Forecasting economic indicators using a consumer sentiment index: Survey‐based versus text‐based data

Given the confirmed effectiveness of the survey‐based consumer sentiment index (CSI) as a leading indicator of real economic conditions, the CSI is actively used in making policy judgments and decisions in many countries. However, although the CSI offers qualitative information for presenting current conditions and predicting a household's future economic activity, the survey‐based method has several limitations. In this context, we extracted sentiment information from online economic news articles and demonstrated that the Korean cases are a good illustration of applying a text mining technique when generating a CSI using sentiment analysis. By applying a simple sentiment analysis based on the lexicon approach, this paper confirmed that news articles can be an effective source for generating an economic indicator in Korea. Even though cross‐national comparative research results are suited better than national‐level data to generalize and verify the method used in this study, international comparisons are quite challenging to draw due to the necessary linguistic preprocessing. We hope to encourage further cross‐national comparative research to apply the approach proposed in this study.     

经济增长的复杂性与“J”结构

从现代经济增长的事实和复杂性角度讨论了经济增长的原因和机制 .“J”结构是我们提出的一种经济增长复杂性的重要模式 ,这种具有潜在后发性优势但又需要先期投入的经济现象普遍存在于国际贸易、金融、教育、人力资源、生态环境等不同领域 .由于增长的复杂性 ,“J”结构及与之相对应的“J”过程或“J”效应往往被波动所掩盖 .本文进一步从物理、数学的角度指出“J”过程的本质是系统存在多重均衡时的非平衡相变过程 .最后 ,讨论了宏观经济系统中宏观变量之间的相互关系 ,“J”结构体现了这些宏观变量之间非线性相互作用机制.     

Feasible Research on ‘Textile · Garment'' Supply and Demand Interaction and Optimization Model

After China entries WTO, China's ‘ textile · garment'industry will confront the difficulties of growth and development. From the view of supply and demand interaction which is common in the social economy, this article analyzes the economic construction and character of China's ‘ textile · garment' industry, represented by Shanghai,Research shows that industrial construction backwardness hinders China's ‘ textile· garment' industry development, which features four bottlenecks in supply and demand interaction in ‘ textile· garment' industry.The key of optimizing the construction and quality of supply and denand interaction in ‘textile· garment'industry is to adjust industrial construction, break the bottlenecks, establish Shanghai as international fashion center, open middle and small size textile processing area with several levels, attach importance to scientific and technology creation and development combined with production, learning and research, and take part in domestic and international maket competition by high added value product, technology and marketing network.     

企业家的经济贡献

主要从企业家对企业主体地位的实现 ,对企业资源的优化配置 ,对企业利润目标的实现 ,对现代企业制度的建立和企业产业升级五个方面分析了企业家对企业的经济贡献     

i'_c在项目评价中的应用研究

通过大量的调查、实践和案例分析 ,找到了准确理解内部收益率的方法 ,提出了准确应用这一指标的调整方法及建议     

CPMS类产业的循环经济模式

针对我国铁合金、轻金属和非金属类产业(简称CPMS类产业)资源和能源消耗大、环境污染严重、产品市场竞争力不强的实际情况,分析了该类产业生产过程中高附加值尾气的组成,讨论了其回收、利用途径,提出了该类产业的循环经济发展模式,形成能源、资源—CPMS类产品—尾气—化工产品(电)多联产循环产业链,使我国这类产业走上低能耗、高产出、无污染的绿色科技创新之路并实现可持续发展。     

建国初期刘少奇对经济建设的谋划

建国初期，刘少奇与领域了我国经济建设领域的一系列重大活动，提出了一些卓越的思想观点：不能超越新民主主义阶段而急于进入社会主义，以经济建设为中心，一切工作都应当围绕这个中心并为它服务，经济建设要循序渐进，并开展国际经济合作，走有中国特色的社会主义改造道路，正确区分不同性质的矛盾，以不断丰富人民的生活为发展生产的目的；等等。这些思想观点虽未能全面施行于当时，但给后人探索有中国特色的社会主义建设道路以深刻的启迪。     

试论21世纪国民经济发展对新型建筑材料的需求

本文论述了发达国家新型建筑材料的发展趋势及我国的差距 ,提出了 2 1世纪我国国民经济发展对新型建筑材料的需求及今后的发展对策。     

会计收益浅析

从决策有用现出发,探讨了会计收益的本质,并通过经济收益与会计收益的比较,对传统会计收益的不足进行了分析,提出了全面收益观点.     

我国加快发展信息高速公路的思考

基于我国发展信息高速公路面临的种种问题，提出我国在发展信息高速公路方面政府行为的设想。