能力本位 理实一体 探索维修电工教学效果新突破

在明确课程目标的前提下,阐述了在课程教学中如何体现能力本位、如何通过采取理实一体化的教学方法,来实现维修电工课程在培养学生技能、素质、心理等方面的新突破。     

Correcting the January optimism effect

Each month, various professional forecasters give forecasts for next year's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and unemployment. January is a special month, when the forecast horizon moves to the following calendar year. Instead of deleting the January data when analyzing forecast updates, I propose a periodic version of a test regression for weak-form efficiency. An application of this periodic model for many forecasts across a range of countries shows that in January GDP forecast updates are positive, whereas the forecast updates for unemployment are negative. I document that this January optimism about the new calendar year is detrimental to forecast accuracy. To empirically analyze Okun's law, I also propose a periodic test regression, and its application provides more support for this law.     

村民自治实践的历程及成效

村民自治是我国农村基层直接民主的制度创新。上世纪80年代初,随着农村家庭联产承包责任制的推行和人民公社的解体,村民委员会作为村民自主管理、自我服务的社区组织逐渐建立起来。村民自治经过20多年的实践,大体经历三个发展阶段,取得了一定成效。     

Cladocera and Copepoda of Shokalsky Island: new data from northwest Siberia

Information on the freshwater fauna of the remote Arctic territories is very patchy, and most of the isolated islands of the Arctic Ocean remain absolutely unexplored. The pioneer data on the species composition of microcrustaceans of Shokalsky Island (northwest Siberia, Russia) is reported here. The initial three-year research revealed a total of 31 new for the area species of Cladocera and Copepoda, including new records for the whole of northwestern Siberia. Comparing the interannual differences in faunal composition, we suggested the hypothesis of the existence of a cryptic pool of species’ resting stages, which can invade the community in the event of favourable environmental conditions in the Arctic freshwaters. We also compiled all the available data from different parts of northern Siberia and compared them with the fauna of Shokalsky Island to analyse the connection between the diversity and distributional patterns of copepods and cladoceran species and the climate conditions of different territories.     

Patterns of artificial avian nest predation by introduced rats in a fragmented laurel forest (Tenerife,Canary Islands)

The importance of introduced rats as damaging factors on island biotas is globally recognized. The predation of artificial avian nests by Ship rats (Rattus rattus) in fragmented laurel forests in Tenerife (Canary Islands) was explored. The influence of road edge, patch type, and position (ground versus tree) on nest survival in two forest remnants differing in conservation degree, were assessed using failure‐time analysis. Overall, nest predation was greater in the preserved than in the disturbed remnant. Nest predation also differed among and within patches, variation being greater within the disturbed remnant. The probability of nest failure was higher at the interior than along the road edge in both remnants, but the road edge effect on nest predation was more intense in the disturbed remnant. Predation pressure was higher in patches of mature, closed canopy or dense understorey with stump sprouting. Ground nests were predated at higher rates than tree nests at any location. These results contrast with other nest predation studies in fragmented landscapes where forest edges rather than the interior are more frequently used by predators. Predatory activity by rats seems negatively affected by forest disturbance and road edge effect. Overall, artificial nest predation patterns by rats confirm a potential predation risk for the avifauna of the Canarian laurel forest. This should be considered in implementing conservation management programmes.     

基于无条件分位回归的民营上市公司高管薪酬问题研究

高级管理人员的薪酬作为现代企业委托代理关系中的核心问题一直是社会的焦点.本文以我国民营上市公司为样本,首先研究了公司规模、每股收益、营业收入、流动负债和高管持股比例作用于高管薪酬不同分位点处的条件分位偏效应,结果表明它们在不同分位水平下的影响各异;然后为了获得这些因素的一般边际影响,利用无条件分位回归分析了它们的无条件分位偏效应,结果指出公司规模、每股收益和营业收入与各个分位水平的高管薪酬呈不同程度的正相关而流动负债则为负相关,高管持股比例与低分位水平的高管薪酬正相关而对中高分位水平的影响不显著;最后对相关结果进行了对比,发现每个影响因素的条件和无条件分位偏效应有所区别,并且无条件分位偏效应的解释意义更具有现实价值.     

溴代双酚A型不饱和聚酯树脂的阻燃机理

利用TGA、DSC、热解-电导率仪,研究了文题内容。实验结果说明了溴的引入,使树脂具有良好的阻燃性,当溴含量大于7.63%(wt)时,树脂即能自熄。溴使树脂热解过程成碳倾向增加,分解生成的溴化氢是有效的自由基捕获剂。三氧化二锑和溴同时引入,对阻燃具有协同效应。     

基于U-规划图与动作效果相关的规划识别研究

针对支持动作效果是多个的情况,智能体如何根据现有的信息为该效果确定最终的支持动作的问题进行了研究,并给出了相应的FSas算法.FSas算法分别从命题层和动作层出发,利用被观察到的动作效果或动作以及互斥计算减小了支持动作的空间,从而求得最终支持效果的动作,实现了规划识别.研究结果表明,该算法不仅解决了支持动作效果的动作是唯一的情况,而且进一步解决了支持动作是多个的情况.同时以实例说明了该算法的执行过程,表明该算法是合理可行的.     

从“技术”的概念定义看“丛林效应”

由"技术"的多样化定义出发,引出了认识事物进行定义时所表现的"丛林效应"现象,并给出了"丛林效应"的来源、产生的原因及其判断原则。     

近断层长周期地震动前向性效应对峰值影响研究

筛选了断层距不大于15km的具有前向性效应的长周期近断层地震记录,分类汇总建立了统计分析数据样本库,对长周期地震动的竖向分量和水平向分量峰值比进行了分析,研究了震级、脉冲周期、不同分量对峰值加速度比的影响。在此基础上,采用前期建立的回归分析模型,对长周期地震动竖向分量和水平向两个分量的峰值加速度进行了回归分析,拟合给出了峰值参数与震级和断层距的衰减关系式,通过拟合曲线与数据样本的峰值实测值对比,说明拟合关系式在一定的范围内可以用于近断层长周期地震峰值的预测。