Temperature variations on the Tibetan Plateau over the last two millennia

The paleoclimate data recovered from ice cores,tree rings and lake sediments indicate regional features of cfimatic change on the Tibeta n Plateau (TP) during the last 2000 years. The composite temperature reconstructions in-dicate that several main climatic episodes, such as the “LittleIce Age“ between 1400 and 1900, the “Medieval Warm Pe-riod“ in 1150-1400, a less warm period in 800-1100, and an earlier cold period between the 3rd and 5th centuries,occurred in the TP. In addition, temperature varied from region to region. The period from AD 800 to 1100, which waswarm in northeastern TP, was contemporaneous with cool-ing in the western and southern TP. The southern TP ex-perienced warming between 1150 and 1400. For western TP,the δ^18O records of the Guliya ice core indicate that the pe-Hod 1250-1500 witnessed a clear warming. Large-scaletrends in the temperature history from northeastern TP aremore similar to those in eastern China than are the trendsfrom the Guliya ice cap far to the west and southern TP. The most prominent similarities between the temperature varia-tions of the TP and eastern China are such cold phases as 1100-1150, 1500-1550, 1650-1700 and 1800-1850, andthe latter three cold events match with three widespreadg lacial advances which occurred on the TP during the Little Ice A2e.     

气候变化与宝鸡市粮食产量关系初探

气候变化对生态环境和农业生产有着显著的影响，利用宝鸡市１２个气象站的温度和降水资料、根据部分经验公式推导出计算粮食产量相对变率的公式，并计算了当年平均气温变化、℃、２℃、３℃，年平均降水量变化１０％、２０％、３０％的情况下的粮食产量的相对值。     

试论厄尼诺与山东降水作物产量的关系

厄尼诺现象使山东夏季降水偏少，强度越大，干旱越重，用降水与分离的气候产量进行回归分析的到需水量，进而评价其满足程度。厄尼诺强年所有作物减产，弱年与发生时间有关。     

Some evidence of drying trend over northern China from 1951 to 2004

The surface wetness index, Palmer drought sererity index and the retrieval of soil moisture over China were calculated using monthly precipitation and monthly mean surface air temperature. Based on the contrast analysis of the variation of the above three indices and precipitation, the dry/wet spatio-temporal pattern of northern China in the last 54 years was revealed, and the evidence of drying trend over northern China was analyzed, especially. The results show the following four facts: (1) The drying trend is the main characteristic of the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China since the 1980s and it was enhanced in the last 15 years mainly due to the precipitation decrease and the temperature increase; (2) During the last 54 years, there was only one dry/wet shift at the interdecadal scale occurring in the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China in the late 1970s, which was related to 1977/1978 global abrupt change, whereas there were three shifts in Northeast China, one was in the mid 1990s and the other two were in 1965 and 1983, respectively; (3) Unlike the variation trend of other subregions of northern China, the western part of Northwest China is currently located in a relatively wetting period, which is weak-ened due to the temperature increase; (4) The extreme drought frequency is obviously increasing in the eastern part of Northwest China, the central part of North China and Northeast China since the 1980s, which is closely related to the precipitation decrease and temperature increase in these subregions.     

Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years

Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years are the focus of more and more researchers＇ attention. In this paper, both temperature and precipitation time series were found to present a monotonic increasing trend using nonparametric tests. Noticeably, a significant step change in both temperature and precipitation time series occurred in 1986. By contrasting the trends of natural water process in headstream and mainstream, we found that it was anthropogenic activities not climate change that caused the river dried up and vegetation degenerated in the lower reaches of Tarim River. The results of gray correlation analysis show that the runoff of higher latitude distributing river is more closely associated with winter snow stocking, while that of lower latitude is more closely related to summer temperature. Runoff in the headstream is more sensitive to precipitation, while that in the mainstream is more sensitive to evaporation. The strong evaporation caused by increasing temperature weakened runoff to some extent in spite of the fact that precipitation increased over the past 50 years.     

论陈三立诗歌的悲情

陈三立是戊戍维新党人,又是晚清民初杰出的"同光体"诗人之一。在他的诗歌中,有着对时代的自觉性省察,真实地再现他对家国、生命、文化的悲剧性反思。     

云南楚雄市的发展对气候及气象灾害的影响

以楚雄市气象站1978～2000年的气候资料作为城市气候资料，以楚雄市西郊的南华气象站1978～2000年的气候资料作为郊区气候资料进行对比分析，探讨楚雄市城市的发展对气候及气象灾害的影响，并揭示其变化规律。结果表明，进入20世纪80年代以来，楚雄市热岛效应和干岛效应日趋明显，随着楚雄城市的发展扩大，城区的气温逐渐升高，湿度逐渐减少，降水呈递增趋势，风速呈递减趋势。楚雄市城市发展对主要灾害性天气的影响表现为，城市的暴雨日数呈增多的趋势；大风发生次数逐渐减小，霜冻日数楚雄市区比郊区南华少，且随着城市的发展呈递减趋势。     

金融危机发生时资金运作的数学模型研究

站在投资者或投机者的立场上，根据金融危机发生时危机发生国制定的各种政策法规，建立相应的数学模型，分析如何进行资金运作才能以最快的速度、最小的损失将资金从危机发生国撤离，从而保证己方资金的安全性。     

天水半湿润山区绿化气候及适生林草区划研究

通过20世纪70~90年代30年气象资料统计分析,建立了天水半湿润山区适生林草区划数学模型;通过量化计算,得出了区内不同区域水、热匹配指标,并进行了适生林草配置的四级农业气候区划,为该区生态环境建设提供了科学依据.