多样性和归纳推理与证券市场动力机制

以前期建立的多智能体证券市场人工模型为平台,采用仿真分析的方法,研究了多样性和归纳推理在证券市场动力机制的作用,发现智能体策略的多样性是系统稳定的基础;在对称信息下,趋势交易作为一种可选交易风格不会导致系统波动增大,反而可以进一步提供多样性,稳定系统;归纳推理是产生收益率分布尖峰肥尾现象的关键因素之一.     

N-(1,1-二甲基-3-氧代丁基)-2-丙烯酰胺的合成

以丙烯酰胺和二丙酮醇为原料,以浓硫酸为催化剂,合成了N-(1,1-二甲基-3-氧代丁基)-2-丙烯酰胺.采用红外光谱、核磁共振、熔点测定等方法对产物进行了表征.得到最佳反应条件为n(丙烯酰胺)∶n(二丙酮醇)∶n(浓硫酸)=2∶4∶1,反应温度为60℃,反应时间为6 h.得到产物的产率为20.0%,熔点为51~53℃.     

浅谈运动控制技术的发展现状及应用前景

运动控制技术日益受到世界各国的高度重视,已成为机电一体化的关键技术。特别是由面向传统数控加工行业专用的运动控制技术发展为面向各行业的开放的、能结合具体应用要求的先进运动控制技术后,更彰显出其巨大的发展潜力。本文从运动控制技术的产生、现状及发展趋势等方面探讨了运动控制技术的发展。     

钢筋混凝土双向受弯梁受剪承载力的计算方法探析

对于钢筋混凝土双向受弯梁斜截面受剪承载力的计算分析,一般是简化为按两个单向受弯梁的斜截面受剪承载力分别计算后再叠加的方法来确定。而对《混凝土结构设计规范》(GB50010-2002)中的双向受弯框架柱的计算方法,能否用来分析双向受弯梁的斜截面受剪承载力尚不清楚。基于已有的32根集中荷载作用下双向受弯梁的试验结果,本文采用上述两种方法对双向受弯梁的斜截面受剪承载力进行了对比分析,探讨了它们的适用性问题。研究结果表明,采用这两种方法计算分析双向受弯梁的斜截面受剪承载力所得结果误差较大且不安全,可以说是不适用的。     

Community Climate Model 3模拟夏季极端降水的初步分析

采用累积频率的统计方法和Community Climate Model 3(CCM3)模拟的10年逐日降水结果,分析了模拟的夏季极端降水事件的时空分布特征.结果表明,CCM3模拟的极端降水阈值的大值区主要在我国黄河和长江流域的上游、印度半岛及其邻近海域和孟加拉湾及其北部地区.CCM3能够模拟出我国长江流域极端降水量与极端降水日数显著增加的趋势.对极端降水平均强度、降水日数以及极端降水量与总降水量比值的经验正交函数(EOF)分析可知,我国大部分地区的极端降水基本呈现同相变化,且以长江和黄河中游地区较为显著.CCM3模式基本能够模拟出观测到的极端降水阈值与总降水、极端降水日数及其距平的高空间相关性.     

企业管理信息化及其发展趋势

文章介绍了企业信息化的定义及内涵,概述了我国企业管理信息化的发展历程和现状,并对其发展趋势、发展前景作了预测。     

Relationship between the tropical cyclone genesis over the Northwest Pacific and the sea surface temperature anomalies

Using the tropical cyclone (TC) data derived from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the sea surface temperature data derived from the Joint Environmental Data Analysis Center (JEDAC) at the Scripps Institute of Oceanography from January 1955 to December 2000, we analyzed the relationship between the TC genesis over the Northwest Pacific (NWP) and the sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) over the Pacific basin. A long-term trend indicated that the highest frequency of monthly TC genesis appeared earlier and the annual genesis sum increased gradually during the last half century with some oscillations. No significant synchronous correlation was found between the NWP TC events and the SSTA over the Pacific basin, while the annual sum of TC genesis was closely related with the SSTA averaged from the first three months (January, February and March) of the year in the equatorial western and eastern Pacific and over mid-high latitudes of the North Pacific. The results implied that there are an interannual El Nio SSTA mode in the equatorial western and eastern Pacific and an interdecadal SSTA mode in the northern Pacific, which affected the TC genesis. A regression analysis between the first three-month SSTA and the annual TC sum based on two time scales was conducted. The correlation coefficient between simulated and observed TC sums reached a high value of 0.77.     

Relationship between the tropical cyclone genesis over the Northwest Pacific and the sea surface temperature anomalies

Using the tropical cyclone (TC) data derived from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the sea surface temperature data derived from the Joint Environmental Data Analysis Center (JEDAC) at the Scripps Institute of Oceanography from January 1955 to December 2000, we analyzed the relationship between the TC genesis over the Northwest Pacific (NWP) and the sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) over the Pacific basin. A long-term trend indicated that the highest frequency of monthly TC genesis appeared earlier and the annual genesis sum increased gradually during the last half century with some oscillations. No significant synchronous correlation was found between the NWP TC events and the SSTA over the Pacific basin, while the annual sum of TC genesis was closely related with the SSTA averaged from the first three months (January, February and March) of the year in the equatorial western and eastern Pacific and over mid-high latitudes of the North Pacific. The results implied that there are an interannual El Nio SSTA mode in the equatorial western and eastern Pacific and an interdecadal SSTA mode in the northern Pacific, which affected the TC genesis. A regression analysis between the first three-month SSTA and the annual TC sum based on two time scales was conducted. The correlation coefficient between simulated and observed TC sums reached a high value of 0.77.     

解读中国的趋势

从中国传统的儒家文化和老子的文化入手进行分析,阐述了他们各自的观点和不同以及两者相结合所产生的巨大的能量,从这里引申到当今的中国的一些基本的国策和他们内在的涵义,从中希望解读中国今后二三十年的国家的运程和走势.     

新形势下高校非正式组织的管理体制及发展趋势

高校中存在着"非正式组织",它的存在具有客观性,是正式组织的依附体。在分析大学生非正式组织的类型、特征及发展趋势的基础上,认为大学生工作者有必要细致了解非正式组织情况,才能以科学的方法对非正式组织进行有效地管理和引导,以便培养更多优秀人才目标的实现。