The Single-Vendor-Single-Buyer Integrated Production-Shipment Model with Stock Dependent Demand Rate

In the integrated production-shipment models for the single-vendor-single-buyer system presented hitherto, the demand rate of items is treated as a constant. However, many researchers have observed that the presence of more quantities of the same product tends to attract more customers. This suggests that the demand rate should depend on the stock level. This paper presents a single-vendor-single-buyer production-shipment model with the stock dependent demand rate, based on the demand rate linearly depending upon the stock level at any instant of time.     

股市预测的马尔柯夫过程模型

给出了用马尔林夫过程预测股市短期或中长期走势的一种方法，对其它技术分析方法作了有益的补充。     

高炉探尺全数字直流调速系统

介绍了全数字直流调速装置SIMOREGK6RA24在高炉探尺系统中的运用，该系统具有控制精度高，组态方便，调试简单，故障率低等优点。     

基于实例的上证50ETF期权Fibonacci数列的计算术语学研究

上证50ETF期权的推出丰富了市场交易的对冲机制,拓展了金融衍生品术语研究的领域。本文对期权交易术语的实值期权、平值期权、虚值期权和Fibonacci期权数列进行了基于交易数据的计算研究。通过对七年来期权交易数据的实时跟踪,我们建立了期权交易数据库,并采用计算术语学方法对期权交易进行了计算研究。我们发现:(1)Fibonacci期权数列是非常重要的期权交易术语,其黄金分割点适用于期权交易的波动测算;(2)上证50ETF期权合约涉及到期权交易术语的标准化问题,其交易并不是孤立的市场行为,同时受到新加坡A50指数等相关指数波动的影响;(3)上证50ETF期权交易体系是开放的:新加坡A50指数对我国上证50指数有交易的前瞻效应;上证50指数作为上证50ETF跟踪标的决定上证50ETF走向;上证50ETF作为期权标准合约跟踪标的影响到具体的合约交易;(4)上证50ETF期权交易的核心术语是杠杆波动率;Delta的计算赋值代表了高杠杆特性,其值域扩大将导致Fibonacci期权数列的黄金分割点出现偏差。最后得出结论:上证50ETF期权交易的研究是数据驱动的研究;基于统计的计算语言学方法可对期权术语进行赋值,并有效辅助期权交易;期权的计算术语学研究将促进数据驱动的术语学发展。     

The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local,regional, and global business cycles

This paper explores the role of business cycle proxies, measured by the output gap at the global, regional, and local levels, as potential predictors of stock market volatility in the emerging BRICS nations. We observe that the emerging BRICS nations display a rather heterogeneous pattern when it comes to the relative role of idiosyncratic factors as a predictor of stock market volatility. While domestic output gap is found to capture significant predictive information for India and China particularly, the business cycles associated with emerging economies and the world in general are strongly important for the BRIC countries and weakly for South Africa, especially in the postglobal financial crisis era. The findings suggest that despite the increase in the financial integration of world capital markets, emerging economies can still bear significant exposures to idiosyncratic risk factors, an issue of high importance for the profitability of global diversification strategies.     

随机需求直通配送一次转载时间的选择

对于随机需求的直通配送系统，在运行过程中按一定规则对各分中心的当时库存进行重新分配(转载)，可以减少非均衡性缺货，提高系统的服务水平。本文分析了在配送周期内只进行一次预防性转载更加合理，并给出了确定转载时间的方法。     

机构投资者行为模式及对市场定价效率的影响

从机构投资者行为模式与资本市场定价效率关系的角度出发,对我国机构投资者行为模式进行归纳总结,并利用证券投资基金的持股数据实证研究了基金持股行为及持股变动对资本市场定价效率的影响,研究发现我国证券投资基金的持股及持股变动行为在总体上有利于提高资本市场的定价效率.     

Ratio K: a New Way of Metering and Evaluating the Risk and Return of Stock Investment

Although widely used, both the Markowitz model and VAR (Value at Risk) model have some limitations in evaluating the risk and return of stock investment. By the analysis of the conceptions of risk and return, together with the three hypotheses of technological analysis, a novelty model of metering and evaluating the risk and return of stock investment is established. The major indicator of this model , risk-return ratio K, combines the characteristic indicators of risk and return. Regardless of the form of the risk-return probability density functions, this indicator K can always reflect the risk-return performances of the invested stocks clearly and accurately. How to use the model to make optimum investment and how to make portfolio combined with clustering analysis is also explained.     

基于极值理论证券市场风险的相关性研究

金融资产间的相依性度量是人们进行风险管理时所面临的一项难题．在过去的几十年里,相依性研究一直是金融和保险领域的研究热点和难点,线性相关性的许多假设和统计缺陷,使多个金融资产间相依性度量遇到了难题．本文基于极值理论以中国上海和深圳股票市场为例,运用Logistic模型,采用秩相关度量相关系数,得出在深市出现最大损失时,沪市也出现最大损失的概率为72％．     

沙能杂种山羊的生长发育研究

本研究对英国沙能山羊的杂种,进行了长达十数年的系列研究,不仅测定了一、二、三代杂种羊从初生到成年8个主要阶段的生长发育特点,而且将处于同等饲养条件下的父、母系品种作为对照,进行了同样测定,从而揭示了各代杂种羊的生长发育规律和体重体尺等性状的遗传特点。