Forecasting the economic recession in the U.K. 1979-1982: A comparison of model-based ex ante Forecasts

This paper compares the forecasts of recession and recovery made by five non-government U.K. teams modelling the economy (Cambridge Econometrics, the London Business School, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, the Cambridge Economic Policy Group and the Liverpool Research Group). The paper concentrates on annual ex ante projections as published over the period 1978-1982, i.e. forecasts made, before the event, of the onset, length, depth and character of the economic recession in the U.K. which began in 1979. The comparison is in terms of year by year changes in production, unemployment, prices and other variables. It concludes that no group was systematically better or worse than other groups (confirming U.S. experience) and that the groups tended to perform better in their chosen areas of specialization, e.g. medium-term groups did better at forecasting the medium-term outcome.     

特殊液相沉淀法制备镁的钛酸盐

采用特殊液相沉淀法制备了镁的钛酸盐。经TEM和XRD表征,镁的钛酸盐前驱体,粒径为3-4nm,经焙烧至1200℃时,有MgTiO3,MgTi2O5,Mg2TiO4出现,此时这混品的粒径为500nm左右,MgTiO3为主晶相;对不同温度段粒子的相结构进行XRD表征,探讨了生成MgTiO3和Mg2TiO4的条件和历程。     

施主掺杂多晶(Sr,Ba)TiO_3微观结构和介电性能的研究

系统地研究了施主掺杂对多晶SrTiO_3,(Sr,Ba)TiO_3微观结构和介电性能的影响。SEM观察表明:掺杂不同施主,对多晶SrTiO_3晶粒生长起着不同的作用。施主掺杂量影响多晶SrTiO_3,(Sr,Ba)TiO_3晶凿的半导化程度及试样介电特性。     

ZnAlPb轴瓦合金的滑动磨损研究

文章研究了ZnAlPb轴瓦合金在边界润滑、滑动磨损条件下的磨损特性。探讨了合金组织及铅相对滑动磨损性能的影响。结果表明:铅能提高合金的耐摩擦磨损性能,ZnAlPb合金的组织结构不易发生粘着磨损,其主要磨损形式为表面擦伤。     

Double carbon decorated lithium titanate as anode material with high rate performance for lithium-ion batteries

Spinel lithium titanate(Li_4Ti_5O_(12)) has the advantages of structural stability, however it suffers the disadvantages of low lithium-ion diffusion coefficient as well as low conductivity. In order to solve issues,we reported a simple method to prepare carbon-coated Li_4Ti_5O_(12)/CNTs(C@Li_4Ti_5O_(12)/CNTs) using stearic acid as surfactant and carbon source to prepare carbon coated nanosized particles. The obtained Li_4Ti_5O_(12) particles of 100 nm in size are coated with the carbon layers pyrolyzed from stearic acid and dispersed in CNTs matrix homogeneously. These results show that the synthesized C@Li_4Ti_5O_(12)/CNTs material used as anode materials for lithium ion batteries, presenting a better high-rate performance(147 m Ahg~(-1)at20 C). The key factors affecting the high-rate properties of the C@Li_4Ti_5O_(12)/CNTs composite may be related to the synergistic effects of the CNTs matrix and the carbon- coating layers with conductivity enhancement. Additionally, the amorphous carbon coating is an effective route to ameliorate the rate capability of Li_4Ti_5O_(12)/CNTs.     

革命性的框架封装解决方案

MIS框架是基于电镀堆积和预塑封技术的框架制作工艺,基于预塑封料的底部支撑和电镀掩膜的密间距和延伸特性,决定了其对于Chip On Lead和Flip Chip等产品具有独特的优势,并已对QFN/QFP/BGA等传统封装方式形成了强而有力的竞争。     

分光光度法测定矿石中痕量铅

用双硫腙显色分光光度法测定铁矿石中痕量铅，该方法具有简单、快速、灵敏等特点，用以测定铁矿石中的痕量铅，获得了满意的结果．检出限为0．06μg／mL，线陛范围为0．01μg／mL～1．0μg／mLPb^2＋，相关系数为0．9996，回收率89％～99％．     

焙烧温度对钛酸钙光催化性能的影响

以CaCO3和TiO2为原料,分别在1 100,1 200,1 300,1 400,1 500℃条件下进行焙烧.应用XRD,SEM,FT-IR,UV-vis对处理后的物料进行表征.实验结果表明,1 400℃以上能够合成出纯CaTiO3;随着温度提高,颗粒微观形貌从不规则多边形向光滑曲面形变化,团聚现象趋于明显;CaTiO3和TiO2含量不同导致催化剂在紫外-可见光区域光吸收能力有较大不同.在光催化性能评价实验中,随着温度提高,亚甲基蓝降解率和降解速率均降低,反应速率常数降低幅度达50%;钛酸钙降解亚甲基蓝溶液比较符合一级反应动力学特征.     

溶胶-凝胶法制备钛酸铅陶瓷纤维水用量的选择

采用溶胶-凝胶法制备钛酸铅陶瓷纤维的质量受多种因素的影响。本实验重点研究了在纤维制备过程中．水的用量对溶胶的稳定性、产物的物相组成以及最终纤维的形貌的影响。得出了合成稳定溶胶、获得最佳质量陶瓷纤维的水用量。     

考虑提前／拖期成本的计划提前期确定

研究了随机提前期情况下物料计划提前期的确定问题。以提前／拖期成本最小为目标，通过构造遗传算法的适应值函数寻求一组最优的计划提前期，用参数设置模拟应用中的实际情况，使物料的提前／拖期成本最小。最后通过算例证明了算法的有效性。