张家川县牧业生产经济动态的前景预测

从张家川四十六年的畜牧业生产经济数据中,定性地提出了牧业生产的四个阶段,即低速波动段、干扰徘徊段、高速发展段、协调稳定段。并对这几个阶段建立了一系列的动态分析数学模型,借此模型定量地分析和预测了该县牧业生产的状况及前景,并提出了合理的资源利用强度,为今后张家川县牧业生产提供了科学的决策依据。     

高T_c超导的RVB态机制及通道模型

本文介绍超导电性的Anderson RVB态机制和通道模型机制,并利用通道模型机制计算了YBa_2Cu_3O_(7-δ)超导体的临界转变温度T。     

财产保险公司负债风险资本金的确定

讨论如何借助回归模型预测法与VaR方法解决预期损失和非预期损失负债风险资本金的确定问题，且依据中国某财产保险公司某一长尾业务的数据对该方法的可行性进行实证分析。     

Reflection-in-Action: Modeling a specific organization through the Viable Systems Model

The purpose of this project is to explore a way for systems practitioners to learn the skills necessary to employ a particular systems model in practice. Reflection-in-Action is one way to embark on a double-loop learning cycle and, thus, develop the tacit skills and inarticulate knowledge needed to employ a particular systems model. Through Reflection-in-Action, a Viable Systems Model (VSM) of the San Francisco Zoo was constructed. This project involved three phases of research; for each, a VSM using the data available was constructed. During each phase, the questioning of current assumptions and operating norms led to changes in the direction of the research. This led to the construction of significantly different VSMs for each phase.     

Modelling non-normal first-order autoregressive time series

We shall first review some non-normal stationary first-order autoregressive models. The models are constructed with a given marginal distribution (logistic, hyperbolic secant, exponential, Laplace, or gamma) and the requirement that the bivariate joint distribution of the generated process must be sufficiently simple so that the parameter estimation and forecasting problems of the models can be addressed. A model-building approach that consists of model identification, estimation, diagnostic checking, and forecasting is then discussed for this class of models.     

一些三种群群落模型的生态稳定性

用生物群落生态稳定性理论讨论了五个三种群Lotka-Volterra群落模型的生态稳定性,分别给出了判定定理。     

矩阵方程Am×sXs×n=Bm×n的一种简便求解方法

应用线性方程组的求解方法及相关理论,探讨了一般矩阵方程Am×sXs×n=Bm×n的简便求解方法.     

An Efficient Constrained Model Predictive Control Algorithm Based on Approximate Computation

1 .ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＭｏｓｔｓｙｓｔｅｍｓａｒｅｓｕｂｊｅｃｔｔｏｃｏｎｓｔｒａｉｎｔｓａｎｄｔｈｅｄｅｓｉｇｎｏｆｃｏｎｔｒｏｌｌｅｒｓｆｏｒｓｕｃｈｓｙｓｔｅｍｓｉｓａｖｅｒｙａｃｔｉｖｅａｒｅａｏｆｒｅ ｓｅａｒｃｈｎｏｗａｄａｙｓ.Ｉｔｉｓｗｅｌｌ ｋｎｏｗｎｔｈａｔｍｏｄｅｌｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｖｅｃｏｎｔｒｏｌ (ＭＰＣ) ,ａｌｓｏｃａｌｌｅｄｒｅｃｅｄｉｎｇｈｏｒｉｚｏｎｃｏｎｔｒｏｌ(ＲＨＣ) ,ｈａｓｂｅｅｎｗｉｄｅｌｙａｎｄｓｕｃｃｅｓｓｆｕｌｌｙａｐｐｌｉｅｄｉｎｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｉ…     

压杆稳定中超越方程的计算机解

本文对一端固定,中间支承的细长压杆进行分析,推导出了超越方程。使长度系数μ,采用机算,极易确定。从而可以方便地计算该细长压杆的临界载荷。     

计量抽样检查中“μ”法的设计

在计量抽样检查的国际标准ISO3951和国家标准(送审稿)中,都没有给出总体质量特征X～N(μ,σ~2),均值μ已知,标准差σ未知情形的抽样检查方案。本文提出了这种抽样方案的设计方法。称之为μ-法抽样检查。首先,在给定了两类错误的概率α,β时,求出了具有单侧上规格限情形的接收准则,OC函数,标准方程。然后利用迭代法求出样本数n,再得到抽样检查方案(n,h~2)。同时,还对具有单侧下规格限、分立双侧规格限情形,讨论了抽样方案的制订以及它们的图解法。最后,讨论了综合双侧规格限情形的接收准则及图解法。