《工厂供电》教学改革的实践与探索

总结了几年来在自动化专业《工厂供电》课程的教学、实习、设计等教学环节中进行的教学改革实践体会,指出理论教学与工程实践相结合是提高教学质量、培养高级实用型人才的有效途径。为此在教学中,要合理安排《工厂供电》的各个教学环节,课堂教学要注重理论联系实际,要强化课程设计的工程化训练,要结合工程实际搞好毕业设计。     

C波段低剖面双圆极化微带阵列天线小型化设计

设计了一种工作在C波段的5×5小型化低剖面双圆极化微带阵列天线.与传统的阵列相比,通过相邻2×2子阵列的贴片交错,可以缩小单元间距,实现小型化;采用两个T型功分器馈电网络,同层分布,可以拓展带宽.测试结果表明,左右旋圆极化的阻抗带宽（VSWR<2）和轴比带宽（AR<3dB）分别达到20%和16%,在频段5.3-6.36 GHz内,左右旋增益最大值为15.2dBi.天线阵列尺寸为3.05λ0×2.74λ0×0.037λ0.     

基于CMIP6集合优化数据集的全球陆地极端气候变化预估

预估极端气候事件趋势能够降低其引起的灾害风险.该文基于CMIP6集合优化数据集EPTGODD-WHU,选取5个极端气候指数,即最高气温极大值(TXx)、最高气温极小值(TXn)、最低气温极大值(TNx)、最低气温极小值(TNn)和最大月降水量(PXx),并结合GIS分析手段,对2021—2100年SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下的全球陆地极端气温及降水进行预估.结果表明：1)相较于CMIP单一模式,EPTGODD-WHU数据集模拟性能显著提升,气温及降水的空间相关系数分别达到0.99和0.81.2) SSP5-8.5情景下,年最低气温和最高气温均上升明显,且这种上升趋势年内波动不大,地球陆地极寒地区将面临升温的风险,而赤道等极热地区将处于年内长时间酷热状态.3)六大洲在SSP5-8.5情景下的极端降水整体上升趋势最剧烈,但北美洲密西西比平原和滨海平原的地区在SSP5-8.5情景下在未来面临较高的旱灾风险.4)中国西南部地区的极端降水在三个情景下均呈稳定的增幅,且增幅高达60%,预示面临较高的洪灾风险.     

真空开关介质强度恢复的研究

电力系统的瞬态恢复电压对真空开关的介质强度恢复影响极大,根据是否考虑这一影响可把真空开关的介质恢复过程分为实际恢复过程和固有恢复过程。本文在相同的实验模型和电路参数下对这两种恢复过程作了比较性的实验研究。提出了“鞘层”与“金属蒸气”相结合的理论模型,并对相关的问题进行了讨论。     

Innovators and contrapreneurs: Crucial alliances that connect and separate organizational change processes

This paper focuses on the coupling among alliances, relationships, management, and activities, when major strategic changes are carried out in an old organization. The paper also points out hownew alliances andchanged relationships seem to be developing in a Norwegian company. As a conclusion, we point out six elements which, according to our research, have to be present to minimize the implementation of reversible processes in organizations where organizational change processes have been implemented so that continued change can go on in the company.     

基于时空图注意力的短期电力负荷预测方法

准确的电力负荷预测对现代电力系统的安全经济运行至关重要.电力负荷预测可以表述为一个具有一定潜在空间依赖性的多变量时序预测问题.然而,大多数现有的电力负荷预测工作未能探索这种空间依赖关系.基于此,本文提出了一种基于时空图注意网络的短期电力负荷预测方法.提出一种基于时空图注意网络模块,该模块使用图注意层实现自适应的捕捉各用户间的潜在空间依赖性,同时使用门控卷积注意力层对各用户用电量在时间维度上进行自适应拟合,以提高网络的预测精度.实际数据实验表明,本文提出的模型整体预测精度提高明显,特别是在一定程度上缓解了长程预测精度恶化的问题,验证了所提方法的有效性与可行性.     

A continuous 200-ka palaeoclimatic record from stalagmite in Tangshan Cave, Nanjing

An oxygen isotope temperature record from 381 to 166 kaB. P. (²³⁰Th/²³⁴U dating and tuned ages) has been obtained by combining data on the isotopic composition of calcites with that of fluid inclusions trapped in a stalagmite from a limestone cave in which a fossil cranium deposited. Several laminae in microsequence of the stalagmite represent climatic events or shifts. The Nanjing man fossil was older than 381 kaB. P.     

彩色电视机遥控电源电路分析

本文从彩色电视机中遥控电路电源与整机主电源之间的关系出发,介绍了遥控电路电源的主要类型,并进行了可靠性分析。     

秦安大地湾高分辨率全新世植被演变与气候变迁初步研究

主要根据孢粉分析结果,并结合磁化率,碳酸钙恢复了陇西黄土高原地区全新世期间植被气候的变化过程。结果表明全新世气候存在３个大的阶段,全新世早期气候以寒冷为主要特点,中全新世气候温暖湿润,晚全新世气候以干旱为主要特征。     

Predicting returns and volatility with macroeconomic variables: evidence from tests of encompassing

Tests of forecast encompassing are used to evaluate one‐step‐ahead forecasts of S&P Composite index returns and volatility. It is found that forecasts over the 1990s made from models that include macroeconomic variables tend to be encompassed by those made from a benchmark model which does not include macroeconomic variables. However, macroeconomic variables are found to add significant information to forecasts of returns and volatility over the 1970s. Often in empirical research on forecasting stock index returns and volatility, in‐sample information criteria are used to rank potential forecasting models. Here, none of the forecasting models for the 1970s that include macroeconomic variables are, on the basis of information criteria, preferred to the relevant benchmark specification. Thus, had investors used information criteria to choose between the models used for forecasting over the 1970s considered in this paper, the predictability that tests of encompassing reveal would not have been exploited. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.