华北电网最大负荷及峰谷差的灰色等维递补预测

本文根据灰色系统理论，建立了华北电网最大负荷及峰谷差的灰色等维递补预测动态模型，并计算出了直到２０００年的最大负荷及峰谷差预测值。经检验此方法具有预测精度高、计算速度快及使用方便等优点，不失为一种实用的负荷预测方法。     

与网络问题有关的一些极图

本文研究与网络题有关的一些极图,得出的主要结果有:五个关于没有三角形的极大图的定理,以及它们的三个推论。     

A mixture likelihood approach for generalized linear models

A mixture model approach is developed that simultaneously estimates the posterior membership probabilities of observations to a number of unobservable groups or latent classes, and the parameters of a generalized linear model which relates the observations, distributed according to some member of the exponential family, to a set of specified covariates within each Class. We demonstrate how this approach handles many of the existing latent class regression procedures as special cases, as well as a host of other parametric specifications in the exponential family heretofore not mentioned in the latent class literature. As such we generalize the McCullagh and Nelder approach to a latent class framework. The parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood, and an EM algorithm for estimation is provided. A Monte Carlo study of the performance of the algorithm for several distributions is provided, and the model is illustrated in two empirical applications.     

铁乳胶室簇射转换曲线半宽度与强子／γ分辨

利用中日合作西藏甘巴拉山铁乳胶室的实验数据，研究了级联转换曲线及其半宽度（ＦＷＨＭ）的性质，讨论了利用半宽度分布将起始点深度面△ｔ＜６ｃ．ｕ．的簇射事例中强子与γ区分开来的可能性，并由此提出一种联合判选标准，这种标准提高了铁乳胶室强子的判选效率．     

On emplacement ages of lamproites in Zhenyuan County, Guizhou Province, China

Emplacement ages of lamproites that comprise lamproite and olivine lamproite in Zhenyuan County, Guizhou Province, China, have been constrained by the whole-rock Sm-Nd and Rb-Sr isochron methods and the whole rock K-Ar method. Intrusive activities of lamproites in the Sinantang area of Zhenyuan County, Guizhou Province, took place during the Late Cambrian, as indicated by the Sm-Nd isochron ages ( t ) = (503 ± 17) (2σ) Ma and by the Rb-Sr isochron ages ( t ) = (501.2 ± 4.6) (2σ) Ma. Intrusive activities of olivine lamproites at the Maping with Ⅱ-type diamond and Xitou in Zhenyuan County, Guizhou Province, took place from the Late Cambrian to the Early Ordovician, as evidenced by the Sm-Nd isochron ages ( t ) = (502 ± 27) (2σ) Ma and by the Rb-Sr isochron age ( t ) = (502 ± 27) (2σ) Ma. This suggests that the upwelling hot materials derived from the deep mantle were emplaced from the Late Cambrian to the Early Ordovician (503-497 Ma), while the time terminal of cooling of the geothermal event of magmatism-tectonism probably was at 442.64-435.54 Ma, as dated by the whole rock K-Ar method.     

The terrestrial NPP simulations in China since Last Glacial Maximum

Based on Atmosphere-Vegetation Interaction Model （AVIM）, the magnitude and spatial distribution of terrestrial net primary productivity （NPP） in China is simulated during three different geological eras, Last Glacial Maximum （LGM）, Mid-Holocene （MH） and the present. The simulation shows that the glacial-interglacial variation of East Asian summer monsoon in China is the key factor affectfng the NPP change. During the three eras, mean NPPs are 208 g/m^2·a, 409 g/m^2·a, and 355 g/m^2·a. The total NPPs are 2.05 Pg/a, 3.89 Pg/a and 3.33 Pg/a, respectively. The terrestrial NPP in China during warm-humid climate is larger than that during cold-arid eras, and the correlation analysis between NPP and climate factors suggests that temperature is the primary factor affecting the terrestrial NPP during 21 kaBP （LGM）, and for 6 kaBP （MH） and the present the primary factor is precipitation.     

求函数值域及最值

求函数值域是高考数学中的重要题型之一，对求函数值域常用方法如直接法、反函数法、判别式法、函数的单调性法、换元法、均值不等式法、构造法、导数法等进行了系统的研究。     

"更相减损术"不是求最大公因数的算法

人民教育出版社出版的普通高中课程标准实验教科书《数学③》(必修)指出《九章算术》中的“更相减损术”是求两个数的最大公约数的算法,其实“更相减损术”是将一个分数化简为既约分数的算法。     

信息时代档案管理现代化刍议

信息时代要求加快档案管理现代化建设步伐。为此，必须树立现代化管理意识，建立档案现代化技术标准，强化数据库基础建设，实现档案信息资源共享，培养现代化的档案管理人才。     

年龄差异影响外语学习的研究述评

综观各种关于年龄差异影响外语学习的研究,可以概括出不同年龄在外语学习速度、口音纯正度和语言能力方面存在的差异性,而通过分析产生这些差异的生理原因、社会原因和认知原因,可以得出以下结论:(1)儿童只在听说方面略显优势;(2)年长儿童优于年幼儿童;(3)成人具有课堂学习外语的较大优势。因此,在外语教学和学习中,必须发挥不同年龄群体的学习优势,有针对性地对听说读写有所侧重,选择适合不同年龄认知特点的教学策略,并制定科学的外语教学计划。