Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于RBF网络的增量学习

提出了一种基于径向网络的增量学习算法 ,在对新样本进行学习时 ,通过恢复受干扰样本的方式来尽可能保持已有的知识不变 .模拟实验证明了本算法的正确性和有效性 .     

基于神经网络的建筑行业投标报价研究

在建筑行业的投标报价过程中，如何在众多的信息中选出对最终报价影响较大的几项因素以及如何确定这些因素与最终报价之间的关系是一个棘手的问题．论文针对这两大难题提出了基于神经网络技术的解决方法．首先根据贡献变量分析理论确定出影响报价结果的9个报价因素，从而建立起基于神经网络的报价模型，然后在所确定模型的基础上改进传统的BP算法，进一步提高网络的泛化能力．从实际应用的结果可以看出，经过变量选择后所确定的报价因素是合理的，改进学习算法后的网络的泛化能力也有了很大的提高．     

基于模糊神经网络方法的新构造控水专家系统

在对大量野外地质资料统计和综合分析基础上，依据地质专家在新构造领域的理论知识和成功经验，运用模糊数学理论和神经网络理论相结合的方法，提出一种用线性单元并联实现非线性划分的神经元网络模型，并研制出相应具有较强推理能力和学习功能、广泛用于非定性系统数据处理的专家系统，该系统经实例验证具有较强的适用性。     

Non-Minimum Phase Nonlinear System Predictive Control Based on Local Recurrent Neural Networks

Abstract: After a recursive multi-step-ahead predictor for nonlinear systems based on local recurrent neural networks isintroduced, an intelligent PID controller is adopted to correct the errors including identified model errors and accumulatederrors produced in the recursive process. Characterized by predictive control, this method can achieve a good controlaccuracy and has good robustness. A simulation study shows that this control algorithm is very effective.     

基于灰色系统与神经网络的航材消耗广义加权函数平均组合预测模型研究

建立了航材消耗的灰色系统预测模型与神经网络预测模型，同时给出了一种新的具有广泛代表性的组合预测模型－－广义加权函数平均组合预测模型及其加权系数的参数估计方法，并利用此方法建立了基于灰色系统与神经网络的航材消耗广义加权函数平均组合预测模型，最后以实例说明了其预测效果。     

一种基于模糊神经网络的自适应模糊辨识方法

基于改进的T-S模型，提出一种自适应模糊神经网络模型(AFNN)。首先，基于模糊竞争学习算法确定系统的模糊空间和模糊规则数，并得出每个样本对每条规则的适用程度。其次，利用卡尔曼滤波算法在线辨识AFNN的后件参数。AFNN具有结构简洁，逼近能力强，能够显著提高辨识精度，并且辨识的模糊模型简单有效。最后，将该AFNN用于非线性系统的模糊辨识，仿真结果验证了该方法的有效性。     

Petri网络在无控制交叉口延误分析中的应用

选用比较适合描述系统组织结构和动态行为的Petri网络模型对主路优先通行的无信号交叉口运行过程建立HSPN模型．在此基础上，结合间隙接受理论，对无控制交叉口进行平均延误分析探索，为交叉口仿真控制软件的研发奠定了算法基础。     

Discovering Frequent Subtrees from XML Data Using Neural Networks

By rapid progress of network and storage technologies, a huge amount of electronic data such as Web pages and XML has been available on Internet. In this paper, we study a data-mining problem of discovering frequent ordered sub-trees in a large collection of XML data, where both of the patterns and the data are modeled by labeled ordered trees. We present an efficient algorithm of Ordered Subtree Miner （OSTMiner） based on two- layer neural networks with Hebb rule, that computes all ordered sub-trees appearing in a collection of XML trees with frequent above a user-specified threshold using a special structure EM-tree. In this algo- rithm, EM-tree is used as an extended merging tree to supply scheme information for efficient pruning and mining frequent sub-trees. Experiments results showed that OSTMiner has good response time and scales well.     

传感器网络推拉混合模式代码传输方法

代码传输是实现无线传感器网络应用重构的关键技术.首先研究传感器网络环境自适应应用重构(EAAR)模型的两种代码传输模式-拉模式和推模式,并结合两种模式的特点提出一种适用于分簇传感器网络的能量有效代码传输模式-基于簇的混合代码传输(Cluster-based Hybrid Code Transmission, CHCT).在该模式下,簇头节点采用拉方式从基站获取代码,簇内节点采用推方式进行代码传输.仿真实验验证了方法的有效性并讨论了影响CHCT性能的主要参数.