MIPv6网络中蠕虫传播模型的构建与仿真

为了防止MIPv6中蠕虫的传播,基于MIPv6网络环境,提出一种新型的蠕虫MIPv6-Worm和MIPv6节点接触频率的计算方法,对MIPv6网络中蠕虫的传播策略进行了分析和研究,建立了MIPv6网络蠕虫传播模型--MWM.仿真结果显示:MIPv6-Worm在MIPv6网络中传播的初期,在117 s时达到传播的顶峰,在传播后期所有节点最终都转为免疫状态;MIPv6-Worm传播概率与节点通信半径、易感节点分布密度、节点运动速度均成正比.该模型较好地模拟MIPv6网络中蠕虫的传播规律,为采取有效措施防止MIPv6中蠕虫的大范围传播提供了理论依据.     

离轴扭曲各向异性高斯-谢尔模型光束在湍流大气中的传播

该文基于广义惠更斯-菲涅耳原理,利用部分相干光复曲率张量推导出了离轴扭曲各向异性高斯-谢尔模型光束在湍流大气中传播的解析表达式,详细研究了该类光束在湍流大气中的传播特性.研究表明:离轴扭曲各向异性高斯-谢尔模型光束光斑在湍流大气中将退化为非离轴高斯圆形光斑;离轴参数与传播距离之间的关系曲线随着湍流强度的减弱、扭曲参数的增大以及光源相干性减弱变化缓慢.结果还表明,利用部分相干光复曲率张量分析各类高斯-谢尔光束在大气湍流中的传播和变换特性是一种简单有效的方法.     

Climate change impacts on crop yield,crop water productivity and food security-A review

This paper provides a comprehensive review of literature related to the assessment of climate change impacts on crop productivity using climate,water and crop yield models.The existing studies present that climate change models with higher spatial resolution can be a way forward for future climate projections.Meanwhile,stochastic projections of more than one climate model are necessary for providing insights into model uncertainties as well as to develop risk management strategies.It is projected that water availability will increase in some parts of the world,which will have its own effect on water use efficiency and water allocation.Crop production can increase if irrigated areas are expanded or irrigation is intensified,but these may increase the rate of environmental degradation.Since climate change impacts on soil water balance will lead to changes of soil evaporation and plant transpiration,consequently,the crop growth period may shorten in the future impacting on water productivity.Crop yields affected by climate change are projected to be different in various areas,in some areas crop yields will increase,and for other areas it will decrease depending on the latitude of the area and irrigation application.Existing modelling results show that an increase in precipitation will increase crop yield,and what is more,crop yield is more sensitive to the precipitation than temperature.If water availability is reduced in the future,soils of high water holding capacity will be better to reduce the impact of drought while maintaining crop yield.With the temperature increasing and precipitation fluctuations,water availability and crop production are likely to decrease in the future.If the irrigated areas are expanded,the total crop production will increase;however,food and environmental quality may degrade.     

Infection Functions for Virus Propagation in Computer Networks: An Empirical Study

There has been an increasing amount of interest in modeling virus propagation in recent years. However, the group-based infection mechanism of computer viruses is not well understood and the selection of infection function in virus propagation modeling has not been well studied. This paper describes a point-to-group (P2G) infection mode to describe virus propagation in networks with information sharing groups. Simulations compare the constant infection and I-type infection functions with the new E-type infection function in the small-world-network environment. The simulation results show that the E-type infection function shows superior performances to that of the traditional I-type infection function in modeling the P2G virus infection mechanism and the I-type infection function shows better performance in modeling the random infection mechanism.     

韩江流域土地利用变化的环境影响生态绿当量评价

以韩江流域为例,利用1986年与2006年土地利用现状数据．以生态绿当量作为土地利用变化环境影响评价的度量指标．引用生态绿当量数学模型,测算出流域区县各种用地类型的绿当量和区域总绿当量．以此衡量生态环境情况。结果表明：1）1986-2006年,韩江流域及各区县生态绿当量均有所提高,生态环境有所改善;2）生态绿当量作为评价区域生态环境指标具有涵义明确、计算简单方便等优点。     

土地利用/土地覆被变化分析研究——以烟台市为例

利用烟台市改革开放以来土地利用情况相关数据以及烟台市社会经济发展情况,对烟台市土地利用/土地覆被变化情况及发展趋势进行分析,发现存在以下情况:近10年耕地面积大体呈下降趋势,建设用地(居住、工业、公共设施)的增加是耕地面积减少的直接原因;从社会角度分析,土地利用/土地覆被变化不仅与国家的宏观政策相关,而且与人口数量、社会发展情况的关系至关重要。     

考虑感染时延的局域世界复杂网络上疾病传播行为

将感染时延引入到经典的Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible(SIS)模型来研究局域世界复杂网络上带有时延的疾病传播行为.均匀时延和度相关时延被集成到改进的SIS模型中,通过数值仿真研究时延对传播行为的影响.结果表明感染时延会促进疾病的爆发,大大增加复杂网络上疾病感染程度.此外,局域世界大小M也会显著影响网络中的疾病传播行为.     

涡轮盘裂纹扩展寿命可靠性灵敏度分析

将可靠性设计理论与灵敏度分析方法相结合,讨论了某型涡轮盘可靠性灵敏度问题,在随机参数概率分布已知的情况下,以Pairs-Erdogan裂纹扩展模型为基础,应用随机摄动理论、矩技术,讨论了某型涡轮盘的可靠性灵敏度问题,并且将提出方法所得的数值分析结果与Monte-Carlo方法计算的结果进行对比验证.给出了可靠性灵敏度的变化规律,研究了设计参数的改变对涡轮盘可靠性的影响,为涡轮盘的可靠性设计提供了理论依据.     

革命·爱情·知识分子

革命和爱情是现代文学的两个关键词。在"五四"作家、"革命文学"作家和解放区文学作家笔下,革命和爱情有着不同的地位和功能,这种变化折射出的不仅是作家对革命和爱情题材的调适,更体现了作家心路的变化历程。     

新疆石河子莫索湾垦区气候特征分析

利用莫索湾垦区1959-2007年历年日平均气温、最高(低)气温、降水量等资料,分析该地区48年年际、年代际、四季及近10年的气候变化特征,并得出了相关的结论.