高师数学学科教育课程改革之调查研究

高师数学教育改革应转变教育观念、突出师范性;加强高师数学教学与中学数学的结合;改革高师数学教育专业培养模式、更新课程内容、建立全新的课程体系;以学生发展为本,把高师课程数学知识由"学术形态"转变为"教育形态",提高数学教育专业学生的数学素养和数学教育能力.     

鹭大毕业生就业意识的调查研究

本文通过对鹭江大学 2 0 0 0届毕业生的抽样调查 ,探讨职大毕业生在就业意识方面表现出的突出特征 ,并在此基础上提出了若干建议     

The role of forward‐ and backward‐looking information for inflation expectations formation

Assuming that private forecasters learn inflation dynamics to form their inflation expectations and that they believe a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) to capture the true data‐generating process of inflation, we aim at establishing the role of backward‐ and forward‐looking information in the inflation expectation formation process. We find that longer term expectations are crucial in shaping shorter horizon expectations. While the influence of backward‐looking information seems to diminish over time, we do not find evidence of a structural break in the expectation formation process of professional forecasters. Our results further suggest that the weight put on longer term expectations does not solely reflect a mean‐reverting process to trend inflation. Rather, it might also capture beliefs about the central bank's long‐run inflation target and its credibility to achieve inflation stabilization.     

Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts

By linking measures of forecast accuracy as well as testing procedures with regard to forecast rationality this paper investigates aggregated survey forecasts with forecast horizons of 3, 12, and 24 months for the exchange rates of the Chinese yuan, the Hong Kong dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Singapore dollar vis-à-vis the US dollar and, hence, for four different currency regimes. The rationality of the exchange rate predictions is initially assessed utilizing tests for unbiasedness and efficiency which indicate that the investigated forecasts are irrational in the sense that the predictions are biased. As one major contribution of this paper, it is subsequently shown that these results are not consistent with an alternative, less restrictive, measure of rationality. Investigating the order of integration of the time series as well as cointegrating relationships, this empirical evidence supports the conclusion that the majority of forecasts are in fact rational. Regarding forerunning properties of the predictions, the results are rather mediocre, with shorter term forecasts for the tightly managed USD/CNY FX regime being one exception. As one additional important and novel evaluation result, it can be concluded, that the currency regime matters for the quality of exchange rate forecasts.     

What can we learn from the fifties?

Economists have increasingly elicited probabilistic expectations from survey respondents. Subjective probabilistic expectations show great promise to improve the estimation of structural models of decision making under uncertainty. However, a robust finding in these surveys is an inappropriate heap of responses at “50%,” suggesting that some of these responses are uninformative. The way these 50s are treated in the subsequent analysis is of major importance. Taking the 50s at face value will bias any aggregate statistics. Conversely, deleting them is not appropriate if some of these answers do convey some information. Furthermore, the attention of researchers is so focused on this heap of 50s that they do not consider the possibility that other answers may be uninformative as well. This paper proposes to take a fresh look at these questions using a new method based on weak assumptions to identify the informativeness of an answer. Applying the method to probabilistic expectations of equity returns in three waves of the Survey of Economic Expectations in 1999–2001, I find that: (i) at least 65% of the 50s convey no information at all; (ii) it is the answer most often provided among the answers identified as uninformative; (iii) but even if the 50s are a major contributor to noise, they represent at best 70% of the identified uninformative answers. These findings have various implications for survey design.     

我国广告专业教育的调查分析

通过对全国5所设有广告专业的高等院校进行问卷调查,并对调查结果进行加权分析,初步得出困扰广告专业教育的问题是教学中课程设置不合理、教学过程与实际脱节、教材陈旧以及教学设备落后等,并针对这些问题提出解决办法.     

大学生学习计算机个性特征心理测试软件的研制与开发

利用Visual Foxpro与描述性统计软件SPSS的兼容性,研制开发了大学生学习计算机的个性特征的心理测试软件,学生可以直接在计算机上回答问卷,回答的结果(答案数据库)可以直接与SPSS接口.     

Accuracy in forecasting: A survey

In this study, the author provides a brief and concise summary of empirical investigations pertaining to forecasting with special reference to the accuracy of different forecasting techniques. The study mainly focuses on comparisons of the accuracy of these techniques. The comparisons cover both quantitative and qualitative methods. In addition the summary includes studies seeking to test or improve accuracy by combining forecasting techniques.     

青海三江源地区全民健身服务体系现状调查

本文采用问卷调查法、实地考察法、文献资料法,对青海三江源地区的全民健身服务体系进行了全面的调查研究.结果表明：全民健身工程建设部分缓解了群众对健身场地设施的需求,促进了全民健身的发展;全民健身经费的投入主要由单一的政府投入,经费主要用于全民健身工程建设;全民健身各级组织体系初见端倪;社会体育指导员数量整体不足,指导率不高,基层培训空缺,培训的辐射面狭窄,指导员数量无法满足开展全民健身体育活动的需求;基本形成了阶段性的国民体质监测,但体质检测的覆盖面和深度极为有限,不能充分反映该地区农牧民群众的体质概况.     

自驾车旅游调查方法初探

在对自驾车旅游现象的特征进行全面分析研究的基础上,提出了自驾车旅游统计调查的对象、范围和调查方法,制定了自驾车旅游调查的实施方案;根据统计实践,提出了具有可操作性的调查步骤和推算方法。