Unit roots versus other types of time heterogeneity,parameter time dependence and superexogeneity

This paper stresses the restrictive nature of the standard unit root/cointegration assumptions and examines a more general type of time heterogeneity, which might characterize a number of economic variables, and which results in parameter time dependence and misleading statistical inference. We show that in such cases ‘operational’ models cannot be obtained, and the estimation of time‐varying parameter models becomes necessary. For instance, economic processes subject to endemic change can only be adequately modelled in a state space form. This is a very important point, because unstable models will break down when used for forecasting purposes. We also discuss a new test for the null of cointegration developed by Quintos and Phillips (1993), which is based on parameter constancy in cointegrating regressions. Finally, we point out that, if it is possible to condition on a subset of superexogenous variables, parameter instability can be handled by estimating a restricted system. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于OBDD时序电路设计的验证

依据有序二叉判定图（OBDD）和计算树逻辑（或称分支时态逻辑）CTL（Computational Tree Logic)的基本原理，分析了基于OBDD和CTL的验证数据电路设计的基本原理，并在此基础上，给出了时序电路等价验证的方法。     

函数可展成泰勒级数的一个充分条件

给出了函数可展成泰勒级数的一个新的充分条件 ,它是已有定理的补充     

Duane模型、分组数据的AMSAA模型和具丢失数据的AMSAA模型——Bayes分析方法

本文将Bayes分析方法应用于Duane可靠性增长模型、分组数据的AMSAA模型和具丢失数据的AMSAA模型,得到了参数以及系统能达到的MTBF的Bayes点估计和Bayes区间估计。     

济南市农村土地整理模式与措施探讨

针对济南市农村土地利用现状，分析总结出了济南市农村土地整理的基本模式，包括农村居民点，农田，废弃地，未利用土地整理，并提出相关的包括发挥政府的主导作用，制定各项条例法规，建立土地整理开发专项资金，加大土地整理相关法规的宣传等措施。     

MARKOV DECISION PROGRAMMING-THE FIRST PASSAGE MODEL WITH DENUMERABLE STATE SPACE

In this paper,we discuss MDP with discrete time parameter-the firstpassage model with denumerable state space.Under assumption A in this paper,we prove that an ε(>0)-optimal stationary policy exists.To find an ε-optimalstationary policy,an algorithm of policy improvement iteration and a method ofsuccessive approximations are given.     

核磁共振技术在生物和医学上的应用

本文介绍了在生物和医学领域内应用核磁共振技术的历史，应用的主要方面，以及三种常用的自旋核，并指出了与传统的技术和ＣＴ成像相比，磁共振技术具有更多的优点．     

用预测－校正方法解非线性含扩散的色谱方程

用预测－校正方法，模拟了非线性含扩散的色谱过程，并与有限分析法及Ｇａｌｅｒｋｉｎ方法作了比较。     

日式经营管理在邃变

８０年代引人注目的日式经营管理，９０年代来其许多本质性特征却发生了意味深长的变化。注视并研究这些变化意义甚大。本文重在概括日式经营管理现正经历的变化。     

Application of Mathematial-Simulated Model Setup for Eudcational Planning

ＡｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉａｌ－ＳｉｍｕｌａｔｅｄＭｏｄｅｌＳｅｔｕｐｆｏｒＥｕｄｃａｔｉｏｎａｌＰｌａｎｎｉｎｇＦＵＨｏｎｇｙｕａｎ（ＣｈｏｎｇｑｉｎｇＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＡｒｃｈｉｔｅｃｔｕｒｅａｎｄＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇ）Ａ...