In Search of Resonance

In this paper I explore the possibility of a complementary relationship between action research and the management and systems sciences. A range of purposes that action researchers and management and systems scientists pursue is initially set out. The paper then explores whether this diversity of purposes and the ways they recommend people to proceed may come together in a new whole that is greater than the sum of its parts. A potentially useful realization of this for practice is a reflexive process of critique, choice, and action, which is elaborated on. The paper then investigates what view of holism arises from the preceeding discussions.     

The Children's Planning Initiative: Researching Decision-Making for Children

This paper recounts the story of how a number of workers involved in the care of children decided that they needed to do more than improve their skills and began instead to question some of the assumptions on which child care planning processes are built. The paper records a growing consciousness about the value of action research in developing alternative models of decision-making. It leads us from early questioning, through model creation, and on into testing the model in a new and complex organizational setting. While other voices are quoted, the paper recounts the story from the viewpoint of two actors, practitioner/manager and consultant.     

Rhetorics and Realities in Public Service Organizations: Systemic Practice and Organizational Learning as Critically Reflexive Action Research (CRAR)

This article sets out to develop an argument and theory-in-practice related to organizational learning and systemic practice as critically reflexive action research (CRAR). It explores principles and concepts associated with CRAR, in the context of different emphases in understandings of and approaches to managing or working with change. The notion of epistemologies of practice is developed, as the basis for introducing on-site and off-site CRAR as interweaving cycles of managerial and organizational learning. A multilayered illustration of an improvisational CRAR environment, using principles of dialectical enquiry and critical learning theater, is offered. A diagrammatic analysis provides the framework for describing and reflecting critically on key CRAR processes. This is expanded with a consideration of possibilities for documentation that can assist with the validation of quality in CRAR processes and outcomes. This has relevance in the context of postpositivist action research at postgraduate levels or within project-based CRAR partnerships. This leads to a further discussion of principles and concepts, in the context of other literature and pressures on public services.     

一种更优的精度控制故障树解算方法

本文针对安全分析方法中故障树解算问题提出了一种完全依赖于所要求精度的近似算法——精度取舍法。详细给出了近似求解顶事件概率值的两个截断条件。结论表明,它在同时兼顾精度与时间的要求方面优于别的算法。     

短时交通流预测FSMSVR模型

针对城市道路短时交通流的复杂非线性特点和以往的预测仅考虑典型交通条件（无交通事故等突发事件）的现状,结合交通流的特征,提出了一种有限状态机支持向量回归模型（finite state machine of support vector regression model,FSMSVR）的短时交通流预测机制. 通过线性回归算法和指数平滑算法划分交通流状态,根据各状态特点结合支持向量回归算法建立有限状态机工作机制,实现涵盖典型和非典型交通条件的短时交通流预测. 通过实验例证,对比了FSMSVR模型和传统SVR模型对城市道路6min交通流的预测,研究结果表明,该预测机制能够提高预测精确度,在非典型条件下有着较好的预测表现.     

灰色Verhulst预测模型的病态特性

为揭示灰色Verhulst模型的建模精度在原始序列存在微小扰动下的变化规律,采用矩阵谱条件数作为研究工具对该模型系数矩阵谱条件数的取值进行分类讨论. 研究结果表明,当且仅当系统原始数据序列第一项为大于零的常数,其他所有项数据皆为0时,建立灰色Verhulst模型才会呈现严重病态性,而采用已呈现特定规律的数据序列构建灰色Verhulst预测模型毫无实际意义. 研究结论认为,灰色Verhulst模型并不存在严重病态性.     

防崩裂皮环在高强混凝土抗压强度实验中的应用

为防止高强混凝土在抗压强度试验中的崩射伤害作用，在实验的基础上，发明了防崩皮环，从而避免了高强混凝土在试验时向外崩射现象的发生，对实验人员的操作安全，起到了较好的防护作用．     

面向事件的地理要素时空回溯研究

以基础地理数据为例,在研究现实世界-计算机世界-数据库中事件-变更操作-要素之间的逻辑关系的基础上,通过建立要素信息表、事件信息表以及包含事件关联、事件约束的事件树索引体系,提出并实现了面向事件的地理要素的时空回溯方法,为地理要素的时空查询与回溯奠定了基础.     

集体行为的意向结构——评塞尔的集体意向理论

要阐释集体行为的形成,集体意向(collective intention)这一概念不可避免。塞尔认为集体意向是一种以目标-方法为其基本结构的特殊的个人意向。反对意见主要有两点:认为背景能力不能是一种生物本能,以及通过个体主义构筑集体意向会导致社会规范性的缺乏。本文认为塞尔的理论构架自身已经包含了对上述质疑的抵抗。     

公理·规则·公德——儒家私德与墨家公德之伦理辨析

通过对孔孟儒家私德伦理与墨子墨家公德伦理的比较研究,发现科学理性之缺失是儒家私德伦理陷入现代困境及其深层悖论的根源;而墨家科学理性的优势,在其兼相爱和交相利公德伦理体系建构中,起到了价值观和方法论的奠基作用。并指出:规则是社会公德的核心,遵循和崇尚规则以及公平竞争和合作,既是一种科学精神,又是一种公德精神,在当今中国社会发展和公德建设中亟待振兴。