Time‐simultaneous prediction band for a time series

I propose principles and methods for the construction of a time‐simultaneous prediction band for a univariate time series. The methods are entirely based on a learning sample of time trajectories, and make no parametric assumption about its distribution. Hence, the methods are general and widely applicable. The expected coverage probability of a band can be estimated by a bootstrap procedure. The estimate is likely to be less than the nominal level. Expected lack of coverage can be compensated for by increasing the coverage in the learning sample. Applications to simulated and empirical data illustrate the methods. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

河南省高校体育教育专业学生专项技能现状调查

采用问卷调查法对河南省5所院校的426名体育教育专业学生入校前运动经历、在校时运动专项技能现状进行了调查。结果表明，1）一些体育教育专业开设的专选课程少，不能满足学生的需求；2）部分学校体育教育专业课程的设置不合理；3）学生在校期间专项技能学习时间不足．课余练习少，缺乏组织与指导。     

我国信息化法制建设支撑因素的探讨

从国家信息化战略目标、信息政策、信息文化、信息技术、信息伦理道德5个因素入手,分别探讨了它们对信息化法制建设的支撑作用。     

在物理教学中培养元认知以促进自主学习

文章介绍了元认知和自主学习的概念,阐述了元认知对自主学习的促进作用以及如何在物理教学中培养和发展学生的元认知.     

情境教学法在高职高专酒店英语教学中的应用

本文结合情境教学法和酒店英语的特点,阐述了在酒店英语教学中,如何运用情境教学法创设情境,开展课堂教学,提高教学质量。     

Perceptual learning of dot pattern

Dot pattern is a type of pattern defined by specific spatial relationship among some dots. As a compensation for concrete and meaningful visual stimuli, meaningless dot pattern can be used as stimuli in learning tasks. We performed an experiment for exploring the perceptual learning process of dot pattern against random-dot background. Participants were required to learn two types of dot patterns (9-dot and 11-dot). They were assigned to two groups: participants in Group 1 learned 9-dot pattern first and 11-dot pattern later, while those in Group 2 learned 11-dot pattern first and 9-dot pattern later. The results showed that participants could acquire the spatial relationship of dot pattern through perceptual learning in relatively short learning time. In comparison with 9-dot pattern, learning time of 11-dot pattern was slightly longer and its accuracy rate lower, but there was significant positive transfer effect from 11-dot pattern learning to 9-dot learning.     

培养专业英语复合型人才教学探讨

为适应新时代的要求高等学校英语专业应改变过去单纯学习语言的倾向 ,开始向培养复合型、应用型外语人才的方向发展 .为英语教学探索出一条符合中国国情的外语教学新路     

研究性学习在地理教学中的应用

现代教学观认为 ,教学应以学生为主体 ,这种以学生为主体的行为应充分地让学生去自主地学习 ,主动地获得知识 ,教师则是这一过程中“引路者” .在地理教学中实施研究性学习 ,可从以下几方面去努力 :(1)制定综合性教学目标 ;(2 )创设问题式的教学情景 ;(3 )坚持探究性和启迪性学习 ;(4 )采用多样化的教学方法 ;(5 )开辟广阔的教学时空     

高校教育管理人本化的基本内涵和实施方略

高校教育管理要确立以人为本的理念 ,以管理科学理论为基础 ;论述了教育管理人本化的基本内涵和实施方略。     

理工科院校法学专业走出就业困境之策略探析

经过几年的扩招之后，各理工科院校培养出的法学专业毕业生已经开始陆续走向市场，从各理工科院校所统计的数据来看，法学专业毕业生的就业问题已显得十分突出。突出法学教育在理工科院校的专业特色，多方面强化学生的实践能力是理工科院校法学专业走出就业困境的必由之路。各理工科院校应理性地面对目前的艰难与困境，充分依据各自的资源来追求自己在法学教育上的比较优势。