Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

整系数多项式是否存在有理根的几种判别法及应用

本文给出一类整系数多项式最多存在ｉ（ｉ＝０，１，２，…，ｎ－２）个有理根的判别法。并将文［３，４］中的主要结果作了进一步的推广。     

偏最小二乘紫外分光光度法同时测定萘，1－甲基萘和蒽

用偏最小二乘法（ＰＬＳ）进行校正和预测，不经分离同时测定了混合体系中的萘，１－甲基萘和蒽。萘，１－甲基萘和蒽的浓度分别在０～２８ｍｇ／Ｌ，０～４０ｍｇ／Ｌ和０～４０ｍｇ／Ｌ的浓度范围服从比耳定律。对合成样品中这三种组分进行分析，结果令人满意。     

近终形连铸技术的发展状况

近终形连铸技术是当今冶金科技领域的一门前沿学科。本文介绍目前近终形连铸技术的发展及趋势。在世界各国的研究中，美国比较注重单辊法，日本侧重于双辊法，西欧则侧重于改进结晶器的结构和功能，开发新型铸机     

新型锆质不定形耐火材料的研制

以废旧电熔锆刚玉为主要原料,采用合理的粒度级配,应用复合结合剂和外加剂以凝聚结合的方式研制成功具有高荷重软化温度、高强度、低气孔率、低烧结线变化的新型锆质不定形耐火材料。图4,表4,参3。     

视频信息监控与处理--ATM视频监控系统下

针对银行ATM管理上的缺陷，提出了ATM视频监控系统，并就系统的功能及其信息处理与安全方面的特点作了论述。     

利用MAX813L防止应用程序出现死循环故障

介绍了利用CPU监控芯片MAX813L防止应用程序出现死循环的方法，使用表明该方法是可行的。     

硼酸对镍-镁合金电沉积和电化学性质的影响

该文报道了分别用0．05、0．10、0．15、0．33、0．50g／mL的硼酸进行电沉积镍-镁合金的实验。原子吸收光谱实验的结果表明，沉积相中包含不等量的镍和镁，电流效率也随硼酸量的不同而发生不同趋势的变化。从极化实验的结果，讨论了硼酸在电沉积中所起的作用是阻碍氢气的析出。在溶出伏安图中，能观察到5种不同强度的Mg2Ni峰，与XRD得到的结果相吻合。循环伏安测量结果证明镍-镁合金沉积薄膜电极具有良好的充／放电性能。     

论GIS模糊不确定性以及处理方法探讨

论述了GIS模糊不确定性的认识，介绍了不确定性的相关概念，阐述了GIS的模糊不确定性，及其处理方法。     

首次公开发行股票(IPO)定价模型的评析

对首次公开发行股票定价的三种模型的假设条件、应用优势和局限性进行了评估.