New evidence for the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau as a pilot region of climatic fluctuation in China

Over 40 a observed temperature data in 172 stations in China and historical proxy data were analyzed. Evidence suggested that during 1980–1994, the warmest year appeared first in southeastern part of the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau (henceforth SETP) and then gradually spread northwards and eastwards to eastern China. The climatic change on century time scale in recent 600 a shows 3 relatively warm and clod stages in China. Each warm and cold stage appeared first in Tibet Plateau (henceforth TP) and then in the Qilian Mountains, then in the eastern parts of China. The warm and cold stages in TP were 10–60 a earlier than in the eastern China. The facts show that TP is a pilot region of climatic fluctuation in China on the time scale shorter than 10³a.     

竖井进流水平旋转内消能泄水道的泄流特性

通过对竖井进流水平旋转内消能泄水道的泄流特性的试验研究,揭示了该种泄水道的泄流规律,并着重分析了上下游水深、通气孔通气状态对泄流特性的影响。在给出泄流特性分区及流态划分后,提出该种泄水道的泄流量计算公式。     

秦安大地湾高分辨率全新世植被演变与气候变迁初步研究

主要根据孢粉分析结果,并结合磁化率,碳酸钙恢复了陇西黄土高原地区全新世期间植被气候的变化过程。结果表明全新世气候存在３个大的阶段,全新世早期气候以寒冷为主要特点,中全新世气候温暖湿润,晚全新世气候以干旱为主要特征。     

武汉市暴雨气候特征分析

利用武汉市东西湖区,蔡甸区,江夏区气象站１９５９￣１９９６年５￣９月降水资料及武汉城区各雨量站,１９８８￣１９９５年５￣９月降水自记资料,统计分析武汉市暴雨、大暴雨时空分布特征及其变化规律,确定武汉市灾害性暴雨标准,其研究结果可为武汉地区暴雨防灾减灾工作提供背景依据。     

旋转水流消能及其空化特性

研究了高水头（Ｈ〉２００ｍ）泄水建筑物隧洞内部消能的一种新型消能工,将竖井与隧洞切向连接,在隧洞内形式螺旋形的旋转水流,这种水流结构可消散水流中大部分能量,使流向下游的水流剩余能量较小,减轻下游的消能负担和减少下游冲刷。这种消能工的最基本的水流形态环流,在其固体边壁存在着较大的离心力,其中心为大气压,整个水流不会出现负压,流速迅速降低,空化特性较好,不会产生空化与空蚀。还分析了旋转水流的消能机理、     

磨料水射流切削金属表面涂层薄铁的加工性研究(英文)

以试验研究数据为依据,对磨料水射流切削金属表面涂层薄铁的可加工性进行了详细的分析与研究。结果表明,磨料水射流加工技术能够在该种材料上切削出高质量地切口,且生产率较高。还对很多切口特性与加工参数之间的关系进行了全面的讨论,由此推荐了最好的加工参数并建立了切口的几何及质量经验公式,以用于加工过程的控制和优化。     

MCP平均增益参数的快速估算法

该文利用“MCP综合特性测试分析仪”测得的G—V特性曲线结合运用E.E.Eberhardt的MCP增益模型提出一种对MCP平均增益参数的快速估算方法。可在G—V测试结果的基础上,通过计算得出MCP的各种增益参数和工作参数。这对MCP的研制和应用是很有意义的。     

Predicting returns and volatility with macroeconomic variables: evidence from tests of encompassing

Tests of forecast encompassing are used to evaluate one‐step‐ahead forecasts of S&P Composite index returns and volatility. It is found that forecasts over the 1990s made from models that include macroeconomic variables tend to be encompassed by those made from a benchmark model which does not include macroeconomic variables. However, macroeconomic variables are found to add significant information to forecasts of returns and volatility over the 1970s. Often in empirical research on forecasting stock index returns and volatility, in‐sample information criteria are used to rank potential forecasting models. Here, none of the forecasting models for the 1970s that include macroeconomic variables are, on the basis of information criteria, preferred to the relevant benchmark specification. Thus, had investors used information criteria to choose between the models used for forecasting over the 1970s considered in this paper, the predictability that tests of encompassing reveal would not have been exploited. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

电极结构对等离子体显示单元放电效率的影响

利用实验和数值模拟方法研究等离子体显示屏放电单元中的电极间隙、长度、壁障高度等不同参数对放电特性的影响.结果表明,放电效率随电极长度、间隙大小的增大而增大,壁障的存在也使效率略有增加并导致单元有效电容减小,但对放电电压影响很小.单元高度对放电效率影响不大,但可以降低同样间隙下的放电电压.合理选择电极结构可以在较低的维持电压下获得较高的放电效率.     

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