A 2500-year sea level change record in Fildes Peninsula, Antarctica

A detailed record of sea level changes during the last 2500 years is preserved in the northernwest coast of Fildes Peninsula in Antarctica. Fourteen marine alga layers were deposited in the beach with an altitude of 2.80 m, and one diatom layer deposited in the ancient lake on the terrace with an altitude of 6.84 m. A radiocarbon age of 695±70 aBP was obtained for the modern marine alga, and the age was used in correction for the carbon reservoir effect of the marine alga. Sea level fell 4.98 m from the 4th century B.C. to the early 13th century, at an average of -0.31 cm/a, then rose about 0.78 m during the early 13th to the middle 18th century, at an average of 0.14 cm/a. It has risen about 0.16 m since the middle 18th century, at an average of 0.07 cm/a.     

一种面向测试的RTL行为抽象与蕴含方法

针对寄存器传输级（register transfer level,RTL)行为的抽象，提出了一种层次化的带条件的表示，这种抽象的行为是面向测试的，它不仅表达简单，而且能很方便地进行蕴含操作，通过抽象，电路可以规范为行为集，并代替电路本身进行功能测试向量的生成，在测试生成过程中，大量地应用蕴含操作何以使其中的行为得到简化，并极大地提高了系统的效率。     

城市可持续发展水平的指标体系及评价

从经济、环境、资源、社会发展和人口5个方面构建了评价城市可持续发展水平的指标体系.由于涉及到众多的指标,选择因子分析法通过降维处理,能使较多原始指标被综合为几个较少指标.实例证明,指标的选取、方法的选择都比较合理.     

基于HLA和GIS的作战想定整合与态势演播

HLA是近几年发展起来的一种体系结构标准，介绍了将HLA/RTI和网络GIS的集成研究成果及其用于想定整合与态势演播取得的有益实验结果。     

对高职高专院校人才培养水平评估工作中问题的分析

分析了目前我国高职高专人才培养水平评估工作中存在的问题,并提出了相应对策。     

35t/h工业链条炉计算机控制系统的设计

介绍了35t/h工业链条炉计算机控制系统,论述了各控制系统的实现,阐述了系统软件的设计。     

建设项目造价控制初探

介绍了建设项目造价控制的内容、措施,提出了加强工程审计环节的控制措施。     

迎评促建进程中的高校图书馆与系部资料室

从充实藏书、建设统一的文献资源体系、培训馆员等方面提出了高校图书馆与系部资料室在迎评促建过程中应做好的工作。     

浅谈提高企业员工素质

该文从提高员工的素质是面对新世纪的客观要求、提高员工素质与煤矿企业的、工作机制、社会环境及经济效益的关系、提高员工的素质,要加强对职工的培训、加强对人才工作的管理,防止人才流失四个方面阐述了如何提高企业员工素质,具有一定借鉴意义。     

Forecasting volatility by means of threshold models

The aim of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of competing threshold models, in order to capture the asymmetric effect in the volatility. We focus on examining the relative out‐of‐sample forecasting ability of the SETAR‐Threshold GARCH (SETAR‐TGARCH) and the SETAR‐Threshold Stochastic Volatility (SETAR‐THSV) models compared to the GARCH model and Stochastic Volatility (SV) model. However, the main problem in evaluating the predictive ability of volatility models is that the ‘true’ underlying volatility process is not observable and thus a proxy must be defined for the unobservable volatility. For the class of nonlinear state space models (SETAR‐THSV and SV), a modified version of the SIR algorithm has been used to estimate the unknown parameters. The forecasting performance of competing models has been compared for two return time series: IBEX 35 and S&P 500. We explore whether the increase in the complexity of the model implies that its forecasting ability improves. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.