高校图书馆大规模馆藏精准迁移模式探讨--以华北电力大学图书馆为例

书库藏书迁移的运作主要在于精心准备和周密筹划。详细介绍了华北电力大学图书馆利用汇文文献信息服务系统的强大分析功能并结合Excel软件的使用技巧,实现大规模馆藏迁移精准排架工作的经验。     

浅析日本国际合作机构对外教育援助评价制度

在提高对外援助效果这一国际潮流的推动下,各捐赠国越来越关注援助的有效性问题,并积极完善本国的教育援助评价制度,以实现对援助项目的有效监测和评估。经过一元化改革后的日本国际协力机构,扩大了评价对象和目的,导入了成果主义,完善了外部第三方评价,建立了一个全方位的内外部评价体系。     

高校校园网环境下的计算机教学模式(综述)

信息技术在教学中的使用越来越广泛,在校园网络环境下,教师应建立现代教学理念,分析计算机教学中存在的问题,了解校园网的基本组成和功能,力求转换师生角色,探索出新的教学模式,逐步引导学生充分利用计算机网络资源,进行网上探究,自主学习和协作学习,从而大幅度提高教学效果。     

Correcting the January optimism effect

Each month, various professional forecasters give forecasts for next year's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and unemployment. January is a special month, when the forecast horizon moves to the following calendar year. Instead of deleting the January data when analyzing forecast updates, I propose a periodic version of a test regression for weak-form efficiency. An application of this periodic model for many forecasts across a range of countries shows that in January GDP forecast updates are positive, whereas the forecast updates for unemployment are negative. I document that this January optimism about the new calendar year is detrimental to forecast accuracy. To empirically analyze Okun's law, I also propose a periodic test regression, and its application provides more support for this law.     

Intermittent demand forecasting in the Enterprise: Empirical verification

Forecasting methods are often valued by means of simulation studies. For intermittent demand items there are often very few non–zero observations, so it is hard to check any assumptions, because statistical information is often too weak to determine, for example, distribution of a variable. Therefore, it seems important to verify the forecasting methods on the basis of real data. The main aim of the article is an empirical verification of several forecasting methods applicable in case of intermittent demand. Some items are sold only in specific subperiods (in given month in each year, for example), but most forecasting methods (such as Croston's method) give non–zero forecasts for all periods. For example, summer work clothes should have non–zero forecasts only for summer months and many methods will usually provide non–zero forecasts for all months under consideration. This was the motivation for proposing and testing a new forecasting technique which can be applicable to seasonal items. In the article six methods were applied to construct separate forecasting systems: Croston's, SBA (Syntetos–Boylan Approximation), TSB (Teunter, Syntetos, Babai), MA (Moving Average), SES (Simple Exponential Smoothing) and SESAP (Simple Exponential Smoothing for Analogous subPeriods). The latter method (SESAP) is an author's proposal dedicated for companies facing the problem of seasonal items. By analogous subperiods the same subperiods in each year are understood, for example, the same months in each year. A data set from the real company was used to apply all the above forecasting procedures. That data set contained monthly time series for about nine thousand products. The forecasts accuracy was tested by means of both parametric and non–parametric measures. The scaled mean and the scaled root mean squared error were used to check biasedness and efficiency. Also, the mean absolute scaled error and the shares of best forecasts were estimated. The general conclusion is that in the analyzed company a forecasting system should be based on two forecasting methods: TSB and SESAP, but the latter method should be applied only to seasonal items (products sold only in specific subperiods). It also turned out that Croston's and SBA methods work worse than much simpler methods, such as SES or MA. The presented analysis might be helpful for enterprises facing the problem of forecasting intermittent items (and seasonal intermittent items as well).     

三值光学计算机

三值光学计算机是2017年3月问世的通用型光电混合计算机系统。它用无光态和偏振方向正交的两个偏振光态表示信息,用旋光器和偏振片来改变这三个光态,进而完成三值逻辑运算和MSD(modified signed-digit representations)冗余表达数值的二进制并行加法运算。这种新型计算机具有处理器位数众多、处理器位可以分组独立使用、处理器位的计算功能可重构等优势;还以非易失随机存储器件为基础,构建了与处理器频繁交换大量数据的双空间存储器系统;为便于编制发挥这些特色的应用程序,采用SZG文件为程序员遮蔽三值光学处理器与传统电子处理器的差别,构成了保持传统编程技术的新编程平台。目前,针对快速傅里叶变换、元胞自动机等典型算法,验证了这种新型计算机的加速能力。     

Taming theory with thought experiments: Understanding and scientific progress

I claim that one way thought experiments contribute to scientific progress is by increasing scientific understanding. Understanding does not have a currently accepted characterization in the philosophical literature, but I argue that we already have ways to test for it. For instance, current pedagogical practice often requires that students demonstrate being in either or both of the following two states: 1) Having grasped the meaning of some relevant theory, concept, law or model, 2) Being able to apply that theory, concept, law or model fruitfully to new instances. Three thought experiments are presented which have been important historically in helping us pass these tests, and two others that cause us to fail. Then I use this operationalization of understanding to clarify the relationships between scientific thought experiments, the understanding they produce, and the progress they enable. I conclude that while no specific instance of understanding (thus conceived) is necessary for scientific progress, understanding in general is.     

阿罗不可能性定理和社会选择的无矛盾性问题

2017年2月21日,国际著名数理经济学家、1972年度诺贝尔(Nobel)经济学奖获得者阿罗(K.J.Arrow)于美国辞世。谨作此文,以纪念他在社会选择理论,特别是其中将有关数学应用于研究经济学领域发现的"阿罗不可能性定理"作出的重大贡献。     

基于SHPB试验的高速铁路CRTSⅡ型CA砂浆动态性能

采用分离式霍普金森压杆(Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar,SHPB)试验研究了高速铁路CRTS II型水泥乳化沥青砂浆(CA砂浆)的动态力学性能,并建立了CRTS II型CA砂浆的动态本构关系模型.结果表明:随着应变率的增大,CRTS II型CA砂浆峰值强度逐渐增加,但增加速率随应变率的增大而减小,当应变率从44.17增加至54.79 s-1和从54.79增加至108.47 s-1时,峰值强度分别增加了初始峰值强度的52.28%和7.5%,弹性模量随应变率的变化规律性较差;应变率越大,破坏时的贯通裂纹越多,碎裂程度越大;CRTS II型CA砂浆的比能量吸收随着应变率的增大而增大.所建立的动态本构模型拟合曲线与试验曲线具有较好的一致性.     

基于.NET的协同工作模式研究与实现

介绍了计算机协同工作模式及其关键技术,详细分析了高中新课程协同工作系统的系统需求,最后通过基于.NET技术编程实现了高中新课程在线协同工作系统.