Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

低温二维电子气体的比热容

运用闭路格林函数方法，得到了二维电子气体热力学势的表达式，同时还得到了新的交换项，这个交换项可以化为已知的由虚时方法得到的表达式，但在低温下它没有奇异性，这表明，虽然闭路格林函数方法和虚时方法在总体上是等价的，但在一些技术细节上前者优于后者，此外，从导出的热力学势出发计算了二维电子气体在低温下的比热容。     

基于代理的校园网计费管理系统

根据目前Cernet校园网典型结构,设计了一种适应性广、通用性强的校园网计费管理系统,探讨了使用代理服务器进行计费的主要功能和工作流程.     

Analysis of Pyrolysates for Phenol Formaldehyde Resin by Py-GC/MS

Pyrolysis of phenol formaldehyde resin has been investigated by Pyrolysis Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectroscopy at the different temperatures from 500℃ to 750℃. Its composition of pyrclysates has been analyzed. Several compounds, especially benzene, toluene, p-xylene could only be formed above 500-550℃. Howerver, peak intensities for some pbend derivatives were decreased at the higher temperature. During pyrolysis, for thermo-setting phenol formaldehyde resins, polymeric chain scissions take place as a successive removal of the monomer units from the polymeric chain. The chain scissions are followed by secondary reactions, which leads to a variety of compounds. Addition reactions can also take place among the double-bond compounds during pyrolysis.     

沉积盆地侵入岩区的异常“温度场、压力场和地球化学场”与油气的关系——以东营凹陷纯西辉长岩为例

通过岩石学、有机地球化学等分析 ,发现纯西辉长岩周围烃源岩具有有机质含量极低、高熟和裂缝发育以及油气比较丰富等特征 .研究表明 ,其根源是辉长岩形成的特殊温度场、压力场和地球化学场 ;辉长岩形成的异常高温大大促进了烃源岩热演化 ,并提高了生烃量 ;高压产生的大量裂缝为烃源岩排烃和油气聚集提供了通道和储集空间 ;而辉长岩带来的深源氢对烃源岩起到加氢作用 ,扩大了生烃量     

UPS网络控制和电压波形显示的研究

对目前在UPS方面研究的焦点问题作了阐述 ,并重点介绍了UPS网络控制系统的实现方法、系统功能和技术特点     

煅烧制度对煅烧石膏溶解特性的影响

在硅酸盐水泥中,应用经过煅烧的石膏比二水石膏更能提高水泥的强度.为此,研究和分析了煅烧温度、保温时间对煅烧后的二水石膏在纯水中的溶解特性的影响.     

基于特征造型的注塑件CAD/CAE研究

以某电器零件的特征造型与注塑分析模拟为例，介绍了Pro/Engineer的特点以及在注塑件产品开发中的应用。     

THE TRANSFER BEHAVIOUR OF SOME CATIONS AT WATER／NITROBENZENE INTERFACE BY SEMIDIFFERENTIAL CYCLIC VOLTAMMETRY

The transfer of Sr~(2+) and Ba~(2+) ion, facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase, and of succinylcholine ion at w/nb interface were investigated by semi-differential cyclic voltammetry. A good polarographic curve of succinylcholine ion dissolved in water was obtained in the system of 0.01 mol/l LiCl (w)——0.01 mol/l TBATPB (nb). The peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of SC~(2+) ion. It can be used for the determination of SC and the detection limit is 1.05×10~(-5) mol/l.The apparent D~w and D~(nb) have been estimated. The transfer of Sr~(2+) and of Ba~(2+) at the interface are facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase and the peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of 18-Crown-6 in water. This method can be used for the determination of the complexing agent and for the stability constant of the complex formed in the aqueous phase.All the experimental results are in keeping with the theoretical.     

冶炼工业废气中SO_2的脱除研究

研究用软锰矿的水悬浮液脱除冶炼工业废气中SO_2的工艺可行性,提出抑制副产物MnS_2O_6生成的途径。