对中国移植近代以来西方法律制度的解释学反思

法律移植以理解为前提 ,理解是视域的融合 ;但中国传统文化的视域难与近代以来西方法律制度的视域融合 ,因为二者有着实质性差异 ;解决这一问题的方法是在中国培植近代以来西方法律制度所需要的文化生态环境———商业社会。     

电力设备预防性维修策略的优化

提出了设备预防性维修的两阶段优化模型．阶段1确定最少的预防性维修次数．阶段2在第一阶段给出结果的基础上确定各预防性维修的最优周期．模型简化了求解复杂度，克服了长期运行期望周期模型的缺点，具有很强的可操作性，可为维修计划的制订和现场的作业调度提供决策支持．     

球对称动态黑洞的广义Stefan-Boltzmann定律

选取超前爱丁顿坐标，采用统计的方法，计算出动态黑洞的瞬时辐出度．结果表明，动态黑洞的瞬时辐出度不仅与假定黑洞处于热力学平衡时的辐出度有关，还与黑洞的事件视界速度、事件视界温度、事件视界附近的熵密度及黑洞的吸收和辐射系数有关．对于球对称动态黑洞，任一时刻黑洞的瞬时辐出度总是正比于黑洞事件视界温度的四次方．     

动态黑洞视界面附近的熵密度

利用带有电荷与磁荷的直线加速动态黑洞的熵密度，得到了任一时刻黑洞视界面附近沿某一方位角的熵密度总是正比于该处视界温度的三次方的结论．发现直线加速动态黑洞视界面附近的熵密度不仅与时间有关，而且与方位角有关．     

无穷水平倒向双重随机微分方程解的存在唯一性及比较定理

研究无穷区间上的倒向双重随机微分方程,在一类Lipschitz条件下,通过有限区间的逼近,运用Gronwall不等式和It公式,证明了方程解的存在性、唯一性以及比较定理.     

无穷时间多维不确定线性二次最优控制

研究了一类无穷时间区间多维不确定系统的线性二次最优控制模型,推导出求解该模型的最优性方程,并证明了该模型最优控制存在的充分和必要条件.     

起源于引力场的Vaidya-Bonner-de Sitter黑洞的瞬时辐出度

利用Vaidya-Bonner-de S itter黑洞视界面附近的熵密度,导出黑洞的瞬时辐出度,得到了任一时刻黑洞的瞬时辐出度总是正比于黑洞视界温度四次方的结论。导出的广义Stefan-Boltzm ann系数不再是一个恒量,而是一个与黑洞视界的变化率、黑洞视界面附近的时空度规及黑洞的吸收与辐射系数有关的一个动比例系数,揭示了黑洞周围的引力场与其热辐射之间存在着必然的内在联系。     

Coincidence and reproducibility in the EHT black hole experiment

This paper discusses some philosophical aspects related to the recent publication of the experimental results of the 2017 black hole experiment, namely the first image of the supermassive black hole at the center of galaxy M87. In this paper I present a philosophical analysis of the 2017 Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) black hole experiment. I first present Hacking's philosophy of experimentation. Hacking gives his taxonomy of elements of laboratory science and distinguishes a list of elements. I show that the EHT experiment conforms to major elements from Hacking's list. I then describe with the help of Galison's Philosophy of the Shadow how the EHT Collaboration created the famous black hole image. Galison outlines three stages for the reconstruction of the black hole image: Socio-Epistemology, Mechanical Objectivity, after which there is an additional Socio-Epistemology stage. I subsequently present my own interpretation of the reconstruction of the black hole image and I discuss model fitting to data. I suggest that the main method used by the EHT Collaboration to assure trust in the results of the EHT experiment is what philosophers call the Argument from Coincidence. I show that using this method for the above purpose is problematic. I present two versions of the Argument from Coincidence: Hacking's Coincidence and Cartwright's Reproducibility by which I analyse the EHT experiment. The same estimation of the mass of the black hole is reproduced in four different procedures. The EHT Collaboration concludes: the value we have converged upon is robust. I analyse the mass measurements of the black hole with the help of Cartwright's notion of robustness. I show that the EHT Collaboration construe Coincidence/Reproducibility as Technological Agnosticism and I contrast this interpretation with van Fraassen's scientific agnosticism.     

Price–Dividend Ratios and Stock Price Predictability

A long‐standing puzzle to financial economists is the difficulty of outperforming the benchmark random walk model in out‐of‐sample contests. Using data from the USA over the period of 1872–2007, this paper re‐examines the out‐of‐sample predictability of real stock prices based on price–dividend (PD) ratios. The current research focuses on the significance of the time‐varying mean and nonlinear dynamics of PD ratios in the empirical analysis. Empirical results support the proposed nonlinear model of the PD ratio and the stationarity of the trend‐adjusted PD ratio. Furthermore, this paper rejects the non‐predictability hypothesis of stock prices statistically based on in‐ and out‐of‐sample tests and economically based on the criteria of expected real return per unit of risk. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.