Forecasting trend output in the Euro area

This paper is an applied study about forecasting trend output and the output gap in the Euro area. The need for trend output forecasts is justified by an analysis of the monetary strategy of the European Central Bank. Trend output serves as a direct inflation indicator and helps to determine the reference value for money. For both purposes, trend output has to be forecasted. A permanent–transitory decomposition based on cointegration restrictions gives an estimate of trend output in the Euro area. Ex‐ante point forecasts of trend output are computed and bootstrap simulation is employed to construct prediction intervals that take estimation uncertainty into consideration. The uncertainty of trend output and the output gap is quite large and raises questions about their usefulness as indicators for monetary policy. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

运输需求的特性及其分析特点

研究了运输需求的概念和特性，粗略地总结了运输需求的广泛性、多样性、派生性、空间特定性、时间特定性和部分可替代性６个主要特征，说明运输需求包括流量、流向、流程、流时和流速５个要素。并分析了运输需求的产生原因，讨论了运输需求分析的特点，论述了微观经济学需求理论用于运输需求分析的局限性。     

Millikan′s油滴实验数据处理透析

本文从误差传递的角度出发，代入合理的数据，来说明目前高校实验中对此内容的数据处理的问题所在以及应怎样采取措施解决。     

论GIS模糊不确定性以及处理方法探讨

论述了GIS模糊不确定性的认识，介绍了不确定性的相关概念，阐述了GIS的模糊不确定性，及其处理方法。     

应用不定量凸模型的遗传算法解决结构设计的优化问题

针对不定静载荷和由不定搜索而产生的最不利情况 ,应用遗传算法来解决桁架的优化问题。说明了在考虑不定量的结构设计优化问题中 ,应用遗传算法实现的高效性。     

FROM MANUFACTURING SCHEDULING TO SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION：THE CONTROL OF COMPLEXITY AND UNCERTAINTY

With time-based competition and rapid technology advancements, effective manufacturingscheduling and supply chain coordination are critical to quickly respond to changing marketconditions. These problems, however, are difficult in view of inherent complexity and variousuncertainties involved. Based on a series of results by the authors, decomposition and coordination byusing Lagrangian relaxation is identified in this paper as an effective way to control complexity anduncertainty.A manufacturing scheduling problem is first formulated within the job shop context withuncertain order arrivals, processing times, due dates, and part priorities as a separable optimizationproblem. A solution methodology that combines Lagrangian relaxation, stochastic dynamicprogramming, and heuristics is developed. Method improvements to effectively solve large problemsare also highlighted. To extend manufacturing scheduling within a factory to coordinate autonomicmembers across chains of suppliers, a decentralized supply chai     

原子光谱线变宽的因素分析

分别从经典理论和量子理论的不同角度论述了使原子光谱线变宽的各种主要因素:由于能量的不确定关系导致的自然致宽;多普勒致宽;碰撞致宽;因碰撞过程中原子能级变化而导致的压力致宽、场致宽等.通过分析,阐明了实际光谱线与理想光谱线的不同及其原因.     

需求特征对供应链中企业资源再利用的影响分析

为了了解需求因素对供应链中企业资源再利用的影响,选取工业园上下游企业的相互联系为分析背景,建立企业间的供应链模型,研究了需求不确定性σ和需求弹性k对供应链中企业资源再利用的影响.模型仿真结果表明:对存在物料供需关系的2个企业来说,随着主产品需求不确定性σ的不断增大,2个企业的总利润π呈不断下降的趋势,销售损失和库存成本增加,企业资源再利用受到阻碍;随着弹性因子k的不断增大,需求批量与供给批量差距呈现出一种先减小后增大的趋势,总利润π减小,对企业资源再利用起到了负面的影响,阻碍其发展.     

我国注册会计师行业发展中若干问题的经济学分析

介绍了注册会计师供给关系的形成原因,分析了影响注册会计师的供需因素,探讨了注册会计师行业发展中存在的问题及对策。     

第一种非对称叠加态光场的等幂次N-Y测不准态

利用多模压缩态理论,研究了多模叠加态光场|ψ(ab)I〉q的广义非线性等幂次N次方Y压缩特性,结果发现:在一些特定的条件下,态|ψ(ab)I〉q恒处于等幂次N-Y测不准态,而不呈现等幂次N次方Y压缩效应。