非满载车辆调度问题的遗传算法

非满载车辆调度问题是车辆调度问题中的一个基本问题,由于它是一个典型的NP难题,传统方法的求解结果往往不能令人满意。本文采用最大保留交叉、交叉率和变异率自适应变换等技术,设计了基于自然数编码的遗传算法,用于求解非满载车辆调度问题,在实验分析中获得了较好的结果。     

基于小波网络的非线性组合预测方法研究

提出了一种基于小波网络的非线性组合预测新方法,以克服线性组合预测方法在解决非平衡时间序列组合建模问题所遇到的困难和存在的不足,并给出了相应的学习算法求解小波函数线性组合的尺度和时延参数以及神经网络权值。理论分析和大量的应用实例表明：本方法具有很强的泛化能力与自适应数据和函数变化的能力,在处理诸如经济时间序列这种具有一定程度不确定性的非线性系统的组合建模和预测方面有较高的应用价值。     

判断矩阵的Hadam ard凸组合

给出了具有实际意义的判断矩阵 Hadamard凸组合的定义 ,并证明了判断矩阵 Hadamard凸组合的一个性质 .     

两种新的DS合成法则仿真近似算法

DS合成法则计算时间复杂度是影响DS理论广泛应用的主要原因之一,介绍了几种著名的近似算法,并分析了它们的优劣性,指出了这些方法的存在的问题。给出了两种新的仿真近似算法,这两种新方法不需要预先限定焦元的个数,计算过程直观、方便,结果合理。仿真试验结果表明,这两种方法的计算结果和Bayesian方法非常接近,但不存在Bayesian方法的不合理之处。对几种算法作了进一步分析研究,给出了三种算法间的关系。     

从产学研结合谈高职院校品牌的创建

高职教育发展比较迅速,规模和结构日趋完善,但目前还没有形成一批象本科院校那样的品牌高职院校。从市场需求和竞争来看,实施高职院校品牌战略,关系到高职院校的自身生存和今后发展。作者从产学研结合角度就人才培养、科学研究和社会服务等方面探讨高职院校的品牌建设。     

关于改性碳酸钙性能测试方法的探讨

详细介绍了力学性能测试、松散堆积密度法、萃取法测接枝率等改性碳酸钙性能测试法。讨论发现,3种方法的测试结果完全吻合,由此可证明松散堆积密度法、萃取法测接枝率也是行之有效的测试新方法。     

Does a lot help a lot? Forecasting stock returns with pooling strategies in a data‐rich environment

A variety of recent studies provide a skeptical view on the predictability of stock returns. Empirical evidence shows that most prediction models suffer from a loss of information, model uncertainty, and structural instability by relying on low‐dimensional information sets. In this study, we evaluate the predictive ability of various lately refined forecasting strategies, which handle these issues by incorporating information from many potential predictor variables simultaneously. We investigate whether forecasting strategies that (i) combine information and (ii) combine individual forecasts are useful to predict US stock returns, that is, the market excess return, size, value, and the momentum premium. Our results show that methods combining information have remarkable in‐sample predictive ability. However, the out‐of‐sample performance suffers from highly volatile forecast errors. Forecast combinations face a better bias–efficiency trade‐off, yielding a consistently superior forecast performance for the market excess return and the size premium even after the 1970s.     

体域网中基于特征组合的步态行为识别

物联网(internet of things,IOT)拥有无处不在的识别、传感和通信能力,体域网(body area network,BAN)属于物联网中和人体相关的领域,其应用广泛,可以在日常生活中对人们进行监测及提供帮助.行走是许多日常活动的基本环节,因而步态分析能为体域网应用提供重要的生理行为信息.现有的步态分析已取得一定的研究成果,但仍存在一些问题,例如大多数步态特征提取是对加速度信号进行6重以上的变换,使得特征达到了45维以上,最后需要通过降维或优化来简化特征,较为复杂.本文设计一种灵活便捷的数据采集系统,并利用小波变换、傅里叶变换和四分位差提取出加速度信号中比较简单、低维度但能反应运动特征的步态参数,之后通过模式识别算法进行步态行为识别验证.实验结果表明该系统使用方便,特征提取方法简单实用,识别精确度为97%,EER(equal error rate)最小可到0.9%.     

Forecast Combination and Bayesian Model Averaging: A Prior Sensitivity Analysis

In this study we evaluate the forecast performance of model‐averaged forecasts based on the predictive likelihood carrying out a prior sensitivity analysis regarding Zellner's g prior. The main results are fourfold. First, the predictive likelihood does always better than the traditionally employed ‘marginal’ likelihood in settings where the true model is not part of the model space. Secondly, forecast accuracy as measured by the root mean square error (RMSE) is maximized for the median probability model. On the other hand, model averaging excels in predicting direction of changes. Lastly, g should be set according to Laud and Ibrahim (1995: Predictive model selection. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 57 : 247–262) with a hold‐out sample size of 25% to minimize the RMSE (median model) and 75% to optimize direction of change forecasts (model averaging). We finally apply the aforementioned recommendations to forecast the monthly industrial production output of six countries, beating for almost all countries the AR(1) benchmark model. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Revision of the genus Mimopodabrus Wittmer (Coleoptera,Cantharidae)

The genus Mimopodabrus Wittmer is reviewed, and the genus diagnosis is re-described. Three new species are described, M. multidentatus sp. nov. (Guangdong, China), M. variabilis sp. nov. (Yunnan, China) and M. diversefoveolatus sp. nov. (Lao Cai, Vietnam), with illustrations of habitus, antennae and aedeagus. A species is transferred from Micropodabrus to this genus, M. bicoloriceps (Wittmer, 1989 Wittmer, W. 1989. 42. Beitrag zur Kenntnis der indo-malaiischen Cantharidae und Malachiidae (Coleoptera). Entomol Basil., 13: 209–237.  [Google Scholar]) comb. nov. A species is synonymized, M. bicoloriceps (Wittmer, 1989 Wittmer, W. 1989. 42. Beitrag zur Kenntnis der indo-malaiischen Cantharidae und Malachiidae (Coleoptera). Entomol Basil., 13: 209–237.  [Google Scholar]) comb. nov.?=?M. bicoloriceps Wittmer, 1997 syn. nov. and the definition of M. yunnanus (Wittmer, 1993 Wittmer, W. 1993. Zur Kenntnis der palaearktischen und indo-malaiischen Cantharidae (Coleoptera). Entomol Basil., 16: 203–253.  [Google Scholar]) is restricted. A key to all known species of this genus is provided.