The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison

In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare the forecasting performance of different models for the returns of three of the most traded exchange rates in terms of the US dollar, namely the French franc (FF/$), the German mark (DM/$) and the Japanese yen (Y/$). The relative performance of non‐linear models of the SETAR, STAR and GARCH types is contrasted with their linear counterparts. The results show that if attention is restricted to mean square forecast errors, the performance of the models, when distinguishable, tends to favour the linear models. The forecast performance of the models is evaluated also conditional on the regime at the forecast origin and on density forecasts. This analysis produces more evidence of forecasting gains from non‐linear models. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Experimental and Theoretical Research of “Local Resonance“ in Ultrasonic Honing System

In 1982, Professor Fang Guoliang found the “Non full resonance“ phenomenon in a tool system while he use the thin-long tool ultrasonically machining deep-small hole. He called it as “local resonance“. Also this “Non full resonance“ phenomenon was discovered in the ultrasonic drilling and the ultrasonic honing system later. To its mechanism, professor Fang thought that the coupling of long-thin tool bar and driving system is weak, so the tool bar can vibrate independently, but the quantitative relation betwe...     

附带各类约束的单一型装配线的平衡

本文着重描述了附带各种约束的单一型装配线的平衡问题,讨论了如何在Thomopoulos无约束平衡搜寻方法的基础上,实施附带各类约束的单一型装配线的平衡过程,并给出了在计算机上成功运行的实例及其分析。     

HP3562A动态信号分析仪的计算机控制

本文在分别简要介绍ＨＰ－ＩＢ接口、ＨＰ３５６２Ａ和ＨＰ９０００／３２０及其控制之后，较详细地讨论了ＨＰ－ＩＢ接口总线控制ＨＰ３５６２Ａ和进行数据传输的四种有效方法，并给出了程序实例。本文所述的方法同样适用于对其它ＨＰ－ＩＢ（ＧＰ＿ＩＢ）仪器的控制。     

化学气相沉积法制备光谱选择性碲膜

用化学气相沉积法制备碲薄膜,其步骤为：通过电化学方法制得碲化氢,碲化氢在室温下分解后在聚乙烯塑料箔上沉积得到碲薄膜.用傅里叶红外光谱仪、紫外/可见/近红外光谱仪、X射线衍射仪及扫描电镜表征碲薄膜的光学性能和结构.结果表明,化学气相沉积法在Mn-O覆盖的聚乙烯塑料箔上沉积得到的碲薄膜在大气窗口（8～13μm）光谱区域具有很高的透过率,同时能阻挡几乎所有的太阳光谱,表明碲薄膜是适用于辐射制冷装置的太阳光辐射屏蔽材料.     

农村剩余劳动力转移中的深层次矛盾及政策取向

简析了农村剩余劳动力的成因及现状,对转移中的深层次矛盾加以剖析,提出了政策建议,以期就教与方家.     

化工职业技术教育的现状及其发展对策研究

该文分析了我国化工职业技术教育的现状及特点，从多个角度并以详细的数据材料阐述了现阶段制约我国化工职业技术教育发展的因素，并结合化工职业技术教育的发展趋势讨论对策，总结出化工职业技术教育在今后的发展的道路上应注意的几点事项。     

径向电磁轴承的灰色系统控制与数值仿真

应用灰色系统去余控制理论，以径向电磁轴承为对象，提出该轴承的灰色系统控制方法，以实现对转子的稳定控制，并进行了数值仿真。建立了径向电磁轴承转子系统的动力学模型与传递函数，按照灰色系统理论设计了控制系统，由数值仿真结果表明，该转子系统能实现稳定良好的控制效果。     

On Vector Quasi-Variational Inequality Problems in H-Space

The purpose to this paper is to study the existence problem of solutions to the vector quasi-variational inequality for vector-valued functions in H-space.     

提高石油化工企业原料利用率的技术研究

坚持眼睛向内,挖潜增效,这是当前原油变重、供应量不足,生产资料涨价的客观形势下走出困境、提高企业效益的主要途径之一,本文从拓宽催化回炼油的利用途径,催化和加氢裂化互换循环油加工,优化重油原料的安排,提高轻油头的化肥效益,挤出烷基化原料,开发异丁烷的化工用途及油化结合等方面,分析通过厂际装置间的原料互供、生产优化来挖掘企业内涵,提高经济效益.