A Dynamic Forecasting System with Applications in Production Logistics

Production logistics involve the co-ordination of ac tivities such as production and materials control (PMC), inventory management, p roduct life cycle management, etc. Those activities demand for an accurate forec asting model. However, the conventional methods of making sell and buy decision based on human forecast or conventional moving average and exponential smoothing methods is no longer be sufficient to meet the future need. Furthermore, the un derlying statistics of the market information change ...     

对模糊随机向量凸集的定义及探讨

在模糊随机变量的基础上引入了模糊随机向量凸集的概念,给出了几个模糊随机凸集的例子.     

工作分析是人力资源管理的基础

针对现代企业人力资源管理的特点，阐述了人本管理的核心理念、工作分析的目的和作用，提出了把握工作分析的六大要点。     

Using Oil Analysis to Study the Wear Condition of Bearing in Trunnion of Convertor During/After Run-in Period

1Introduction Convertorisoneofthemainequipmentofsteel making.Thebearingsinthetrunnionofconvertorarecharacterizedby low speed,heavy loadandhuge dimension.Theyrevolve slowlywhenmoltensteelisaddedoremptied.Theirlife expectancyis20years.Incasetheyexperiencefailurein operation,theoutputoftheconvertorandeventhatofthe wholeproductlinewouldbeaffectedandhugelosswouldbe resultedin.Therefore,itisveryimportanttomasterthe workingconditionsofthebearings.Vibrationandoilanalyses aretwomaintechniquestomonito…     

织造过程中经纱张力计算机控制系统的研究

为了提高织机生产效率和扩大织造品种范围，提出了织造过程中经纱张力控制的目标和相适应的控制方案，研制了经纱张力计算机控制系统，达到了预期的性能指标。     

Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

在线固溶条件下的输出辊道受热分析

为满足300系列奥氏体不锈钢轧后在线目溶处理的要求，针对某厂已有设备条件，进行在线固溶处理输出辊道的改造，利用ANSYS有限元分析软件，通过对不同结构和材质条件下输出辊道的受热分析，为输出辊道的改造提供了理论依据。结果表明，将原有的铸铁辊道改为陶瓷辊道能够满足生产的要求。     

地震参数综合处理方法在储层横向预测中的应用

建立了一套计算机上可实现的地震参数综合研究的算法和程序,将地震参数综合处理方法变为计算机处理过程,再将地球物理数据转换为地质解释语言.从现有的模式识别或统计分析方法中,选用了输出能量最大准则滤波的综合参数法和标准样本学习的判别分析法进行储层岩性预测.尽管综合参数或判别函数本身已失去了各个参数原有的明确的物理意义,但它却代表了多参数共同性的变化,较可靠地反映出产生这些变化的地质因素.     

动力学分析法测定银的进展

本文综述了动力学分析法测定银的发展概况.并对测定方法列表进行了比较,文章引用国内外文献90篇.     

OPTIMAL SETTING-UP OF KNITTING ELEMENTS AND ITS EFFECT ON TENSION VARIATION

The dynamic yarn tension variations during knitting cycle are very difficult to control and be-come one of barriers to knitting on modern warp knitting machine.Examination of experimentaldata and theoretical analysis show that the relative position of spring rail to knitting elements suchas needle,guide as well as their displacement has noticeable effect on tension variation so that theknitting condition can be much improved by rearrangement of the knitting elements and theirmovement within a knitting cycle.