用车贝雪夫多项式作降水场预报

利用不规则格点上的车贝雪夫多项式及逐步回归的计算方法,用云南省降水距平资料建立印度洋海温场与云南省雨季降水场的预报方程,并做了１９９６ 年及１９９７ 年雨季降水预报检验,效果较理想．     

华北二叠纪苏铁植物研究

简述华北二叠纪苏铁植物的整体特征、生态和演化特色。它们是东亚的珍奇化石植物。     

青藏高原对北大西洋深水形成影响机制的季节差异

利用耦合地球系统模式(CESM1.0),通过对比有青藏高原的控制试验和无青藏高原的敏感性试验,定性地分析青藏高原对不同季节北大西洋深水(NADW)形成的影响机制.研究结果表明,青藏高原对NADW形成的影响机制因季节而异.移除青藏高原后,NADW形成将会减弱,冷季(北半球10月—次年3月)NADW形成的显著减弱是由海洋表...     

南海夏季风建立期间副高带断裂和东撤及其可能机制

使用1998年南海夏季风试验（SCSMEX）资料和日本气象研究所（MRI）所提供的TBB资料，分析了南海夏季风建立期间副高带断裂和东撤过程的主要特征及其可能机制。发现北半球副热带高压带的断裂（低层早于高层）和印缅槽（或孟加拉湾槽）的形成是南海夏季风建立的重要前期征兆之一，也为副高东撤和南海夏季风的建立提供了重要条件。斯里兰卡附近低涡的持续北移是副高断裂和印缅槽建立过程的显特征。分析表明，南海夏季风建立之前，印度半岛的感热加热和中南半岛的潜热加热所激发的气旋性流场在孟加拉湾地区是相互迭加的，这有利于孟加拉湾低涡活动和低槽的形成，这可能是副高断裂和印缅槽活跃的机制。伴随着印缅前西南气流和赤道副高东撤、季风加强和对流加热之间存在一种正反馈作用，这导致了副高的连续东撤和南海夏季风的“爆发性”以及各种要素的突变特征。当南海夏季风对流减弱后，西太平洋副高则会西伸。     

华北地台南缘金成矿带铅同位素研究

华北地台南缘金矿带的矿石铅和燕山期花岗岩岩石铅与太华群岩石铅极为相似,μ,ω和Th/U比值都较低,其中矿石铅为多阶段铅。矿石铅和花岗岩岩石铅在~(207)Pb/~(204)Pb-~(206)Pb/~(204)Pb图上位于上地幔和下地壳铅演化线之间,表明它们来自具低U和Th/U比值的深部源区(太华群)。所有矿床的矿石铅均可拟合成具不同斜率的二次等时线,这证明矿石铅是在不同时代从一个统一的源区(太华群)分离并沉淀成矿的,同时受到壳源铅的混染。这充分证明了成矿的多期性和复杂性以及成因的多重性,但仍以变质成因为主。本文还讨论了铅模式年龄的意义。     

基于Equalchord语义Web服务发现模型

为了拓展服务发现的范围提高服务发现效率并使得各个服务注册中心上的负载均衡,提出了一种基于Equalchord的语义Web服务发现模型(ECSDM).在此模型中,服务发布时首先按照NACIS进行分类,并以分类码作为标识符按照Chord路由算法分布到网络节点上.针对Equalchord中的节点负载均衡问题提出了过载率的衡量指标.为了实现节点间负载均衡,提出了节点加入算法和节点自动负载均衡算法.节点加入时根据网络中的负载信息来设置自己标识符以分担负载过重节点的负载,节点通过周期性的比较与邻居的负载情况调用自我负载均衡算法按顺时针分担负载,实现节点间的负载均衡.通过仿真系统ChordSim模拟实验,证明了该模型及算法具有良好的效果.     

Record-breaking SST over mid-North Atlantic and extreme high temperature over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region of China in 2013

In July 2013, the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region of China experienced a persistent extreme high temperature,and the surface air temperature(SAT) over many areas of the region set a new record, which had a profound impact on people's lives. This study explored the possible mechanism for this extreme climate phenomenon. The results show that the sea surface temperature(SST) over the midNorth Atlantic in July 2013 was the warmest observed over the past 160 years. The strong anomaly of the SST connects to the East Asian upper level westerly and western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) via the teleconnection wave train and further contributes to the SAT variability over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region; this connection could be one possible mechanism for the formation of the recordbreaking extreme hot event(EHE) over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region in July 2013. In addition, for the EHE over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region, the role of the WPSH was generally emphasised. This study found that the variability of the upper level westerly over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region is also an important climate factor impacting the SAT of the region. In particular, the record-breaking weakness of the upper level westerly corresponded to the record-breaking SAT over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region in July 2013. These results indicate that the role of the upper level westerly should be emphasised in addition to the WPSH, according to both the variability in the summer air temperature and the EHE over the Jianghuai–Jiangnan region.     

Delamination and destruction of the North China Craton

This article presents an overview on recent developments in studies of chemical and physical processes of lithospheric delamination with respect to destruction of the North China Craton. It is emphasized that the pyroxenite source resulting from interaction between eclogite-derived melt and peridotite is a direct consequence of delamination. The pyroxenite source thus formed has unique mineralogical and geochemical features, which characterize Mesozoic basalts of the North China Craton. Melt-peridotite interaction played an important role in refertilization of cratonic lithospheric mantle, leading to density increase, weakening and final destabilization of the North China Craton. The nature of the melt is the key to distinguish mechanisms of destructing this craton.     

西太平洋海温和北极海冰异常对大气环流的影响

利用九层菱形截断１５波的全球大气环流谱模式,对赤道西太平洋海表温度,北极海冰及综合异常精形在北半球夏季大气环流中的作用进行了一系列数值试验和分析。结果表明：赤道西太平洋海表温度的异常变化与北极海冰面呼焦异均可显著影响大气环流,但海冰异常对低纬大气环流的影响远小于西太平洋的海温异常的影响。对全球大气环流异常形成机制的讨论,表二维Ｒｏｓｓｂｙ波开的传播及外强迫引起的大气内部动力学过程虽夏季大气环流异常     

Classification of vegetation in North Tibet Plateau based on MODIS time-series data

Based on the 16d-composite MODIS （moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer）-NDVI（normalized difference vegetation index） time-series data in 2004, vegetation in North Tibet Plateau was classified and seasonal variations on the pixels selected from different vegetation type were analyzed. The Savitzky-Golay filtering algorithm was applied to perform a filtration processing for MODIS-NDVI time-series data. The processed time-series curves can reflect a real variation trend of vegetation growth. The NDVI time-series curves of coniferous forest, high-cold meadow, high-cold meadow steppe and high-cold steppe all appear a mono-peak model during vegetation growth with the maximum peak occurring in August. A decision-tree classification model was established according to either NDVI time-series data or land surface temperature data. And then, both classifying and processing for vegetations were carried out through the model based on NDVI time-series curves. An accuracy test illustrates that classification results are of high accuracy and credibility and the model is conducive for studying a climate variation and estimating a vegetation production at regional even global scale.