时间延缓的动力学计算

从动力学的观点计算相对论效应中的时间延缓，提出一种关于时间延缓的因果型说明     

油箱容积对液压系统油液污染度影响的分析研究

建立了液压系统油液污染度的数学模型，分析了油箱容积对液压系统油液污染度的影响程度，为液压系统油液污染控制理论的建立和完善提供了理论依据。     

A nonparametric method for asymmetrically extending signal extraction filters

Two important problems in the X‐11 seasonal adjustment methodology are the construction of standard errors and the handling of the boundaries. We adapt the ‘implied model approach’ of Kaiser and Maravall to achieve both objectives in a nonparametric fashion. The frequency response function of an X‐11 linear filter is used, together with the periodogram of the differenced data, to define spectral density estimates for signal and noise. These spectra are then used to define a matrix smoother, which in turn generates an estimate of the signal that is linear in the data. Estimates of the signal are provided at all time points in the sample, and the associated time‐varying signal extraction mean squared errors are a by‐product of the matrix smoother theory. After explaining our method, it is applied to popular nonparametric filters such as the Hodrick–Prescott (HP), the Henderson trend, and ideal low‐pass and band‐pass filters, as well as X‐11 seasonal adjustment, trend, and irregular filters. Finally, we illustrate the method on several time series and provide comparisons with X‐12‐ARIMA seasonal adjustments. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

《共产党宣言》中的自由思想解析

马克思本人经历了从革命民主主义到共产主义立场的转变，其自由观也实现了“消极自由”到“积极自由”的转变。《共产党宣言》中的“自由人联合体”集中表达了马克思、恩格斯关于“积极自由”的构想，同时其主体是“现实中的个人”，因而马克思主义“积极自由”观作为建立在历史唯物主义基础上的价值理想，由自由人联合体的物质基础、作为自由的实现方式的无产阶级工人运动以及自由时间为其提供可能性。     

Parallelization and Performance Optimization on Face Detection Algorithm with OpenCL: A Case Study

Face detect application has a real time need in nature. Although Viola-Jones algorithm can handle it elegantly, today’s bigger and bigger high quality images and videos still bring in the new challenge of real time needs. It is a good idea to parallel the Viola-Jones algorithm with OpenCL to achieve high performance across both AMD and NVidia GPU platforms without bringing up new algorithms. This paper presents the bottleneck of this application and discusses how to optimize the face detection step by step from a very nave implementation. Some brilliant tricks and methods like CPU execution time hidden, stubbles usage of local memory as high speed scratchpad and manual cache, and variable granularity were used to improve the performance. Those technologies result in 4-13 times speedup varying with the image size. Furthermore, those ideas may throw on some light on the way to parallel applications efficiently with OpenCL. Taking face detection as an example, this paper also summarizes some universal advice on how to optimize OpenCL program, trying to help other applications do better on GPU.     

保险赔付时间分布函数及其应用

本文根据近几年我国部分省市公开的保险理赔服务质量指标中的数据, 拟合保险理赔服务时间的分布函数, 讨论保险理赔时间分布函数的分布类型和特性, 在分布函数分布不确定的情况下估计其实用的界值. 并且将其性质应用到未决赔款准备金的计提方法中, 得到未决赔款准备金的分布函数和有效的界值. 在此研究基础上, 我们进一步通过几个实例, 验证保险理赔时间分布函数和界值的求解方法, 并应用其分布函数得到所需计提的未决赔款准备金的分布和界值情况.     

角度单值-移动合向量长度θ-Rs控制图模拟

以计角值控制图的性能分析为研究出发点，充分借鉴常规控制图性能分析的研究思路，结合圆上闭域的特点，从质量特性值服从VonMises分布这一角度展开分析，运用统计过程控制工具平均链长对计角值控制图中单值-移动合向量长度θ－Rs控制图进行模拟，分析该控制图在发生参数偏移的情况下平均链长的变化。     

Forecasting high‐frequency financial data with the ARFIMA–ARCH model

Financial data series are often described as exhibiting two non‐standard time series features. First, variance often changes over time, with alternating phases of high and low volatility. Such behaviour is well captured by ARCH models. Second, long memory may cause a slower decay of the autocorrelation function than would be implied by ARMA models. Fractionally integrated models have been offered as explanations. Recently, the ARFIMA–ARCH model class has been suggested as a way of coping with both phenomena simultaneously. For estimation we implement the bias correction of Cox and Reid ( 1987 ). For daily data on the Swiss 1‐month Euromarket interest rate during the period 1986–1989, the ARFIMA–ARCH (5,d,2/4) model with non‐integer d is selected by AIC. Model‐based out‐of‐sample forecasts for the mean are better than predictions based on conditionally homoscedastic white noise only for longer horizons (τ > 40). Regarding volatility forecasts, however, the selected ARFIMA–ARCH models dominate. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于病人成本最小化的医院预约挂号研究

为了减少病人排队挂号的等待时间及优化医院自身资源的合理配置,近几年我国各大医院都先后开展预约挂号服务.然而,医院在开展预约挂号时面临的问题是:预约挂号为病人带来了多少好处和便捷,预约数量和病人总挂号成本存在什么样的关系,到底开放多少预约号最为合适?本文从病人的角度对上述问题进行了定量研究.论文将病人的挂号成本分为时间成本和费用成本两类,运用了排队论建立了预约量与病人总挂号成本的模型,得出了预约挂号的个体选择依据和系统选择依据,并从总挂号成本与预约量的关系中得到使所有病人总挂号成本最小的最优预约量.然后,进一步分析了最优预约量中各个参数的敏感性,以期为医院的预约挂号管理工作提供指导.     

不同添加剂对石膏模型性能的影响

研究了分别以聚乙烯醇 (PVA )、聚乙烯醇缩甲醛 (PVF)和甲基纤维素 (MC)为添加剂对石膏模型性能的影响。结果表明三种添加剂的加入均可使石膏模型的强度增大 ,在聚乙烯醇和甲基纤维素的加入量为 0 .3%时 ,石膏模型的抗折强度最大 ;添加剂使石膏的凝结时间略有延长 ,添加剂的加入使石膏模型的吸浆厚度略有减小 ;添加剂的加入均能提高石膏模型的耐碱蚀能力。