新疆节能日光温室发展中的问题探讨

本文根据新疆节能日光温室的实践、研究和调查分析，从栽培区划分、结构设计、规模与生产技术等三个方面对新疆节能日光温室发展中的问题进行了探讨，为今后稳步发展提供了依据。     

北京市SARS数学模型的建立与拟合

SARS对中国社会的发展产生了重大影响，本人经典的SIR模型为理论基础，以2003年4月21日至6月23日有关SARS的数据为参考资料，着重从教学的角度对SARS疫情进行了分析和拟合。结果表明，SIR模型能近似地描述SARS疫情的发展和变化。     

矿区资源环境安全评价与空间决策支持系统

讨论了矿区资源环境安全评价与空间决策支持系统构建的意义、特点、内涵、目标、技术路线及总体框架,以及资源环境安全的评价指标体系及评价方法。提出以 GIS、RS、GPS 为信息数据采集手段,GIS 为平台、模型库与决策支持系统为核心构成整个评价与空间决策支持系统。据此对矿区资源环境安全进行动态的评价、模拟和预测,并做出调控决策。     

增长曲线模型关于共轭先验的BAYES分析

从贝叶斯观点利用共轭先验考查了增长曲线模型。得到了参数τ和协方∑的边缘后验分布，并在此基础上给出τ的后验估计、估计域和∑的后验估计。     

天水半湿润山区绿化气候及适生林草区划研究

通过20世纪70~90年代30年气象资料统计分析,建立了天水半湿润山区适生林草区划数学模型;通过量化计算,得出了区内不同区域水、热匹配指标,并进行了适生林草配置的四级农业气候区划,为该区生态环境建设提供了科学依据.     

Semi‐Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve

We develop a semi‐structural model for forecasting inflation in the UK in which the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) is augmented with a time series model for marginal cost. By combining structural and time series elements we hope to reap the benefits of both approaches, namely the relatively better forecasting performance of time series models in the short run and a theory‐consistent economic interpretation of the forecast coming from the structural model. In our model we consider the hybrid version of the NKPC and use an open‐economy measure of marginal cost. The results suggest that our semi‐structural model performs better than a random‐walk forecast and most of the competing models (conventional time series models and strictly structural models) only in the short run (one quarter ahead) but it is outperformed by some of the competing models at medium and long forecast horizons (four and eight quarters ahead). In addition, the open‐economy specification of our semi‐structural model delivers more accurate forecasts than its closed‐economy alternative at all horizons. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

正交实验研究磷肥厂副产物氟硅酸制取白炭黑最佳工艺

为了得到用磷肥厂副产品氟硅酸和碳酸氢铵为原料制备白炭黑最佳工艺,用正交试验法研究了反应温度、配料比、搅拌速度、加料方式等对产品白炭黑比表面积和吸油值的影响情况。实验结果表明,原料配比和加料方式是影响产品的主要因素,最佳的工艺条件为反应温度80℃,原料配比6．2：1,搅拌速度200rpm,加料方式采用以氟硅酸为底液,NH4HCO3 30分钟滴加完。在此条件下制得的白炭黑,比表面积大于235m^2／g,吸油值达到国标GB10517—89技术指标要求。平行实验结果表明,该最佳工艺条件具有良好的重现性。     

Steinitz class of elliptic curves with complex multilication

Let E be any elliptic curve having complex multiplication by the ring CK of integers of the quadratic number field K= Q(- D). Let H be the Hilbert class field of K. The Mordell-Weil group E(H) of H-rational points is a module over the Dedekind domain CK, its structure depends on its Steinitz class. Here the Steinits class is determined when D is any prime number. This result advances the result for the specific elliptic curves when D=10.A general theorem on structure of modules over Dedekind domain is also proposed.     

Butterflies of Grand Cayman,a dynamic island fauna

The butterflies of Grand Cayman, West Indies, have been surveyed in 1938, 1975 and 1985. Results of these surveys, together with information from other sources, are examined and it is shown that 46 species have been recorded, 8 of which are considered as vagrants and 38 as breeding species. Of the latter, 7 are believed to have become extinct and 6 are new colonists within the span of almost fifty years. The island can apparently support about 30 co-existing breeding species. These findings are discussed in terms of island biogeography theory. Grand Cayman data fit a species area regression for other West Indies islands very closely if only breeding species are considered.     

基于遗传算法和神经网络的远程减速机故障诊断系统的设计

通过对减速机故障形式的分析,采用BP神经网络建立故障诊断模型,利用遗传算法优化神经网络权值、阈值、网络结构,将遗传神经网络模型应用到远程减速机的故障诊断的设计中,比较单一的神经网络和遗传神经网络的训练误差曲线,得出遗传神经网络在训练速度和准确性上远远高于神经网络训练模型.