多因素层次模糊综合评判决策模型及其应用

应用系统工程的方法，建立基于三角模糊数学的多因素层次模糊，综合评判决策模型和权重分配待定性因素数值化模型，并运用该模型对某贵金属矿体开采的采矿方法进行了优选，获得了满意的结果。     

色噪声与乘性信号驱动下昆虫爆发系统的稳定性和随机共振

研究的是一类受色噪声和乘性周期信号驱动的昆虫爆发系统的稳定性和随机共振现象.首先对于一类由色交叉关联噪声驱动的昆虫爆发种群系统,通过应用FPK方程,获取了系统的稳态概率分布函数的近似表达式,重点讨论了噪声强度及自相关时间对此类昆虫爆发系统稳定性的影响; 然后通过加入弱乘性周期信号,根据快速下降法和两态理论给出了信噪比公式,研究了噪声及其关联时间对于昆虫系统信噪比的影响.进而分析它们对系统种群数的稳定性和延续存活时间的一些实际作用     

恒向线主题直接正反解的高精度算法

为提高精度、统一算法,应用拉格朗日级数理论和计算机代数系统,推导了经线弧长和等量纬度的计算公式,提出基于墨卡托投影的恒向线主题正反算法.该算法不需要迭代,应用数学上角度的定义解决了恒向线主题反解中方位角的解算问题,且不需要进行象限判定.结果表明,该算法计算精度高,具有通用性,特别适用于电算化,对船舶的航迹计算和电子海图中的航线设计具有一定的应用价值.     

过热器机理模型的遗传算法参数优化方法研究

针对过热器模型各参数存在的强耦合性,提出了基于遗传算法的机理模型参数优化方法。建立过热器数学模型,确定优化参数,应用遗传算法进行优化,直到模型精度达到要求。仿真研究表明,运用该方法建立的过热器模型达到预定精度要求;优化过程自动进行,缩短了建模和优化时间。这种方法具有通用性,简单易行,为火电厂仿真机数学建模和参数优化提供一种新的思路和方法。     

通用分布式虚拟现实软件开发平台的研究

为了适应分布式虚拟现实应用系统的开发需要,在通用虚拟现实软件开发平台VRMagic的基础上,结合高层体系结构(HLA),研发出通用分布式虚拟现实软件开发平台D-VRMagic.详细介绍了D-VRMagic的网络架构和对象模型的构建过程,并在此基础上提出了管理者设计规范和通用客户端模型.最后以网络五子棋的实现为例,对D-VRMagic进行了验证.结果表明该平台具有较高的开发效率、可扩展性和通用性.     

Prediction in the two‐way random‐effect model with heteroskedasticity

In this paper we extend Taub (1979) approach for prediction in the context of the variance components model. The extension obtained is based on the two‐way random‐effect model with heteroskedasticity. Prediction functions are then obtained in three heteroskedasticity cases (heteroskedasticity on the individual term , heteroskedasticity on the composite term ?_it, and heteroskedasticity on the temporal term ). Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improving moving average trading rules with boosting and statistical learning methods

We present a system for combining the different types of predictions given by a wide category of mechanical trading rules through statistical learning methods (boosting, and several model averaging methods like Bayesian or simple averaging methods). Statistical learning methods supply better out‐of‐sample results than most of the single moving average rules in the NYSE Composite Index from January 1993 to December 2002. Moreover, using a filter to reduce trading frequency, the filtered boosting model produces a technical strategy which, although it is not able to overcome the returns of the buy‐and‐hold (B&H) strategy during rising periods, it does overcome the B&H during falling periods and is able to absorb a considerable part of falls in the market. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

ARMA模型辨识及其在光纤陀螺漂移建模中的应用

针对含有噪声的时间序列模型辨识精度低的问题,采用自回归函数的衰减正弦曲线方法估计含有噪声的ARMA模型系统参数,AR参数从衰减正弦曲线直接获得,MA参数估计采用相关匹配技术.仿真结果表明,时于具有不同信噪比噪声干扰的系统,该算法具有良好的收敛性和准确性.在此基础上,将该方法应用到光纤陀螺漂移误差建模中,实验结果表明,采用该算法所确定的模型能够精确的反应光纤陀螺的漂移趋势.     

Time-Sharing Power Supply Optimal Decision forElectrolytic Deposition Process of Zinc Based on Simulated Annealing Algorithm

1. INTRODUCTIOnIn zinc hydro-metallurgical process) a large amoks of power is consumed in EDPZ everyyear [11. Therefore, reducing the power consumption of EDPZ is very important. The TSVP,involving higher price in rush hours while lower price in valleys, has been adopted since 1995.An unvaried supply in daily production is costly, so it is necessary to adopt an optimal powersupply scheme under the c..dition of ensuring the quantity and quality of products.Derived from the Metropolis …     

关于仿真理论的探讨

系统仿真经过几十年的发展,逐渐形成了一个相对独立的学科领域。作为学科,应该有其自己相应的基础理论。本文提出将模型论、仿真算法和仿真可信度评估理论作为系统仿真学科的基础理论的观点。