R ＆ D STRATEGIC INVESTMENT IN AN ASYMMETRICAL CASE

This article analyzes R ＆ D investment decisions in an asymmetrical case. The investment decisions share three important characteristics. First, the investment is completely irreversible. Second, there are two kinds of uncertainties over the future returns from the investment and over technology in R ＆ D process, respectively. Third, there is strategic competition in the asymmetrical case. This article presents the optimal investment threshold values and the optimal investment rule of high-efficient firm （leader）, and shows that the investment threshold values are reduced by competition of two firms. Finally, the mixed investment strategies for two firms, the probability that each firm separately exercises the option to invest, and the probability that two firms simultaneously exercise the option are given in the paper.     

模糊物元精细评价方法在油水井酸化选井选层中的应用

油水井酸化是油气藏常用的增产增注措施之一．酸化措施足否有效取决于多方面的因素，而选井选层是其中一个重要环节．本文采用模糊物元分析疗法，用油水井代表事物，评价因素代表特征，建立了复合模糊物元矩阵，对油田整个区块需要酸化作业的井位和对应层位进行了综合决策，排列出需要进行酸化的井位和层位的先后顺序，为进一步施工奠定了理论基础．该方法排除了人为因素的影响，达到了科学决策的目的．文中选用某油田六口井的实际资料进行了计算，其结果与实际情况一致．     

网络环境下县（市）级公共图书馆的参考咨询服务

以常熟市图书馆为例，探讨了网络环境下县(市)级公共图书馆如何重新调整自身的服务策略、服务形式和服务手段，以及如何更好地开展参考咨询服务的问题。     

科技编辑平衡范畴

从编辑学角度分析了平衡范畴的含义、类型和特性．认为质平衡是具有科技编辑特色的平衡范畴类型．平衡范畴具有方法论意义的特性在于：平衡态较易把握；非平衡态引导深化；平衡与非平衡始终是对立统一的．科技编辑应树立平衡意识，充分发挥平衡范畴及其方法的理论意义及实践价值．     

基于WEB方式的电子政务初探

本提出了基于WEB方式的电子政务设计、开发、运营方法和技术平台的总体框架。描述了电子政务数据开发模型的雄度，电子政务系统工程的实施原则、实施步骤及应用系统集成的一整套的实践模型。     

企业信用缺失形态的经济法学分析

信用缺失尤其是企业信用缺失严重危害了我国社会主义市场经济体制的完善和经济的发展.文章从经济法学视角来界定信用与企业信用缺失的涵义,并运用经济法律关系理论,将企业信用缺失划分为主体型企业信用缺失、客体型企业信用缺失和内容型企业信用缺失三大形态,并对各形态展开了具体分析.     

谈家庭害虫的危害及防治

家庭是人们生活居住的重要场所，伴人而居的害虫影响到人们的生活质量。因此，采用环境卫生防治、保管技术防治、化学防治、物理与机械防治、人工捕杀害虫等措施，能够有效地改善家庭生活环境。     

任职经济责任审计系统设计与实现

该系统严格遵照国家干部经济责任审计的有关准则与规定，能够对企事业单位、行政单位等不同部门各个层次的领导干部，从内控制度、管理、经营、财务等多方面、多角度、全方位地进行跟踪审计，客观公正、实事求是地对有关报表数据进行科学分析，恰如其分地认定干部实绩和经济责任。     

乙酰胆碱对人胃粘膜上皮细胞和胃腺癌细胞内Ca2+、Mg2+浓度的影响

目的:探讨乙酰胆碱对人胃粘膜上皮细胞和胃腺癌细胞内Ca2 、Mg2 浓度的影响。方法:利用大型生化分析仪,检测了乙酰胆碱作用后培养的人胃粘膜上皮细胞和胃腺癌细胞内Ca2 、Mg2 的浓度。结果:与正常胃粘膜上皮细胞比较,胃腺癌细胞内Ca2 、Mg2 浓度偏低(P>0 01)。在乙酰胆碱作用下,胃粘膜上皮细胞内Ca2 浓度升高(P<0 01),Mg2 浓度降低(P<0 01);胃腺癌细胞仅有Ca2 浓度升高(P<0 05),Mg2 浓度无变化。阿托品能阻断乙酰胆碱的作用(P<0 05)。结论:乙酰胆碱对胃粘膜上皮细胞和胃腺癌细胞的作用是通过毒蕈碱受体实现的。     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.