TCN-LSTM模型具有较好的预测性能.     

Wavelet Estimation of a Long Memory Parameter In the Stock Market

I 1ntroductlonThe potential presence of stochastic long memory in financial asset returns has been animportant subject of both theoretical and empirical research. If asset returns display longmemory, or long--term dependence, they exhibit significant autocorrelation betweenobservations widely separated in time. In economics and finance, long--range dependencehas a long history and has remained a topic of active research is the study of economic andfinancial time series (see Lo [5j and Mandelb…     

U-统计量尾概率级数的收敛性

本文对相当广泛的一类权函数和边界函数给出了U-统计量尾概率级数收敛的充分条件.     

数字信息资源选择性保存的策略研究

数字信息资源长期保存不能完全套用印本环境下的保存模式,应根据数字信息的特点和保存原则,确立数字信息资源内容、媒体、技术、格式、模式和标准的选择性保存策略。     

滨南油田低渗欠注井酸化增注技术研究与应用

提出了一种针对滨南低渗油田欠注井酸化增注的系统实验研究方法。根据储层特征分析了注污水和重复酸化对地层的损害及对酸化液的选取原则。根据长岩心酸化流动模拟实验进行了酸化工艺参数优选及其评估分析。现场施工证明该酸化液体系适应性较好 ,工艺参数合理 ,能够较好地解除地层中有机物和无机物堵塞 ,提高注水量 ,降低泵注压力 ,在低渗油田注水井中具有推广价值。