Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于代理的校园网计费管理系统

根据目前Cernet校园网典型结构,设计了一种适应性广、通用性强的校园网计费管理系统,探讨了使用代理服务器进行计费的主要功能和工作流程.     

A SYNTHESIS METHOD FOR TWO-ORDER UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: AUTO-STABLE REGIONAPPROACH

1.IntroductionInrecentyears,thesynthesisproblemforuncertainsystemshasbeendeeplystudied.ManymethodssuchasLyapunov,thevariablestructurecontrol,theadaptivecontrolandtherobustcontrolmethodshavebeenproposed[IMS].Sincetheadaptivecontrolandtherobustcontrolmethod…     

关于细集料砂当量指标的探讨

通过加土的方法得到不同泥土含量的集料，进行砂当量试验，并用不同砂当量值的集料制成成心性稀浆封层混合料进行湿轮磨耗试验，试验结果表明，砂当量与集料中的泥土含量存在良好的线性关系，是评价细集料洁净程度的有效方法，试验中集料级配和取样均匀程度会对试验结果产生一定影响，砂当量低的集料会使改性剂无法发 对心性稀浆封层混合料的改性效果，建议用于心性稀浆封层的的细集料砂当量不低于60％。     

用微弹轰击法将GUS基因导入香蕉茎尖组织细胞

用在弹轰击法将外源ＤＮＡ导入香蕉（Ｍｕｓａ，ｓｐｐ）茎尖细胞，以ＧＵＳ基因作为报告基因，用Ｘ－Ｇｌｕｃ浴液对ＧＵＳ基因表达产物进行组织化学鉴定。样品材料细胞中发现有明显的蓝色斑点，而对照则没有。实验说明用微弹轰击法可以将外源基因导入香蕉茎尖组织并在其中成功表达，这为香蕉的外源基因导入工作提供了新的有效途径．     

中医药治疗消化性溃疡的临床研究进展

综述近年来国内医学杂志关于中医治疗消化性溃疡的研究报导，勾勒了国内在这一领域医学临床的发展概貌及趋向。     

(E)-3-(3,4-二甲氧基苯基)-2-氰基丙烯酸乙酯的合成和晶体结构

标题化合物C14 H15O4N(3)是由 3,4 二甲氧基苯甲醛 (1) 与氰乙酸乙酯 (2 ) 在KF/蒙脱土催化下以N ,N 二甲基甲酰胺 (DMF)作溶剂反应而得 .结构通过单晶X射线衍射分析确定 ,其晶体属于单斜晶系 ,空间群P2 1/n ,a =1.310 1(3) ,b =0 .80 32 (2 ) ,c =1.385 4 (2 )nm ,β =114 .2 1(1)° ,Mr=2 6 1.2 7,V =1.32 96 (5 )nm3 ,Dc=1.30 5 g/cm3 ,Z =4 ,μ(MoKα) =0 .0 96mm-1,F(0 0 0 ) =5 5 2 .晶体结构用直接法解出 ,使用全矩阵最小二乘法对原子参数进行修正 ,最后的偏离因子R =0 .0 398,RW =0 .0 816 .单晶X衍射分析表明标题化合物为 (E)式异构体产物 ,说明该反应具有立体选择性 .     

UPS网络控制和电压波形显示的研究

对目前在UPS方面研究的焦点问题作了阐述 ,并重点介绍了UPS网络控制系统的实现方法、系统功能和技术特点     

基于特征造型的注塑件CAD/CAE研究

以某电器零件的特征造型与注塑分析模拟为例，介绍了Pro/Engineer的特点以及在注塑件产品开发中的应用。