Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

新型锆质不定形耐火材料的研制

以废旧电熔锆刚玉为主要原料,采用合理的粒度级配,应用复合结合剂和外加剂以凝聚结合的方式研制成功具有高荷重软化温度、高强度、低气孔率、低烧结线变化的新型锆质不定形耐火材料。图4,表4,参3。     

视频信息监控与处理--ATM视频监控系统下

针对银行ATM管理上的缺陷，提出了ATM视频监控系统，并就系统的功能及其信息处理与安全方面的特点作了论述。     

硼酸对镍-镁合金电沉积和电化学性质的影响

该文报道了分别用0．05、0．10、0．15、0．33、0．50g／mL的硼酸进行电沉积镍-镁合金的实验。原子吸收光谱实验的结果表明，沉积相中包含不等量的镍和镁，电流效率也随硼酸量的不同而发生不同趋势的变化。从极化实验的结果，讨论了硼酸在电沉积中所起的作用是阻碍氢气的析出。在溶出伏安图中，能观察到5种不同强度的Mg2Ni峰，与XRD得到的结果相吻合。循环伏安测量结果证明镍-镁合金沉积薄膜电极具有良好的充／放电性能。     

双馈电机运行速度对稳态性能的影响

研究双馈电机运行速度对双馈电机稳态性能的影响．首先对比了双馈电机运行于超同步转速及次同步转速时的稳态波形，然后对谐波及稳态参数的变化进行了分析．研究表明双馈电机稳态运行速度对其稳态运行性能有较大影响．     

浅析电机节能降耗改进方法

文章介绍了几种对矿山机电设备常用电机进行技术改造的方法，实现了节能降耗，降低成本的目的，对企业具有一定的经济价值。     

着装方式对服装隔热性作用规律的研究

利用姿态可调式暖体假人研究了着装姿势对服装隔热性的作用和影响规律。研究指出边界静止空气层的隔热值Ia与暖体假人的测试姿势无关，着装姿势影响服装的隔热保暖性能并从传热学角度分析了原因。     

首次公开发行股票(IPO)定价模型的评析

对首次公开发行股票定价的三种模型的假设条件、应用优势和局限性进行了评估.     

Fe_3Al的抗高温氧化和耐热腐蚀性能

在７００℃与８５０℃的高温下，Ｆｅ＿３Ａｌ金属间化合物表面形成了Ａｌ＿２Ｏ＿３保护膜，使其抗氧化性能远优于不妨钢，２％Ｃｒ（原子百分比）加入Ｆｅ＿３Ａｌ会导致氧化过程初期氧化速率的增高，在熔融的硫酸盐和高压锅炉的烟气中，Ｆｅ＿３Ａｌ的耐热腐蚀性能优于高温合金ＧＨ１３２．     

含有纯滞后对象的控制方法

评述纯滞后对象控制的两种典型方法─—大林算法和纯滞后补偿法的原理、优缺点、设计要求及存在问题，并讨论了两者的联系。