含趋势项时间序列持久性变点监测

针对核加权方差比率统计量不是监测从非平稳向平稳变化持久性变点一致方法的问题,通过引进一个窗宽参数,提出了一种滑动核加权方差比率统计量来监测含趋势项时间序列从非平稳向平稳变化的持久性.在非平稳原假设下给出了监测统计量的极限分布和经验临界值表,在备择假设下证明了新方法的一致性.模拟结果表明新方法具有比原方法更高的势和更短的平均运行长度,最后通过分析人民币与美元汇率数据进一步说明了该方法的有效性.     

中等专业学校加强档案工作建设刍议

作为纪录历史的档案文献,是党和国家的宝贵财富。学校档案工作是我国教育事业的重要组成部分,对学校教育教学管理和国家经济建设有着及其重要的作用。文章从梳理学校档案工作的概念和作用入手,对中等专业学校档案工作存在问题进行分析,提出一些加强这项工作的措施,以求科学、规范地做好中等专业学校档案工作。     

Natural history of the Lined Seedeater Sporophila lineola (Aves: Thraupidae) in southeastern Brazil

The Lined Seedeater (Sporophila lineola) is a migratory species that inhabits a variety of open habitats in South America. We studied the breeding biology and territorial behaviour of a colour-banded population of the species in the Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Campus Florestal (1–19,8808ºS, –44,4136ºW), during two breeding seasons (2014/2015 and 2015/2016), which spans from December to April. We monitored 74 nests of this species. The nest is a low cup supported between a fork. Nests are mainly built with grass stems and rootlets, with spider-web used to hold the material together and to bind the nest to its supporting plant. Females are solely responsible for nest building and incubation, which is synchronic, and also for feeding nestlings to a large extent. Males are responsible for defending the territory, which corresponds to a small portion of the home range restricted to the nest environs, and also feed the nestlings. Mean clutch size is two eggs (78% of nests monitored), with clutches of three (20.3%) and four (1.7%) eggs also observed. Eggs are whitish, covered with dark brown blotches and spots to a variable extent. Mean incubation period, considered as the period between the onset of incubation and hatching of the first egg, is 11 days. Nestling period, considered as the period between hatching of the first egg and fledging of the last young, is 10 days. During the first breeding season, the simple percentage of successful nests was 34.1%, while the Mayfield success was 29.8%, with slightly higher values observed during the second breeding season, with 39.4% and 35.7%, respectively. We recorded, for the first time, three cases of polygamy in the species. We also recorded breeding site fidelity for the first time in the species, with males returning to the same territory owned in a previous breeding season.     

Modeling and Forecasting the Yield Curve by an Extended Nelson‐Siegel Class of Models: A Quantile Autoregression Approach

This paper compares the in‐sample fitting and the out‐of‐sample forecasting performances of four distinct Nelson–Siegel class models: Nelson–Siegel, Bliss, Svensson, and a five‐factor model we propose in order to enhance the fitting flexibility. The introduction of the fifth factor resulted in superior adjustment to the data. For the forecasting exercise the paper contrasts the performances of the term structure models in association with the following econometric methods: quantile autoregression evaluated at the median, VAR, AR, and a random walk. As a pattern, the quantile procedure delivered the best results for longer forecasting horizons. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Varieties of noise: Analogical reasoning in synthetic biology

The picture of synthetic biology as a kind of engineering science has largely created the public understanding of this novel field, covering both its promises and risks. In this paper, we will argue that the actual situation is more nuanced and complex. Synthetic biology is a highly interdisciplinary field of research located at the interface of physics, chemistry, biology, and computational science. All of these fields provide concepts, metaphors, mathematical tools, and models, which are typically utilized by synthetic biologists by drawing analogies between the different fields of inquiry. We will study analogical reasoning in synthetic biology through the emergence of the functional meaning of noise, which marks an important shift in how engineering concepts are employed in this field. The notion of noise serves also to highlight the differences between the two branches of synthetic biology: the basic science-oriented branch and the engineering-oriented branch, which differ from each other in the way they draw analogies to various other fields of study. Moreover, we show that fixing the mapping between a source domain and the target domain seems not to be the goal of analogical reasoning in actual scientific practice.     

The Afrotropical thermophilic ant genus Ocymyrmex (Hymenoptera: Formicidae)

The taxonomy and biology of the Afrotropical thermophilic ant genus Ocymyrmex is reviewed and updated. A new key to workers for the 37 recognized species is presented and species-groups within the genus are delimited. Revised genus-level diagnoses for all castes are given and a check-list with known distributions of all species is included. Nine new species are described. The previously known biology of the genus is reviewed in the introduction and fresh biological and ecological information on a number of species is given in the introduction and under the individual species headings.     

What’s so special about model organisms?

This paper aims to identify the key characteristics of model organisms that make them a specific type of model within the contemporary life sciences: in particular, we argue that the term “model organism” does not apply to all organisms used for the purposes of experimental research. We explore the differences between experimental and model organisms in terms of their material and epistemic features, and argue that it is essential to distinguish between their representational scope and representational target. We also examine the characteristics of the communities who use these two types of models, including their research goals, disciplinary affiliations, and preferred practices to show how these have contributed to the conceptualization of a model organism. We conclude that model organisms are a specific subgroup of organisms that have been standardized to fit an integrative and comparative mode of research, and that it must be clearly distinguished from the broader class of experimental organisms. In addition, we argue that model organisms are the key components of a unique and distinctively biological way of doing research using models.     

民族地区高校服务地方“三融合”ICT人才培养研究与实践——一西昌学院为例

提出了“‘三融合’ICT应用型人才培养”教改模式,阐述了该模式的背景、凉山民族地区高校信息与通信技术（ICT）人才培养存在的问题,以西昌学院为例, 介绍了“‘三融合’ICT应用型人才培养模式”的实践路径, 即通过专业融合、产教融合、两育融合,从培养方案、课程体系、教学方法、评价方式、实践教学、“双师”队伍、职业精神和中华民族共同体意识这8个方面进行实践,形成凉山民族地区高校服务地方的“三融合”ICT应用型人才培养新路径。分析了该模式在凉山民族地区人才培养、产业发展、脱贫奔康和乡村振兴中所取得的积极实践成果。     

西部高校教师健康和健身现状调查

通过对西部高校教师的健康和健身现状的调查分析,就如何改善西部高校教师的健康和健身状况提出了相应的对策及建议.