机群出动能力的Markov模型

以往在评估武器装备的效能时,只注重其基本性能和作战能力,而忽视了包括出动能力在内的可用性指标,而作战仿真中这类指标往往是决定仿真真实性的关键。建立了有备份飞机条件下机群出动能力的Markov模型。根据故障率和所需出动飞机的数量,确定了备份飞机数量和维修组数,所模拟得到的数据曲线符合实际情况,可应用于陆基或舰基机群出动能力的评估和分析,其分析方法对优化飞机装备配备和保障资源配置具有重要意义。     

船舶破舱横摇数学模型及理论分析

船舶在航行过程中有可能发生船体破损以至船体进水的情况。因此,应该考虑船舶的抗沉性和应对措施,使船舶在一定程度损伤后仍具有足够的航行能力。在对船舶对称破舱的情况进行分析的基础上,采用槽型水舱理论建立了船舶破舱后横摇的数学模型,并对不同破舱水位和流动阻尼情况下的船舶横摇特性作了仿真和分析。最后根据船舶破舱数学模型,讨论并给出了船舶破舱情况下系统的绝对稳定条件。     

Interaction model of artificial fish in virtual environment

Conventional artificial fish has some shortages on the interaction with environment, other fish, and the animator. This article proposes a multi-tier interaction control model of artificial fish, realizes the interaction model through integration of virtual reality technology and Markov sequence, and provides a virtual marine world to describe the interaction between artificial fish and the virtual environment and the interaction between the artificial fish and the animator. Simulation results show that the interaction model owns not only the basic characteristics of virtual biology, but also has high trueness interaction function.     

Participatory Sustainability Impact Assessment: Scientific Policy Advice as a Social Learning Process

This paper deals with the development of scientific policy advice by providing a methodology to foster a social learning process. The methodology, called participatory Sustainability Impact Assessment (pSIA), aims to structure complex problem situations, to clarify interests and basic assumptions, to interpret scientific studies, to develop impact assessment, and to explore sensitivity of uncertainty and lack of information. In pSIA workshops the participants are supposed to build conceptual models with different modelling methods, like System Dynamics, Value Chain Analysis, and Morphological Analysis. A case study is presented that describes a workshop series with political as well as academic actors, applying the pSIA approach to an impact assessment of Economic Partnership Agreements between the European Union and the Eastern and Southern Africa Region.

Cardiolipin, the heart of mitochondrial metabolism

Cardiolipin is a unique phospholipid, which is almost exclusively localized in the mitochondrial inner membrane where it is synthesized from phosphatidylglycerol and cytidinediphosphate-diacylglycerol. After primary synthesis, the mature acyl chain composition of cardiolipin is achieved by at least two remodeling mechanisms. In the mitochondrial membrane cardiolipin plays an important role in energy metabolism, mainly by providing stability for the individual enzymes and enzyme complexes involved in energy production. Moreover, cardiolipin is involved in different stages of the mitochondrial apoptotic process and in mitochondrial membrane dynamics. Cardiolipin alterations have been described in various pathological conditions. Patients suffering from Barth syndrome have an altered cardiolipin homeostasis caused by a primary deficiency in cardiolipin remodeling. Alterations in cardiolipin content or composition have also been reported in more frequent diseases such as diabetes and heart failure. In this review we provide an overview of cardiolipin metabolism, function and its role in different pathological states. Received 16 January 2008; received after revision 26 February 2008; accepted 26 March 2008     

权马尔可夫链在河流丰枯状况预测中的应用

针对河川径流量为相依随机变量的特点,提出了以规范化的各阶自相关系数为权, 用加权的马尔可夫链来预测河流未来丰枯状况的方法, 并通过实例对该方法进行了具体的应用     

有限资源能力下的供需问题研究

将 JIT思想引入供需链管理中 ,建立了具有供应能力、运输能力约束的极小化产品成本费用总额的供需问题计划模型 ,并利用易于求解的线性规划模型 ,提出了一个有效的启发式算法 .该算法可以在多种资源能力平衡的前提下 ,找到较优的供应计划.     

网络传输TCP的马尔可夫过程建模

首先简要介绍了因特网上最重要的协议之一传输控制协议TCP的基本原理,分析了传输控制协议工作时6种可能发生的事件,以发送一个数据段作为一个随机变量表示发生的事件,然后建立了网络传输控制协议TCP的数据段传输过程的马尔可夫过程模型,并由此对传输控制协议TCP系统正确接收的概率P(c)、TCP系统错误接收(包括传输有误但没有检查出的段、重复的段、漏掉的段)的概率P(e)、相对误差R(e)和传输效率等性能指标进行了初步分析.     

基于图象的人体运动追踪系统研究

首先介绍了运动测量的几种主要方法,讨论了基于图象的运动追踪研究中要考虑的时间延迟问题及多摄像机的采集同步问题,最后介绍了一个能较好地完成大尺度空间人体无约束追踪的基于透视四点投影(P4P)问题的单摄像机运动追踪实验系统,包括摄像机标定、图象处理、特征提取、特征匹配、深度估计和姿态估计等等技术。     

基于马尔柯夫过程的可修系统可靠性建模

针对可修系统的可靠性、维修性计算问题,运用马尔柯夫过程数学模型对可修系统可用度和可靠度进行数学建模.首先推导出单部件可修系统可用度与可靠度的表达式,在此基础上,推导出工程上常用的两并一备复杂可修系统可用度与可靠度的表达式,总结出求解复杂可修系统稳态可用度的简单方法.两种方法结论一致,为进一步研究可修系统可靠性、维修性提供重要理论依据.