随机波浪联合分布概率模型

针对传统统计方法难以准确描述波浪联合分布特征的问题,结合波浪物理意义及相应统计参数,提出了可描述波浪要素联合分布的概率模型.首先给出了波高、周期和波向的边缘分布及联合分布理论概率模型,然后利用实测数据进行了验证.结果表明,本模型可有效重现波浪条件.     

台湾岛周边海域的波候观测

为了更好地掌握我国台湾岛周边的海浪特征,利用来自台湾岛的海浪观测数据,采用气候统计方法,分析该海域的波候(海浪气候态)特征,主要包括波高和波浪平均周期的季节特征、强浪向、大浪频率、阵风系数。结果表明:台湾岛周边的有效波高(SWH)在冬季最大,秋季次之,夏季最低,台东近海的SWH、平均周期常年大于台湾海峡;台湾周边的强浪向常年以偏北向为主,夏季的最大波高为全年最大,冬春两季偏低,冬季台湾海峡的最大波高大于台东近海,春、夏、秋季则相反;东沙岛、台东外洋的大浪频率明显高于其余站点,马祖、澎湖次之,其余站点整体较低;花莲和龙洞各代表月的阵风系数为1.4~1.5,鹅銮鼻常年在1.3左右,澎湖为1.2~1.4。     

富水区隧道排水网络体系卸压能力研究

为研究富水区隧道排水网络体系对地下水的卸压能力,以豹狸岗隧道为研究背景,基于Flac3D软件进行三维差分建模,探讨水头高度与环向盲管间距对地下水渗流场的影响。结果表明：(1)环向排水盲管可显著削减二次衬砌上部背后水压,但对仰拱处水压力的削减作用可忽略不计;(2)提出了平均减压系数概念,盲管间距对二次衬砌上部平均减压系数影响显著,但对仰拱处平均减压系数基本无影响;(3)保持盲管间距不变时,平均减压系数基本不受水头高度影响。分析二次衬砌平均减压系数与盲管间距关系,揭示不同盲管间距对排水网络体系的卸压效果,确定最优环向盲管间距为5 m。     

基于运动模式识别的高程估计算法研究

在室内行人定位系统中,行人的高程定位精度关系到整个定位系统的可靠性。本文提出一种基于腰间传感器的室内行人高程估计算法。首先利用支持向量机识别行人上楼下楼动作,针对行人的运动状态采用自适应的高程估计算法。针对气压计测量值易受环境影响的问题,采用了基于EKF融合气压和加速度的高度估计算法,提高了高度估计算法的稳定性。经实验验证,当室内人员进行平地走、上楼等一连串动作后,基于差分气压测高法计算的高度误差为9.92%,基于加速度估计的行人高度误差为9.52%,EKF融合后定位误差下降到2.32%,提高了高程估计的精度。     

带跳的幂型支付欧式期权定价

假定股票价格过程服从跳跃-扩散过程,且无风险利率,股票收益率、波动率均为时间函数,利用等价鞅测度方法得出了支付函数为幂型的欧式期权定价公式。     

机织间隔织物柱纱高度的确定

机织间隔织物的厚度由柱纱的高度决定.为了确定影响柱纱高度的因素,从几何结构角度出发,定义了影响机织间隔织物柱纱形态的5个结构参数,并建立了结构参数间的几何关系.通过将柱纱高度计算值同实测值的比较,发现计算值与实测值吻合得较好,证明所建立的柱纱结构参数间几何关系能够很好地反映实际情况.     

Variability of surface circulation in the South China Sea from satellite altimeter data

11-year satellite altimeter sea surface height （SSH） anomaly data from January 1993 to December 2003 are used to present the dominant spatial patterns and temporal variations of the South China Sea （SCS） surface circulation through Empirical Orthogonal Function （EOF） analysis. The first three EOF modes show the obvious seasonal variations of SSH in the SCS. EOF mode one is generally characterized by a basin-wide circulation. Mode two describes the double-cell basin scale circulation structure. The two cells were located off west of the Luzon Island and southeast of Vietnam, respectively. EOF mode three presents the mesoscale eddy structure in the western SCS, which develops into a strong cyclonic eddy rapidly from July to September. EOF mode one and mode three are also embedded with interannual signals, indicating that the SCS surface circulation variation is influenced by El Nino events prominently. The strong El Nino of 1997/98 obviously changed the SCS circulation structure. This study also shows that there existed a series of mesoscale eddies in the western SCS, and their temporal variation indicates intra-seasonal and interannual signals.     

基于静态箱法的堆放奶牛粪便甲烷排放速率研究

利用静态箱-气相色谱法,研究了黑白花奶牛粪便在四个堆放高度(30、45、60 cm和每天加粪6 cm加至粪便高度为60 cm)自然堆放20周的CH_4排放速率,同时分析了堆放前后奶牛粪便的理化特性。结果表明:堆放7周后,奶牛粪便干物质、挥发性固体、全氮、全磷(除堆高30 cm的处理外)、氨态氮、pH(除每天加粪便的处理外)均相应下降,灰分、总有机碳和碳氮比增加;四种处理CH_4排放速率在堆放4 d内分别达到一个峰值,后急剧下降并逐渐平稳,实验中期出现一个持续7周的高峰期。Wilcoxon非参数检验表明,粪便堆高和堆放方式对甲烷排放影响较大。     

优秀女子排球运动员扣球高度影响因素的灰色关联度分析

对优秀女子排球运动员扣球高度影响因素进行灰色系统理论的关联度分析,以寻求各影响因素的影响度．研究结果表明：因素关联度依次为身高、体重、克托莱指数和年龄．     

Receding horizon H∞ control for discrete-time Markovian jump linear systems

Receding horizon H∞ control scheme which can deal with both the H∞ disturbance attenuation and mean square stability is proposed for a class of discrete-time Markovian jump linear systems when minimizing a given quadratic performance criteria. First, a control law is established for jump systems based on pontryagin’s minimum principle and it can be constructed through numerical solution of iterative equations. The aim of this control strategy is to obtain an optimal control which can minimize the cost function under the worst disturbance at every sampling time. Due to the difficulty of the assurance of stability, then the above mentioned approach is improved by determining terminal weighting matrix which satisfies cost monotonicity condition. The control move which is calculated by using this type of terminal weighting matrix as boundary condition naturally guarantees the mean square stability of the closed-loop system. A sufficient condition for the existence of the terminal weighting matrix is presented in linear matrix inequality (LMI) form which can be solved efficiently by available software toolbox. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.