Ripple-effect analysis for operational architecture of air defense systems with supernetwork modeling

In order to solve the problem that the ripple-effect analy- sis for the operational architecture of air defense systems （OAADS） is hardly described in quantity with previous modeling approaches, a supernetwork modeling approach for the OAADS is put for- ward by extending granular computing. Based on that operational units and links are equal to different information granularities, the supernetwork framework of the OAADS is constructed as a “four- network within two-layer” structure by forming dynamic operating coalitions, and measuring indexes of the ripple-effect analysis for the OAADS are given combining with Laplace spectral radius. In this framework, via analyzing multidimensional attributes which inherit relations between operational units in different granular scales, an extended granular computing is put forward integrating with a topological structure. Then the operation process within the supernetwork framework, including transformation relations be- tween two layers in the vertical view and mapping relations among functional networks in the horizontal view, is studied in quantity. As the application case shows, comparing with previous modeling approaches, the supernetwork model can validate and analyze the operation mechanism in the air defense architecture, and the ripple-effect analysis can be used to confirm the key operational unit with micro and macro viewpoints.     

闪烁噪声机动目标跟踪的模型集交互跟踪算法

给出了一种量测噪声为闪烁噪声情况下的模型集交互机动目标跟踪算法。在雷达目标跟踪系统中由于目标位置的随机摆动,使得对其位置的量测伴随着闪烁噪声的出现,这种闪烁噪声会对目标跟踪的性能产生很大的影响。本文通过对闪烁噪声的QQplots-分析,利用高斯分布和拉普拉斯分布的合成对其进行建模,在机动目标跟踪中采用两个模型集来处理闪烁噪声的情况,并详细推导了模型集交互时机动目标跟踪算法。最后,通过Monte Carlo的仿真结果表明了该算法的有效性。     

基于分形理论的雷电冲击土体等离子体通道发展研究

等离子体通道对岩土体破坏过程具有内动力作用，针对雷电冲击岩土体后的等离子体通道发展进行研究，从电击穿的角度构建岩土体击穿通道的随机概率模型，采用拉普拉斯方程计算电场，引入分形理论计算发展概率，得到等离子体通道路径模拟图。采用盒维数法计算分形维数来反映等离子体通道发展情况，分析了土体电阻率、雷电流幅值及内部电压降对分形维数的影响规律。结果表明：随着土体电阻率增大，分形维数逐渐减小；随着雷电流幅值增大，分形维数逐渐增大；随着土体内部电压降增大，分形维数逐渐增大，且在土体电阻率越小时，分形维数变化越显著。研究证明，运用二维图像方式直观表现出岩土体内等离子体通道发展，并利用分形几何定量描述岩土体内等离子体通道的发展规律，有助于预测岩土体破坏过程的发展，便于进一步研究岩土体电击穿的物理本质。     

应力波在吊索-梁结头处的传播规律

为分析吊索与拱肋连接处的受力特点,通过引入应力波理论的方法研究吊索-梁结头处应力波传播规律.利用刚性结头处的位移协调性和内力连续性建立控制方程,假设入射波、反射波和透射波的质点位移函数,从而求出反射系数及透射系数的影响矩阵;最后,对拱肋截面特性进行参数分析,并与有限元计算结果进行对比.结果表明:在梁截面无限大和无限小的...