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理论和实验都是仿真的基础,仿真不是基于模型的实验,而是实验的延伸。上升到方法论高度看,理论通过演绎(法)、实验通过归纳(法),而仿真则通过类比(法)获得新知识。因此,仿真已成为继理论和实验以后人们认识世界的第三种基本活动。 相似文献
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在载人航天器、潜艇、飞机等密闭微环境中,如果发现有污染源存在,确定污染源的位置及其散发特性具有重要意义。笔者提出一种新型的浓度离散随机模型,在采用敏感性分析方法实现污染源定位后,利用隐式与显式卡尔曼滤波相结合的方法实现污染源散发特性的动态辨识与预测,同时完成空气污染物浓度预测。笔者采用蒙特卡罗仿真实验方法对一密闭空间进行了动态仿真研究,仿真结果表明提出的方法可以实现污染源散发特性的快速准确辨识,具有重要的应用价值。Abstract: In case of contaminants appear in enclosed spaces such as spacecraft,submarine,aircraft and so on,it is useful to find the contaminant source. A novel algorithm was proposed to identify contaminant source strength based on finite sensors. After having identified the source location by using the Sensitivity Analysis Algorithm (SAA),this method built a new discrete concentration stochastic model,and combined implicit and explicit Kalman filter. Monte Carlo simulation was used in our experiment. The simulation results show that the new method could track and predict the source strength dynamically; meanwhile,it also could predict the distribution of contaminant concentration. 相似文献
854.
2009年7月22日日全食的日冕结构 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
日冕是太阳的外层大气,其高温等离子体外流而形成太阳风,又发射很强的紫外和X射线辐射,日冕活动严重地影响日地空间环境.日冕结构与太阳活动有密切联系.2009年7月22日发生21世纪最壮观的日全食,是观测研究日冕的良机,但由于全食带地区大多阴雨而受挫,幸好在个别天气好的地方可拍摄到高质量的日冕数码像.本文选取其中部分像,进行数字图像处理,结合SOHO卫星LASCOC2所观测的当天的外冕图像进行分析,揭示日冕的一些结构,得到日冕两极和赤道的亮度径向平滑分布.2009年是第24个太阳活动周期的开始年,虽然太阳活动水平仍较低,但比去年的极小期活跃得多,日冕结构有较明显的变化,不仅显示赤道区比两极区延展,即使东西赤道区和南北极区也有较大差别.赤道东侧的冕流,尤其赤道北的大冕流很显著,南极区比北极区的冕羽由更多的极射线组成.日冕赤道区和极区的亮度径向分布接近于去年的太阳活动极小,但赤道东西方向的亮度分布差别较去年小,南极与北极方向的差别也较小.这些日冕特征也显示在日冕等亮度图上. 相似文献
855.
近年来,区域活动的有效整合是幼儿园致力研究的课题。在研究中,尝试打破活动区与各学科存在的界限,建立各区域间的相互联系,将整合的教育观融入区域活动,使每个幼儿在整合性区域活动中获得全面的发展。 相似文献
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XiShuang Li YueXia Zhao BaoHua Liu ChenGuang Liu YanLiang Pei GuoZhong Han QingFeng Hua 《科学通报(英文版)》2010,55(18):1908-1916
The Tan-Lu Fault zone (TLFZ) is a significant fractural zone in eastern China and also a seismicity belt in North China. Based on total 4000-km-long shallow penetrated single seismic data with high-resolution, structural deformation and fault activity of the TLFZ in the Bohai Sea since the late Pleistocene are discussed in detail. The results show that the TLFZ with a discontinuous distribution and a general NNE-trending consists of 14 active subfaults with an NNE or NE strike in the Bohai Sea. Seismic data reveal that de-formation zones along the subfaults in the central Bohai Sea and the Laizhou Bay are wider and more complex than those in the Liaodong Gulf. Related folds and lots of secondary normal faults which are characterized by nearly vertical fault planes and a same or reverse dip construct the fractural zone in the Laizhou Bay and the central Bohai Sea. Usually, micro symmetrical grabens develop on the top of anticlines. In the Liaodong Gulf, subfault fractural zones usually consist of secondary normal faults with the same inclination or opposite inclination. Ages of seismic sequences and cutting relation between subfaults and seismic sequences suggest that the latest faulting age of the TLFZ is the end of the late Pleistocene in the Liaodong Gulf and the early Holocene in the Laizhou Bay and the central Bohai Sea. There is a good match between distribution of earthquakes and that of the subfaults in the Laizhou Bay and the central Bohai. Statistical result shows that total vertical offset of the TLFZ since the late Pleistocene ranges from 6 to 11 m. On the basis of offsets of the subfaults, the vertical slip rate is calculated and results show that average vertical slip rates in the central Bohai Sea are larger than those in the Liaodong Gulf and the Laizhou Bay. Slip rates more than 0.06 mm/a during 23–10 ka B.P. and 85–65 ka B.P. are larger than those in other stages. The TLFZ was mainly dominated by tensional normal component since the late Pleistocene. Synthesizing shallow deformation, activity and distribution of earthquakes, the TLFZ in the Bohai Sea can be divided into three segments: the Laizhou-Bay segment, the Bozhong segment, and the Liaodong-Gulf segment. 相似文献
859.
Phoshpine (PH3), a volatile and toxic gas, has been proved to commonly exist in the environment. The determination of gaseous phosphine and its emission fluxes in Ny-Ålesund is reported in this paper. Results showed that gaseous phosphine exist in Arctic atmosphere commonly and the concentration of phosphine ranged from 16.3–600.2 ng/m3, with the maximum concentration of phosphine in tundra areas and the minimum in surface air of ocean. The concentration of phosphine ranged from 65.79–1259 ng/m3 in colliery atmosphere at different altitudes and the maximum was found in the center of colliery. Emission fluxes of phosphine were different in various Arctic areas. Emission fluxes of phosphine from protected areas, with average concentration of 32.13±5.353 ng m–2 h–1, were higher than from other areas. And the flux of phosphine from ocean was lower. 相似文献
860.
Global surface temperature shows an increasing trend over the past 100 years.Anthropogenic and natural factors have been invoked to explain this warming, but their relative contribution and the spatial variability remain controversial.Based on a 2650-year temperature record from a stalagmite near Beijing, we explore the possible impacts of human activity on the warm season temperature in Beijing since the industrial era using the method of singular spectrum analysis (SSA).The results suggest that the warm s... 相似文献